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Senate 2016: the 10 hottest races
The Christian Science Monitor ^ | June 10, 2015 | Linda Feldmann

Posted on 06/16/2015 3:10:57 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

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To: TBP; sickoflibs; NFHale; Impy; BillyBoy
"We need a good candidate. Who's available? Is former Gov. Parnell a conservative? What about Miller? Who else?"

Miller beat Murkowski the last time, but his popularity is not particularly good. Parnell just narrowly lost reelection to a liberal RINO "Indy" endorsed by Palin (who was mad at him over some particular issue). His running would be curious - would Palin come out in favor of leftist Murkowski to stop him ? Another name is former Lt Governor Loren Leman, who graciously stepped aside in 2006 (which benefitted Palin), but he may be "old news." Another possibility is the OTHER Dan Sullivan who ran as Parnell's Lt Gov nominee last year. That would be a mind-blower having two unrelated Senators with the same name.

"Well, I agree that the Dhimmicrap candidates are an unimpressive lot, but the state hasn't elected a Republican statewide (other thanm RINO Ah-nold in a very special circumstance) in a long time. Who do you think can pull it off?"

True, not since 2006 with Ah-nold running as the incumbent has an "R" won. But with this bizarre jungle primary mess, if a crapload of Dems get in, a Republican (or two) could conceivably get one of the top runoff slots. One statewide office in 2014 almost had two Republicans in the runoff. The one that emerged, Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearingen, may be the most prominent. Polling data indicated Condoleezza Rice had her leading all Dems, although ideologically is no prize. The GOP has a lot of lesser candidates, but other than those two, no one jumps out as a strong contender, unfortunately.

"Well, it's the bluest of blue states, but we did just elect a Republican governor -- in part because of the horrid record of the previous governor and in part because of the infighting among Democrats. (In fact, Lt. Gov. Brown is now running for Donna Edwards's seat.) A lot of the Democrats who voted for Doug Gansler in the primary either stayed home or voted for Hogan."

You mean RED, don't you ? (I loathe and never use the media newspeak colors for ideology - Red is not Conservative, Blue ain't leftist). Anyway, I was one of the few on FR that predicted that Hogan would beat Brown last year. White Democrats in the state have a big problem electing one-issue racist, ultraleftist Black hoodrats from PG County (all the while they can claim to be "enlightened" electing one from out of state as President). Edwards is another toxic PGCo candidate who doesn't have to deal with a White (or upper income) constituency.

"I'm not sure who would be a good candidate, however. REp. Andy Harris might be able to pull it off, but he seems more interested in retaining his Eastern Shore House seat. I don't know if Lt. Gov. Boyd Rutherford (Maryland's third straight black Lt. Gov, BTW) is ready or wants to make a statewide run of his own. Steel is yesterday's news. Bongino again? Most of the rest are Connie Morella-type RINOs."

Who is the million-dollar question. Eastern Shore pols don't often fare well statewide (3 of the 4 last GOP Senators from MD came from Western MD). By that reckoning, Bongino might be better, but his Senate race showing was poor (albeit there were two anti-Dem candidates running in the general). I can't handicap Lt Gov. Rutherford because he has no independent electoral record and I know little about him. Ex-Gov. Ehrlich might be a possibility, but his disastrous 2010 race for Gov still leaves a bad taste in MD Republican mouths. Running a wealthy candidate is a must.

61 posted on 06/17/2015 11:05:40 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; TBP; sickoflibs; NFHale; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued

Dan Bongino moved from Maryland to Florida. To FL-18th, although I don’t think he’s gonna run for that.


62 posted on 06/17/2015 11:29:11 AM PDT by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Dan Sullivan and Dan Sullivan?


63 posted on 06/17/2015 11:29:20 AM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: Impy

Oh, yeah. Forgot about that.


64 posted on 06/17/2015 11:35:30 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: TBP

Yup.


65 posted on 06/17/2015 11:35:41 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

That would confuse a lot of people, especially if they disagree on an issue.

“Your Senator, Dan Sullivan, voted...”

(No, the OTHER one!)


