It can be applied to almost anything. Polls, GOPe, Hillary, Media, etc.
Posted on 01/06/2016 3:37:28 AM PST by Red Steel
Donald Trump maintains a strong lead among Alabama Republican voters, but Ted Cruz has tripled his support in the state since August. Those are highlights of the latest News-5/Strategy Poll.
Forty percent of those who say they will vote in the Republican Primary say they will vote for Trump - up nine-percent since August.
"In a field of a dozen candidates, to get over fifty percent, statistics would say is impossibility," said pollster and political strategist Jon Gray. "But Donald Trump is knocking on that door right now."
Ted Cruz is second with 21-percent. He polled just seven percent in August.
Jeb Bush has 10-percent, Marco Rubio nine-percent, and Ben Carson eight-percent.
All candidates but Trump and Cruz lost support in Alabama since August. Gray says there is a clear move to the right among Alabama voters.
"61-percent are voting for either Donald Trump or Ted Cruz," he said. "I would argue to you that that is the most conservative side of the Republican ticket right now. So the voters are going toward what I'd call the ultra conservative voters."
75-percent of Alabamians indicate they will vote in the Republican primary. Gray says that suggest some Democrat will be cross-over voters.
"Even Democrats who are 'yellow dog' Democrats may be drawn in by the activities taking place among the Republican candidates," Gray said. "Alabama is typically not a 75/25 percent Republican state.
I think a lot of that is driven by the popularity of the Republican Party Primary. Right now, there's not a lot going on with the Democrats."
The News 5/Strategy Poll was conducted by telephone, among registered voters, Monday January 4th. 3,155 people responded. The poll has a margin of error of two-percent.
Alabama's Primary takes place March 1st.
So using the numbers that are given in this article, I conclude that Trump is up 9% since August and Cruz is up 200%. Is that correct?
I thought Cruz was going to carry the South? What happened?
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