Posted on 08/11/2016 3:34:39 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
As of August 11, 2016 Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament says the situation around Ukraine deteriorated sharply in August, from Russia are ready to conduct extensive intense fighting involving regular troops of the Armed Forces.
The main objective of the Kremlin - the change of power in Ukraine, according to Putin and his cronies may occur intensive or extensive way: through a large-scale military operation or as a result of coercion Ukrainian authorities to hold elections in the occupied territories with the launch of the mechanism of revenge in foreign policy.
Start mechanism prepared full-scale war against Ukraine is possible at any time - even minor and non-strategic developments (as an attack on the leader of a terrorist organization FSC or DNR may be practicing item to run negative scenario).
According to this emphasize the presence of several extremely dangerous (peak) Dates:
Independence Day of Ukraine is a stimulus, because this holiday Kremlin denies the thesis that Ukraine "failed as a state." 25 years - a term which proves that Ukraine exists, and it is - independent of, the state and the people of Ukraine not only has nothing to do with Russia, and is a completely different identity.
However, for the war can be used by any other drive. TSDAKR concluded that the study "Caucasus-2016", which begins in early September, can be transformed into a military operation against Ukraine and become the war of high intensity.
It is also important to give 5 September (when the meeting will be held of Twenty Four Normandy and China) and 18 September (elections in Russia). It was the aftermath of September 5 can be considered the most dangerous.
In August there were critical for Ukraine foreign adverse circumstances:
First. The election campaign in the United States entered the stage, which did not allow distractions to Ukrainian events.
Second. Europe almost choked own problems, many of which are believed by some European leaders, could be solved with the help of Russia.
And the third factor. Elections in Russia, requiring the mobilization and solidarity of the electorate. War external enemy is known - the best way to Russia.
In TSDAKR prevent weakness of the USA and the EU, too restrained position allow NATO over the next 10-12 months to implement any of the scenarios in the post.
Against the backdrop of a deep economic crisis in Russia and on the eve of parliamentary elections in the State Duma Kremlin has started developing necessary information format (total filling the information space "heroic propaganda fronts", support rating of pro-Kremlin parties and distributing the purpose zombie population of feykovyh proof of the thesis of keeping America war against Russia on the territory of Ukraine).
Given the successful realization of the full-scale attack on Russia Ukraine will create conditions for further conservation of the cult of the Putin regime and increase his personal rating, despite the critical deterioration of the economic situation in Russia.
Successful implementation of the plan will make it possible to fulfill the main task of the Russian aggression against Ukraine - the complete destruction of the Ukrainian state, and solve important issues - such as the creation of a land corridor to the converted military base in the Crimea, the Crimean removal of the construction of the bridge, the problem of the blockade of Transnistria, etc.
We emphasize that it is Putin opened a "window of opportunity" to use the last chance and fix a number of strategic mistakes that he has made over the past 2.5 years. In TSDAKR convinced that if failure Putin to use this chance, by mid-2017 situation (both internal and external) can become for him a welcome challenge (the new US administration begins to actively influence the world politics, the economy Russia will reach the peak of the crisis ).
In connection with the announced TSDAKR:
Calls for state officials to take additional steps to prepare troops to the sudden onset of regular parts of Russia, to bring troops in full combat readiness for the period from 20 August to 20 September. Take steps to prepare the population to avoid panic and mobilize civil society in Ukraine to fight the external enemy.
Insists on the need to consider the possibility of detailed introduction of martial law in some regions of Ukraine: Donetsk, Luhansk, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odesa regions.
Initiates an urgent appeal to the think tanks and NGOs Ukraine, public figures, politicians and experts - to prepare and implement a joint appeal to the leaders of NATO member states and the EU to increase pressure on the leadership of the Russian Federation and prevent bloodshed. As well as calling unlock frozen military-technical cooperation (MTC) with Ukraine and implement it without restrictions on supplies technologies and components, and without restrictions on imports IWT provide military-technical assistance.
160811 Back in USSR 2 August 11, Thursday, at 11:30 am in the news agency "cupola" (str. Shovkovychna 8/20) held a press conference: "Does Putin is able to deploy a full-scale war against Ukraine with the use of the Armed Forces?".
Invited guests: Badrak Valentine, director of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament (TSDAKR); Mikhail Samus, deputy director TSDAKR on international issues.
The press conference will analyze the current situation in the zone ATO, ozvuchat number of allegations of military threat Ukraine and development scenarios in August - September this year, announced the most dangerous date maps show the deployment of Russian troops and possible areas of impact, and recommendations will power to counter Russian aggression. Accreditation is required: 2535474.
Online broadcast of the press conference, see the website TSDAKR .
ALSO: http://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-other_news/2049186-samit-nato-u-varsavi-pidsumki-j-uroki.html [LANGUAGE TRANSLATION TOP OF PAGE]
It’s a shame Ukraine gave up all of its nukes. Otherwise this probably would not be happening.
Yes, Ukraine trusted President bill Clinton when he along with others signed Budapest Agreement
hmmm......this is making me wonder whether Vlad is planning a last-minute Hillary document dump in October and as the hue-and-cry and chaos breaks out here he’ll send in the tanks.
Russia has legislative elections on 18th September. Maybe they’re doing it as a distraction for these? They’d much rather have people talk about the war instead of high prices, low wages and corrupt officials.
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