Posted on 06/16/2015 3:10:57 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Here’s a rundown of the hottest races:
(Excerpt) Read more at csmonitor.com ...
Here are the CS Monitor’s rankings of the top 10:
1.) Ron Johnson (R-WI)
2.) Vacant (D-NV)
3.) Mark Kirk (R-IL)
4.) Vacant (R-FL)
5.) Patrick Toomey (R-PA)
6.) Rob Portman (R-OH)
7.) Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)
8.) Michael Bennet (D-CO)
9.) Richard Burr (R-NC)
10.) John McCain (R-AZ)
Ladies and Gentlemen, start your prognosis comments please!
Whoops, I forgot to ping you to this.
Another case of the Dems having no bench.
No idea about Colorado right now. Bennet should be weak and the public image is he hasn’t done much. But with Mike Coffman bowing out we don’t have a candidate yet.
1.) Ron Johnson (R-WI) <-—Johnson has gone flaky during his tenure, but Feingold was never popular during his 3 terms and should’ve lost after his first. If Feingold wins it back, he’ll likely only hold it for a single term as he’ll face a slew of Republicans in 2022. I rate this as 50/50.
2.) Vacant (D-NV) <-—Almost a guaranteed GOP pick-up (so long as the nominee isn’t Sharron Angle)
3.) Mark Kirk (R-IL) <-—Kirk was the designated Combiner winner for 2010. The question is if he will be in 2016. I think they’d prefer to keep 1 of each party to maintain power. I couldn’t care less if he’s reelected.
4.) Vacant (R-FL) <-—Guaranteed GOP retention
5.) Patrick Toomey (R-PA) <-—Expected rematch against Fleastack or whatever his name is. Toomey has been a disappointment in the Senate. He leads in the polls against his former opponent.
6.) Rob Portman (R-OH) <-—Ex-Gov. Strickland is running here, but fares poorly against Portman. I wish someone else other than pro-gay RINO Portman was running.
7.) Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) <-—No declared opponent yet. Dems are waiting on Gov. Hassan to have a go, but I expect Ayotte will win again, despite a subpar record.
8.) Michael Bennet (D-CO) <-—Bennet may have been the luckiest Democrat Senator (never elected) in the 2010 cycle drawing a subpar opponent in Ken Buck. The big question remains which Republican will run now that Rep. Mike Coffman took a pass. I still put this in lean GOP.
9.) Richard Burr (R-NC) <-—Dems don’t have a substantial candidate here. Some want ex-Sen. Kay Hagan to run, but she knows she isn’t likely to win.
10.) John McCain (R-AZ) <-—The battle here will be in the primary. Defeating McCain is paramount, but with a younger candidate like State Sen. Kelli Ward, not Rep. Matt Salmon who needlessly lost a statewide race for Governor.
Hope McCain & Grahams puppet Ayotte in NH goes down. She’s a flat-out liar. Ran as tea party.
Hassan is running in NH. The GOP is already running adds against here. Presidential year....in NH that means Ayotte is done.
They can all be dismissed. No keepers.
bfl
Being a Pennsylvanian, the thing I remember about Toomey is that he teamed up with Joe Manchin on Gun Control. When Toomey did that he lost my vote.
The keystone to breaking the Senate to a more conservative view is taking out McCain.
I keep hoping he comes to his senses and retires.
Yep - the first thing conservative Toomey did was join obama to push for gun control.
I even wrote him that he just lost a strong supporter and if he didn’t change I would actively work against him.
He didn’t change
Weird that Burr is in that list. He flattened his Dem opponent in 2010 for re-election and hasn’t picked up any controversy (that I know of) since. And Hagan? She couldn’t even beat the supposedly radioactive state house speaker Thom Tillis. I don’t even think NC is all that likely to go Dem in the presidential race unless we nominate a disastrous candidate, so I don’t see coattails helping them, either.
Hassan isn’t very popular. Presidential year doesn’t necessarily mean much, either. NH has had 4 Senate races coincide with Presidential races (2016 will be the 5th) since 1992 in which every (Prez) one was won by the Dem (1992, 1996, 2004, 2008) and with the exception of Jeanne Shaheen’s beating John Sununu, Jr. in 2008, the rest were all won by the Republican. I give Ayotte about a 55% chance of retaining her seat. Even Dem-leaning polls show Ayotte tied or ahead of Hassan (Hassan only does well against Ovide Lamontagne).
Rs hold all and pick up Co and NV....
Rs hold all and pick up Co and NV....
What’s bizarre is that Lisa Murkowski isn’t on the list. She LOST renomination in 2010 (which also should’ve barred her from running a sore loser write-in campaign). She’s remained on the left ever since and hasn’t mended any fences. Taking her out in the primary - AGAIN - ought to be top priority (though I’d imagine she’ll try the same stunt again — but if the GOP leadership had any standards, would tell her if she loses again, she will not be recognized or seated as a Republican). If she wants to vote like a Democrat and get their vote in an election, let her caucus with them.
The Boxer open seat in CA should be there, too (ahead of Burr, at least).
MD’s Mikulski open seat should be there, too, especially given the internecine race war occurring on the Dem side. The GOP has an excellent chance with Donna Edwards as the Dem nominee.
Every single incumbent should be voted out, except for that guy “Vacant”, who seems to be running in two states. ;)
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