Posted on 12/12/2015 9:26:10 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Donât think China, India and Russia can save us. They wonât give up fossil fuels in a meaningful way, but they all have a price and buying them off is a lot cheaper than you might think. Thatâs because the goal is not for them to reduce CO2, but only for them to give the appearance of doing so.
Paris is a theatreâ a grand show, and Chinaâs Vice Foreign Minister Liu Jianmin said as much. He âlaughed when the âHigh Ambition Coalitionâ was mentioned. âIt is a kind of performance,â he said, âIt makes no difference.â
The 1.5C âhigh ambitionâ target is a perfect PR win. The Green Machine will be able to claim a major success getting X number of countries to sign up for a breakthrough pledge to do something âmore ambitiousâ, something that âfar exceeded our hopesâ but that is really decades away and likely to happen even if nobody did anything at all. Itâs the do nothing, unaccountable promise that politicians love to make.
All three nations have publicly poured cold water on the Paris solutions, but view that as just posturing for a better position to negotiate from.
Answer to all three: smile at the press conference, and pander to the global extremists in words only. Do token efforts and turn the guilt screws on the West as appropriate.
Things for India donât look that different to China. For Russia the equation is more complicated as it involves oil exports and ISIL. But all of them will sign a deal that hurts the West but doesnât impinge on their own growth. And in China and Russia, there is no push-back from their citizens for âselling outâ. We canât rely on undemocratic countries to save us.
The Green Machine actions betray their words. When the Climate extremists get a choice they often choose the less effective and higher CO2 option â so there is something they want more than CO2 reductions, something that trumps mere âcarbon pollutionâ. Ponder that Climate change is The Greatest Threat on Earth but the Green Machine wonât consider nuclear energy, super critical hot coal, fracking for gas, or Direct Action type plans that cut CO2 cheaply. As I said last week, Tony Abbott was dangerous because he gave the Green Machine what it âsaidâ it wanted â cheap cuts to CO2. Really what they want is personal power, glory and money. They also like invitations to hot dinner parties and two week long junkets every year. Who wouldnât? And getting that out of COP21 at Paris is a very different goal to reducing global atmospheric carbon dioxide or actually changing the temperature, which are both incidental, an accidental kind of collateral damage to achieve the primary goal. The top Green permitted solutions to the climate problems are always the ones that increase dependency on big-government â like inefficient renewable energy, government funded research, carbon taxes and fake markets that are government run.
Reducing actual emissions is unaffordable â but the reality of that wonât save us from a âtrue global dealâ and a âmajor successâ at COP21. The West canât afford to pay to convert the developing world to renewables zero-emission heaven. The West can barely achieve real emission cuts for themselves. But what matters is getting India, China and Russia to look like they are doing something. Thatâs a PR victory for the Green Machine, and it would be used to keep dragging funding from western taxpayers.
PS: Weâll be getting back to original research and the notch and solar model soon after the Paris Show concludes.
PPS: We could really use your help in the tip jar. Thanks to our dedicated supporters. We canât do this without you!
fyi
Isn’t Climate Change baked in to the TPP?
Thanks Ernest.
Thanks Ernest.
bkmk
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