66 posted on 06/17/2015 2:24:39 PM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: TBP

Hey, just imagine in a 100 years from now, all our Senators will ne named Patel. ;-D


67 posted on 06/17/2015 3:15:17 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; NFHale; ExTexasRedhead; GeronL; ..

1.) Ron Johnson (R-WI)- I’d rate this around 50/50. I thought a Scott Walker nomination would help Johnson, but Walker’s local popularity has taken a hit.

2.) Vacant (D-NV)- I expect Congressman Joe Heck to run, rate him the marginal favorite but no shoo in.

3.) Mark Kirk (R-IL)- Mark Kirk is as uninspiring as a Republican can be, but take not of how the state votes, and of how ‘Rat candidate Tammy Duckworth votes.

4.) Vacant (R-FL)- This race has been slow to form on the Republican side. The Democrat front-runner is Patrick Murphy, whose record is similar to Bill Nelson, the state’s senior Senator who keeps getting reelected.

5.) Patrick Toomey (R-PA)- Toomey nearly lost in spite of having a lot going for him. He faces a tough reelection, but it’s unclear who the Democrat will be. Joe Sestak is running again, but has inter-party opposition.

6.) Rob Portman (R-OH)- Portman’s known for being caught between his responsibilities as a father and his responsibilities as a public servant. Conservatives are very irked, so he’ll face a primary of some kind. I think he’ll be back for a second term due partly from cheers from the MSM.

7.) Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)- against anyone but Maggie Hassan, she’s in. Against Hassan, it could go either way. Remember, in 2010, she won a landslide in a race rated a tossup.

8.) Michael Bennet (D-CO)- Scott Tipton is the man to watch, Republicans are hoping for a surprise candidacy like Cory Gardner’s. It could happen.

9.) Richard Burr (R-NC)- He’s a mediocre Senator. Thankfully, Democrats have a thin bench. But remember, Kay Hagan ran a good campaign in 2014 and very nearly won.

10.) John McCain (R-AZ)- It’s easy to dislike McCain. If there were no serious Democrat running, I’d say primary him. Now I’m not so sure. I don’t think Kelly Ward is ready for prime time.

Honorable mentions:

Indiana (vacant R)- I rooting for Marlin Stutzman, but he faces a primary challenge. Baron Hill cannot be counted out entirely.

California (vacant D) Republicans could win if everything broke their way. So far, nothing has. The closest thing to a strong candidate is state Assemblyman Rocky Chavez from the northern San Diego area. Right now, I expect state AG Kalema Harris to be the next Senator.


68 posted on 06/17/2015 5:36:54 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican

Ward isn’t likely to beat McPain, we need a stronger candidate, Matt Salmon is considering it, she has said (I hope she meant it) she would drop out for someone more prominent.


69 posted on 06/17/2015 5:42:21 PM PDT by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: LongWayHome

What a princess. Let her lose, and she can be a “ballet mom” and leave us alone.


70 posted on 06/18/2015 8:07:24 PM PDT by Mamzelle
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; randita; AuH2ORepublican

Cross off another potential candidate in CO, Cynthia Coffman.


71 posted on 06/19/2015 6:57:19 AM PDT by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Portman is a Methodist... according to

http://christianteens.about.com/od/homosexuality/f/MethodistHomsex.htm

“Meanwhile, the United Methodist Church does support the inclusion of homosexuals in the congregation, and homosexuals can take part in sacraments and programs. However, the UMC does state that “the practice of homosexuality is incompatible with Christian teaching,” so the church does not allow homosexuals to become ordained ministers. The UMC will not conduct homosexual marriages and will not allow them to be held in their churches.”

So you are correct and we are witnessing the power of the angel of light as he continues to deceive mankind.

And in a galaxy near you... the Pope’s recent statements will likely lead to the conversion of the Catholic Church to accept homosexuality as being “one of those things...”

http://religion.blogs.cnn.com/2013/09/19/pope-francis-church-cant-interfere-with-gays/


72 posted on 06/19/2015 12:29:45 PM PDT by overdog2
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To: overdog2

Satan is a busy bee.


73 posted on 06/19/2015 12:45:10 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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