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It's Ted v Trump. (Either way, the good guy wins)
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151113-20151124/type/day ^ | Dangus

Posted on 11/25/2015 7:14:30 AM PST by dangus

Donald Trump still has a healthy lead, at 33%. But it's become very clear that Ted Cruz is his primary competitor; he's up to 21%, as Ben Carson fades to a mere 12. Rubio is still the establishment's best hope, at 11.4%. Bush is rallying slightly at 7.9%, up from a low of 4.5%.

I'm not really bothered by Bush rallying; he'll only steal oxygen from Rubio. Fiorina is at 4.2%; Huckabee at 3.3%; Kasich at 2.5%; Christie at 1.9%; Paul at 0.6% and Graham at 0. That's right, 0.

(Excerpt) Read more at polling.reuters.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; election2016; elections; newyork; tedcruz; texas; trump; wewintheylose
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1 posted on 11/25/2015 7:14:30 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

Rubio is not ready for prime time. He’s too wishy-washy and subject to the left’s Schumer and McCain.


2 posted on 11/25/2015 7:21:57 AM PST by CyberAnt ("The fields are white unto Harvest")
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To: The Final Harvest
Rubio:

Voted most likly to go along to get along...

3 posted on 11/25/2015 7:26:11 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Tony Schwartz and Meredith McIver, a couple of dam* fine authors...)
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To: dangus

This is a set-up to win it for Rubio.

The GOPe wants a fight. Don’t give it to them.


4 posted on 11/25/2015 7:28:13 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Exactly!


5 posted on 11/25/2015 7:30:02 AM PST by CyberAnt ("The fields are white unto Harvest")
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To: dangus
Trump will get the Dan Quayle, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich treatment. They will attempt to drive his negatives so high that only Trumps' hard core supporters will vote for him. This strategy pretty much always works with enough effort. And of course supporters of GOPe candidates (the entire field other than Trump) will cheer form the side lines hoping to inherit voters that will no longer vote Trump. However the not trump candidates that sat on the side lines cheering the smear campaign to trash Trump will never get the hard core supporters of Trump and consequently lose in the general election. Right now Trump has a firm 25% of GOP voters and likely a firm 25% of independents. That is a lot of voters to royally piss off.

But the Uniparty does not care they will be perfectly happy with anyone other then Trump. Hillary, Cruz, Rubio, Jeb are all acceptable to the globalist ruling class. Only Trump threatened their gravy train. Only Trump is not owned by billionaire donors, Chamber of Commence, Club for Growth, and the Wall St bankers. The rest not so much.

6 posted on 11/25/2015 7:34:45 AM PST by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied, Otto Von Bismarck)
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To: dangus

I’ll take it. If only to see the GOPe heads exploding.

Karl Rove will be working at Burger King by mid-2017.


7 posted on 11/25/2015 7:40:04 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: dangus

Thus far I’m liking the way that this election season is going much more than 2012 or 2008. Even though my first choice (Rick Santorum) is mired in half-digits, my second choice (Ted Cruz) is doing well. Perhaps even better, the GOP-e’s first choices (Bush, Kasich, and Christie) are going downhill, and the alternative establishment choice (Rubio), for all his faults is definitely better than (The Father of RomneyCare and Homosexual Marriage in America) Romney or (Reach Across the Aisle and I Hate Social Conservatives) McCain. This isn’t over yet, but I think that the eventual outcome will be better than in previous election cycles. Hopefully.


8 posted on 11/25/2015 7:42:44 AM PST by Engraved-on-His-hands (Conservative 2016!! The Dole, H.W. Bush, McCain, Romney experiment has failed.)
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To: dangus

I think Cruz has to beat Rubio on the under card before he can challenge Trump.


9 posted on 11/25/2015 7:47:07 AM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: dangus

The 3 anti-GOPe are combined 56 percent. How do Yeb and Mario expect to win with a base that hates them that much. I like seeing the numbers up that high, because it shows the establishment how easy it would be to form a new party.


