Iowa Polling Results - Trump 29.4% Carson 22.4%

One America News Network ^ | Gravis Marketing Polls

[MichelleWSC3]

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 939 registered voters in Iowa regarding the presidential election and other areas of interest. The sample includes 356 Republican Caucus participants, 273 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in the caucus, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for Republican Caucus/6% for Democratic Caucus]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented. The poll was conducted for One America News Network.

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

Woo hoo!!!!!!!

[BlueStateRightist]

Trump is in the lead! So this poll must be highly accurate.

[Greetings_Puny_Humans]

But Carson was leading Trump by 8 points! Now he's losing by 7?

OR, more likely, the media is manipulating their polls and either creating standards for whom they deem "likely voters" so onerous that it brings Trump's numbers down, OR they're over sampling the Church Lady Voter's League.

[LS]

Ruh roh. Trump back on top in IA in two polls in one day. So much for the “Trump fade.”

[stephenjohnbanker]

I guess Carson’s ethanol subsidies scam is wearing off a bit.

[CA Conservative]

I was just having a conversation about this polling company with someone on another thread. Gravis does automated polls, which tend to be fairly inaccurate. They were off by a significant margin on the final poll of the 2012 presidential election, so their track record is not great.

If other Iowa polls show a similar trend, then I will accept it. But too early yet to get excited one way or another...

[alloysteel]

And yet, and yet, not one single vote has been cast.

There is an old way of divining the future, which involves killing a chicken in a highly ritualized manner, then splitting open its abdomen and reading the entrails.

That practice is probably as accurate a method of predicting future events as the current polling process of the electability of various Presidential candidates.

[Yashcheritsiy]

Uh oh.

Mannatech Ben, pro-amnesty FReepers hit hardest.

[LS]

I haven’t discounted any polls, including the ones having Trump down. But we have two polls today from IA both with Trump back up. So whatever Gentle Ben had going, it’s gone now.

[MichelleWSC3]

PPP just out —Trump 22 Carson 21 http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/11/cruz-rising-in-iowa-clinton-back-out-to-dominant-lead.html

[vette6387]

“If other Iowa polls show a similar trend, then I will accept it. But too early yet to get excited one way or another... “

Well, PPP’s Iowa Poll is out and has Trump up by one if I remember correctly. So while the change may not be as dramatic, it appears that Trump is moving up and/or Carson is moving back.

[euram]

Wasn’t Carson way ahead just a couple of days ago? These polls are so wacky, it’s hard to believe any of them. I really would like to see Bush and some of the others drop out, and stop wasting our time. I’d also like to see Carson crash and burn, because he’s only a republican 0bama.

[ConservativeDude]

I dont recall anyone ever winning Iowa and New Hampshire in my lifetime.

It may have happened, but I just don’t recall it.

I’d say if that happens, then it’s all over....

[CA Conservative]

Well, PPPs Iowa Poll is out and has Trump up by one if I remember correctly. So while the change may not be as dramatic, it appears that Trump is moving up and/or Carson is moving back.

You need to read the write up. The PPP poll actually has Trump DOWN 2 points and Carson UP 4 points from their last poll. So while it still shows a dead heat between Carson and Trump, it does NOT show Trump regaining ground on Carson, but still reflects a loss in his support in Iowa from previous polls by the same firm.

[MichelleWSC3]

this from PPP Write up

“PPP’s newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%”

-—not sure what you’re reading

[Georgia Girl 2]

Gravis is a non partisan polling entity.

[Poser]

Robo-calls. Few conservatives I know will tolerate a robo-call. I dismiss this poll as self selecting.

[MichelleWSC3]

Then I’m assuming you know ALL the conservatives in Iowa?

[CA Conservative]

You need to read past the first paragraph. If you bothered to read the next paragraph, you would see this:

"Compared to our last Iowa poll in mid-September Trumps support is down 2 points (from 24% to 22%), while Carsons support is up 4 points (from 17% to 21%) putting them in the deadlock. "