Posted on 03/31/2016 3:27:18 PM PDT by Trump20162020
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have the home-court advantage in New York State’s Democratic and Republican primaries as Clinton tops Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont 54 – 42 percent while Trump leads among Republicans with 56 percent, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 20 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 19 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
Since Trump winning NY was always a given and neither Cruz nor Kasich are campaigning in NY, the only surprise is how low Trump’s lead is at this point.
Trump’s biggest danger is dropping below 50%. NY has a hybrid winner take all primary, with a minimum threshold of 50% of the vote. Simply put, unless Trump wins more than 50% of the vote, the delegates will be distributed proportionally, with no more than half going to Trump.
Trump will take the majority of the votes in his state, but Cruz and Kasich couldn’t get over 50 percent in theirs. Kasich won 47 percent and Cruz 44 percent in their states. The Cruz win was the lowest home state win of any presidential candidate in a long time.
At least he is getting a majority
Cruz couldn’t even pull that off in Texas
Trump is a native son—he should do well—but the MSM is doing all they can to push Ted Cruz.
Oh for Gods sake. As long as he beats Cruz results in his Texas run that’s all I care about.
Oh bull. Trump’s going to get over 50% in New York, which is more than Cruz can say about Texas, or Kasich about Ohio.
Can’t we refer to that as “Ted Surging” or something?
That’s rather pathetic.
Cruz didn’t get over 43.8% in his home state. Ouch!
Looks like trump will easily get over 50% in his state.
Snicker...
Cruz won Texas, his home state, with only 44%
I've seen another poll, where Trump is at 64% against Cruz and KaSicko.
As long as Trump get 50% or higher, which he shall, he gets ALL 95 delegates in N.Y. state!
Cruz got 44% in Texas with 13 names on the ballot. Trump got less than 27% and Rubio, Kasich, Carson and the other 9 candidates on the ballot split the remaining 30%.
Trump is going to have to do a hell of a lot better with only 3 names on the ballot to get the minimum winner take all threshold of 50%. Maybe he will, but right now, with no one else campaigning in NY, he is at 56% and falling.
If Cruz wins Wisconsin next week, it will be interesting to see what happens to Trump's remaining lead in NY.
And yet Shrillary the Carpetbagger got elected Senator twice by the voters of NY. How many times has Trump been elected to office in NY?
It should not matter how many people were in the race Cruz should have gotten 50 percent. Trump will get 50 percent. Early voting has been going on in Wisconsin for awhile. Trump always does well with early voters. Also he can get the blue collar workers that Cruz can’t.
Trump and Clinton should get a majority of their respective party’s votes, although I still hope the Wicked Witch will feel the Bern.
How many states has Trump won so far with over 50% of the vote? Oh, that’s right none.
So far Landslide Donald has won 37% of the vote. Trump supporters keep claiming that is because all those multiple candidates on the ballot took away votes from him. But Cruz should have won over 50% in Texas with twelve other candidates taking votes from him.
We shall see how they both do in Wisconsin next week with only three candidates on the ballot.
Ok fair enough. How many primaries has Cruz won? 3. That is pathetic and you know it. The worst is losing 8 out of 9 contests the last two weeks. If that were anyone else they’d be calls to drop out. Cruz is a mess!
Cruz has won eight caucuses and primaries so far, the last one with almost 70% of the vote.
Trump supporters keep calling for Cruz to drop out because it is the only chance Trump has to get the nomination with the overwhelming support of 37% of the voters.
Do you always talk out your butt or just when you open your mouth? New York has 14 statewide delegates and 81 by each of their 27 CD’s. 50% threshold statewide nets you all 14, and 50% threshold in each CD gets you all 3. Anything less than that is proportional but a candidate must get at least 20% to secure delegates both statewide and in the CD. I know your talking points are convenient in advocating for Cruz, but simply put, Trump will win in excess of 80 delegates in NY and quite possible all 95. Cruz is detested in NY and if he’s lucky he may break 20%. He’s currently averaging 15. He may compete marginally in some upstate districts, but overall he will be annihilated in NY. It won’t even be close. Trump will in all likelihood break 60 and will push 65.
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