Posted on 09/09/2015 10:46:16 AM PDT by Hojczyk
Republican Donald Trump isnt going away anytime soon, I now believe.
That assessment doesnt mean I think Trump is the favorite for the Iowa caucuses or the GOP nomination, but it does reflect a fundamental shift in my thinking.
I can no longer say that with any certainty, though it remains the single most likely outcome.
Trumps favorable rating jumped from 27 percent in the May Selzer & Companys Iowa Poll for the Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics to 61 percent in the August 23-25 Selzer survey. At the same time, his unfavorable rating dropped from 63 percent to a more manageable 35 percent.
Trumps positioning improved in other ways, as well. In May, a clear majority of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers 58 percent said they could never support him. That number fell to 29 percent in the most recent Selzer poll.
Remarkably, more likely caucus attendees said they could never vote for Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul (43 percent), New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (48 percent), Ohio Gov. John R. Kasich (40 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (39 percent), former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (35 percent) and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (35 percent) than said they could never support Trump for president.
Trumps image in Iowa has improved at the same time his flaws, shortcomings and liabilities have become more apparent. For now, however, many voters just dont seem to care. The Trump persona is compelling.
A friend of mine who has spent many years in politics recently emailed me from a Florida airport after sitting next to two women who were lifelong Democrats but intended to vote for Trump.
They think someone needs to fundamentally change the political culture. They believe his policies are less important than his no-bullshit posture. Amazing, he wrote.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.rollcall.com ...
This is why he will get a lot of democrat votes..
A friend of mine who has spent many years in politics recently emailed me from a Florida airport after sitting next to two women who were lifelong Democrats but intended to vote for Trump.
They think someone needs to fundamentally change the political culture. They believe his policies are less important than his no-bullshit posture. Amazing, he wrote.
But Trump is proving to be a successful demagogue who understands how to manipulate the media and voters feelings of anger. And that makes the Republican race more unpredictable than ever.
Guess he does not get it yet..
Congratulations, Stuart, on recognizing during the second week of September what most outside the Beltway recognized by late June.
You always nail every single bull’s eye.
“A friend of mine who has spent many years in politics recently emailed me from a Florida airport after sitting next to two women who were lifelong Democrats but intended to vote for Trump. “
What about the 40% independent vote? Trump might even take celebrity enamored California, barring a major F up. I’m for Cruz, by the way, since day one. The MSM has apparently agreed to not film or even mention the name Cruz, so his best bet is VP.
Just like the Spartans
The Spartans had 300 to defeat the heathen hordes
But The Donald has a tight group of 35 on his campaign staff against the combined might of the MSM, dims and assorted communist, socialists and GOPe.
“Republican Donald Trump isnt going away anytime soon, I now believe. “
gee, what gave Stu a clue?
And the recent poll that showed Trump with 25% support of black Americans. If he continues to improve his campaign and issues more excellent position papers, there is no telling how much unexpected support he might win. He could start leading in states no Republican has won since Reagan.
Trump needs Cruz if that's how things work out. Just watching Cruz and then Trump speak at the anti-Iran idiot deal a few minutes ago clearly showed the strengths of each.
Wow, high praise. But establishment folks like Stuart Rothenburg and others are making it pretty easy during this presidential campaign. Trump has shorted out half the brain pathways they have used so often in the past.
LOL!
” Just watching Cruz and then Trump speak at the anti-Iran idiot deal a few minutes ago clearly showed the strengths of each. “
Yes it did.
It is amazing. I look at his policies--his liberal views, past and present--and I reject him. I don't care that he's got a big mouth and is full of bluster.
Stuart has gotten a clue. Trump has wide appeal. He will win the general election in a landslide.
“They believe his policies are less important than his no-bullshit posture. “
This is the single biggest driver of Trumps success. When people say they want change in politics, it’s the BS they want gone.
In May, a clear majority of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers -- 58 percent -- said they could never support him. That number fell to 29 percent in the most recent Selzer poll. Remarkably, more likely caucus attendees said they could never vote for Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul (43 percent), New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (48 percent), Ohio Gov. John R. Kasich (40 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (39 percent), former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (35 percent) and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum (35 percent) than said they could never support Trump for president.
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