Posted on 07/28/2016 1:06:19 AM PDT by Enchante
Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election panel to answer three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in, we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week’s responses.
(Excerpt) Read more at 96.127.53.23 ...
TRUMP is +7.3 !!!!!!!
Cankles must be throwing ash trays, Huma is diving for cover.
Yesterday’s poll => Trump 47.0, Hillary 40.4. Net gain of 0.7 for Trump.
Go Trump!
This is the biggest lead for Trump since the poll began on July 10.
If the poll covers 7 days, it should already include a part of any “bounce” from the Dem Convention for Clinton, instead Trump’s lead is increasing. Maybe it’s Trump who’s getting the bounce from the Dem convention.
yup, looking good!!
The Democrats are going to have trouble overcoming the fracture of their voting bloc over the treatment of Sanders, I think. Some number are going to go Green or stay home, some maybe even move to Trump as an anti-establishment vote. I think that Hillary has to lose a few points over the Sanders debacle. Hope it more than offsets any lingering fallout for Trump of the CruzKasich cowardly lack of support.
If Trump gets to 50% +1, I will start feeling better about things.
I don’t think this convention is going to yield much of a bounce for the Democrats. They are in too much disarray.
Tim Kaine was terrible. What an unappealing man.
Joe was Joe. People seem to like him, but for the life of my I can’t understand what he was driving at.
Panetta was a train wreck.
The Democrats spent the entire night reacting to Donald Trump’s presser. It is bad for you when you spend all your time reacting to your opponent’s moves.
“Net gain of 0.7 for Trump.”....
Don’t you mean 7.0 ?
Net gain of 0.7 from yesterday’s poll.
This is interesting. They are the same guys who developed the RAND Continuous Presidential Election Poll and use the same methodology. Their final prediction was Obama 49.5%, Romney 46.2%. The actual result was 51.1% to 47.2%.
https://alpdata.rand.org/index.php?page=election2012
538 Blog said the RAND poll was #4 in accuracy for the 2012 presidential race.
re: Kaine
It seems that Shrillary had to find someone even less appealing than her.
She didn’t want to risk being overshadowed by her running mate!
She’s in the backyard wacking down rose bushes (Mommy Dearest reference)
It wasn’t clear, or I missed it, but what area does this poll cover, California only or the entire US?
all of the USA
If the Trump campaign can get ahold of transcripts and/or videos of those speeches, I'd think it's over for hillary.
Get her into the 30s. Most of the undecideds will break for Trump and he’ll pick up some Libertarian votes. A 50+ to 39 victory would be the total repudiation needed.
What, you don't think she'll try again in 2020?
The day Hillary Clinton is no longer Going To Be President Someday, is the day people stop sending her checks.
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