10 posted on 11/25/2015 7:59:53 AM PST by Defiant (I wouldn't have to mansplain if it weren't for all those wymidiots.)
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To: dangus

Polling Data

Poll Date
Trump
Carson
Rubio
Cruz
Bush
Fiorina
Huckabee
Christie
Kasich
Paul
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Spread
RCP Average 11/15 - 11/19 27.5 19.8 12.5 11.3 5.5 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 Trump +7.7
FOX NewsFOX News 11/16 - 11/19 28 18 14 14 5 3 3 3 2 2 0 1 0 -- Trump +10
ABC/Wash PostABC/WP 11/16 - 11/19 32 22 11 8 6 4 3 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 Trump +10
PPP (D)PPP (D) 11/16 - 11/17 26 19 13 14 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 Trump +7
BloombergBloomberg 11/15 - 11/17 24 20 12 9 6 3 3 4 3 3 1 1 1 -- Trump +4

11 posted on 11/25/2015 8:05:26 AM PST by deport
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To: dangus
Graham at 0. That's right, 0.

Hahahaha. Does this mean even his mother won't declare for him?

12 posted on 11/25/2015 8:06:24 AM PST by Defiant (I wouldn't have to mansplain if it weren't for all those wymidiots.)
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To: jpsb

-— Trump will get the Dan Quayle, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich treatment. They will attempt to drive his negatives so high that only Trumps’ hard core supporters will vote for him. This strategy pretty much always works with enough effort. -—

I*m a Cruz supporter and I don’t think it will work this time. It hasn*t so far and there*s no reason to suspect that it will. People love his candor so they easily dismiss off-the-cuff comments.


13 posted on 11/25/2015 8:06:53 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: Engraved-on-His-hands

-— This isn*t over yet, but I think that the eventual outcome will be better than in previous election cycles. Hopefully. -—

It’s almost a lock... Except for my biggest fear, Trump going third party.


14 posted on 11/25/2015 8:08:33 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: deport

Useful, but it’s week-old data at best, and doesn’t capture Cruz’s sudden, meteoric rise.


15 posted on 11/25/2015 8:12:41 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

One poll doesn’t make a whole except for the one taken on election day.
The rest are guesses as designed by the polling entities.


16 posted on 11/25/2015 8:14:34 AM PST by deport
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
The way this works is you manufacturer a lie Quayle is so stupid he can not spell potato (e is optional). Sarah Palin said "I can see Russia from my house". Newt on the other hand just got buried with negative attack ads.

The media is trying to manufacturer a lie over Trumps 911 comments, they might find something that works. And at least 3 super pacs (John Kasich, Jeb, Club for Growth (Cruz)) are gearing up to spend millions on negative attack ads. Club for Growth is already taking credit for Trump slipping in Iowa.

And then there are the daily attacks from Fox News, CNN, ABC, NBC, Washington Post, NY Times and the rest of the Marxist media. It appears the entire political establishment is 100% committed to taking down Donald Trump no matter what the cost.

17 posted on 11/25/2015 8:36:29 AM PST by jpsb (Believe nothing until it has been officially denied, Otto Von Bismarck)
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To: jpsb
I get it, but that's not different from how they're behaving now, which is nothing less than sheer hysteria.

Maybe it's because their motives are too obvious, or that people are so attached to Trump that nothing will shake their support, but I just don't see the negative attacks working against him in a significant way.

OTOH, his negatives are already high, so I think he has reached his ceiling, as long as their are other true conservatives in the race.

18 posted on 11/25/2015 8:59:22 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas
Maybe it's because their motives are too obvious, or that people are so attached to Trump that nothing will shake their support, but I just don't see the negative attacks working against him in a significant way.

In addition, the attacks may fail for two other reasons: (1) Trump can defend his positions with attacks of his own and (2) The funding for this effort is a clear demonstration that the attacker is going to be in dept to someone for this payment. Thus, the Donald remains the only candidate who is not bought.

19 posted on 11/25/2015 9:08:43 AM PST by KC_for_Freedom (California engineer (ret) and ex-teacher (ret) now part time Professor (what do you know?))
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To: KC_for_Freedom
In addition, the attacks may fail for two other reasons: (1) Trump can defend his positions with attacks of his own and (2) The funding for this effort is a clear demonstration that the attacker is going to be in dept to someone for this payment. Thus, the Donald remains the only candidate who is not bought.

That's true. Trump does what no one else has ever done, which is negative-attack jujitsu. He redirects their energy against them, with even greater force.

All conservative politicians should study this.

20 posted on 11/25/2015 9:12:48 AM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas ( Isaiah 22:22, Matthew 16:19, Revelation 3:7)
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