Posted on 06/29/2015 12:35:54 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
Over the past few months, the boss has conducted an unscientific straw poll to ask newsletter subscribers and TWS blog readers their top three choices for the 2016 GOP nominee. This morning, he sent out the results, and Scott Walker has maintained his lead.
Here's an excerpt from the newsletter:
Last but not least: the results of our straw poll. First, a caveat: The last newsletter appeared just before Donald Trump got in the race, so he wasn't on the list of candidates. He nonetheless got a fair number of write-in votes (he ended up with 2% of the first place ballots, and was on 5% of all ballots in first, second or third). I'm sure he would have done far better if he'd been listed. As I suggest in this week's editorial, while I don't think he should be the nominee or even come close to being the nominee, I do suspect the political class is under-estimating the potency of his message, and I suspect the other candidates could learn something from what he's saying.
In any case, in our latest straw poll, Scott Walker continues to hold the first place position he's had in all four of our surveys. Marco Rubio is now a clear second, and is one of only two candidates to have moved up consistently from poll to poll. The other is Carly Fiorina, who is now sixth in first place votes, but third (!) when you total first, second and third place showings. All the other candidates have more or less bounced around inconclusively, as you can see below. So the bottom line is: Walker remains strong, Rubio continues to move up, and Fiorina is surging.
Here are the results of the four straw polls we've done. The first number is the percentage of first place ballots the candidate received, the second is the number of ballots on which the candidate is mentioned for either first, second or third place.
(Rick Santorum, Chris Christie, Lindsey Graham, and George Pataki were all no better than 1 percent in first place ballots or 4 percent in the three top places combined, so I've left them --along with Trump-- off of the chart.)
......CONTINUED......
Congrats to the governor for winning this straw poll. But as your caveat says Trump was absent in the list when poll was recorded. If Fiorina and Trump both qualify for the first debate, it will be a very interesting debate.
So Jim can’t even make himself say the name “Ted Cruz” even though he’s consistently in third place in these polls? Hahahaha!
I noticed the same “anomaly” Friday on Fox News when Bret Baier’s show was covering the Western Conservative Summit in Denver and Scott Walker’s name was never mentioned, even though he was the keynote speaker.
They want them some Bush, and failing that, Rubio or Kasich.
Fox has Bush at 15%, Trump 11%, Carson 10, Walker and Rubio at 9%. Cruz only 4%.I do not like Jeb. His comments about the marriage decision should do him in.
loooong way off but its looking like a Walker/Rubio ticket to me..at this point.
loooong way off but its looking like a Walker/Rubio ticket to me..at this point.
“So Jim cant even make himself say the name Ted Cruz even though hes consistently in third place in these polls?”..........
I wondered the same thing. The media in general just cannot let themselves believe that Cruz has a remote chance. I truly hope they have entirely missed the boat. I do like Walker (he’s my state’s governor) but yet another “poll” shows him leading, but it is a very small sampling of the entire voting population.
Cruz holding steady. He also did well in the recent Western Summit poll...and he didn’t even speak there.
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