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Left-wing analysis: Scott Walker Should Be Leading The GOP Field. So Why Isn’t He? "..........A few months ago I was adamant in my belief that Scott Walker would be the GOP nominee. Despite my consistent stance that political professionals underestimate Donald Trump, I’m also not inclined to believe he’ll be the nominee in the end. Republicans tend ultimately to gravitate back to an establishment figure after making flirtations with a number of less stodgy candidates. But in this year’s unusual environment where the establishment is divided while the base is mostly united, the question is who that establishment figure is likely to be.

.... Which is frankly fortunate for the left, because I still hold to the position..Walker would still probably be one of the GOP’s most dangerous general election candidates—and one of their most vicious and destructive presidents.

It goes to show once again that politics at the presidential level is dominated less by candidate records, policy positions and bases of support, and more by charisma, authenticity and demeanor. It’s just the nature of the beast."

Meltdown mystery: GOP voters still like Scott Walker as poll numbers near zero - "One of the oddities of Scott Walker’s polling collapse is that his image among GOP voters remains fairly positive...

Why pay attention to these image ratings, when the horse race numbers get so much more attention?

Gallup has been tracking them because history shows the horse race numbers at this stage of the nominating process can change dramatically. And those numbers are often shaped as much by how well known candidates are — and how much attention they’re getting — as by the judgments voters are making about them.

A candidate with high negatives (as Donald Trump has had in many polls) can lead in the horse race if he or she has a strong core of support. That’s especially true in a large field where the vote is fragmented. But that candidate may have little room to grow when the field shrinks.

A candidate with lower negatives and broader acceptability in their party (like Walker and Rubio) can lag in the polls if they’re not generating interest and excitement. But they may have more potential to grow if they later gain traction.

“No measure at this point tells you what’s going to happen in the future. We think we can do a better job at this stage asking people their opinion of the candidates rather than focusing on the horse race,” says Gallup pollster Frank Newport.

“What we watch (in public polls) is, ‘Where is his favorable, where is his unfavorable?’” said Walker strategist Ed Goeas in a recent interview. “In survey after survey after survey, with the exception of Ben Carson, (Walker) has the second best favorable/unfavorable ratio of all the candidates. If, in fact, this was something of voters reacting negatively to him, you would see his negatives going up and his positives going down.”

Walker has had lower negatives than many of his rivals — lower than Republicans such as Trump, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. In theory, that gives him a higher ceiling...."

1 posted on 09/21/2015 4:26:42 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

He should have stood on his tippy-toes for the photo.


2 posted on 09/21/2015 4:34:03 AM PDT by Resettozero
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

He’s a good man, did great things as governor, not up to the top job.

I hope President Trump hires him as labor secretary


3 posted on 09/21/2015 4:38:05 AM PDT by Mr. K (If it is HilLIARy -vs- Jeb! then I am writing-in Palin/Cruz)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Governor Walker made reference to Congressman Paul Ryan as a ‘great reformer’ in recent weeks and I don’t buy that.

Ryan has spoken of a plan to balance a budget in ten years.

That’s the same trick that was pulled by George W. Bush on education with No Child Left Behind, telling people there would be 100 percent proficiency in reading and math in 10 years. That didn’t happen in 2014 as promised.

The federal budget needs to be balanced yesterday but the Republicans are unable-unwilling to do it.

Republican leaders like Boehner and McConnell routinely push through constant increases in our national debt ceiling.

More money to be borrowed from Arabs, Chinese, big banks etc. etc. etc.

Austerity plans of other nations in Europe don’t balance budgets either and increase debt ceilings, borrowing from the banks. The banks get the benefit of a steady stream of debt covering payments from the people of the US, Canada and Europe.


9 posted on 09/21/2015 4:57:03 AM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODY'S BUSINESS, REMEMBER PASTOR NIEMOLLER)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I think Walker is gonna surprise people in Iowa by finishing top three there.

I think Trump will also surprise people in Iowa by not finishing top three.


11 posted on 09/21/2015 5:02:23 AM PDT by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Marco Rubio seems to be the somewhat establishment candidate, but with differences to separate him from the elite. I could see Trump/Rubio as a winning combo.

It doesn't seem that Walker has defined where he is on the political spectrum. He campaigns as an outsider, but doesn't seem to have any bond with the outsiders. Would Walker benefit from four or eight more years defining himself and more fully owning his views?

13 posted on 09/21/2015 5:03:32 AM PDT by grania
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Trump’s target is Walker. He’s done nothing to harm the GOPe. All their candidates are polling a total of 32%, more than enough to hand the nomination over to Jeb.

Trump’s faker than a $3 Obama bill.


23 posted on 09/21/2015 5:26:38 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

If I ever run for election, you’re hired. :)


30 posted on 09/21/2015 5:48:09 AM PDT by TexasCajun (#BlackViolenceMatters)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
A candidate with high negatives (as Donald Trump has had in many polls) can lead in the horse race if he or she has a strong core of support. That’s especially true in a large field where the vote is fragmented. But that candidate may have little room to grow when the field shrinks.

A candidate with lower negatives and broader acceptability in their party (like Walker and Rubio) can lag in the polls if they’re not generating interest and excitement. But they may have more potential to grow if they later gain traction.

Translation: Trump has a high floor and a low ceiling.

Exactly what Rove was saying a month or two ago... not so sure he is still saying it.

My personal take is: a good campaigner with the right message can blow through ceilings. Also, positive/negative ratings can be just as fluid as "who will you vote for" polling numbers.

37 posted on 09/21/2015 6:44:13 AM PDT by samtheman (2014: Voters elect Repubs to congress... 2015: Repubs defund NOTHING... 2016: Trump/(Cruz or Palin))
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Good man but didnt catch on. Wish him the best and thank him for his service.


41 posted on 09/21/2015 7:01:37 AM PDT by rrrod (Just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; onyx; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; ...

Another analysis of Walker’s sudden decline in the polls.

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


53 posted on 09/21/2015 10:49:07 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Danggit. I like the guy, but it will be nice to have him back here in Wisconsin to continue to grind the Socialists’ faces into the gravel, LOL!


54 posted on 09/21/2015 10:51:24 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

He won the Illinois straw poll Saturday. Don’t count him out just yet.


57 posted on 09/21/2015 11:29:40 AM PDT by DLfromthedesert (www.ouramericanrevival.com)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Walker giving news conference at 6, rumor he is dropping out


61 posted on 09/21/2015 1:08:06 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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