Posted on 06/16/2015 3:10:57 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
NH has changed....forget 92, 96, or 04 even. Ancient history. State is purple trending blue. Ayotte tied against a so-call weak Hassan, at this point, ought to tell you which way that election is moving.
But I am more concerned that ROBERT CASEY be replaced. He is totally worthless...He stays hidden out of sight until right before elections then comes out and plays on his dad's coat tails and He is nothing like his dad was...we need to find a POWERFUL PERSON to replace CASEY, the church mouse.
Just an Addendum: Hassan is ahead in several recent polls, and more important 1: Ayotte has not polled over 45% 2: Ayotte’s numbers among independents sits at 40%. That’s the kiss of death in a state like NH.
As I said, other than for 2000, NH has been voting Democrat for President since 1992. Other than for 2008, that still was not enough for the Republicans to lose. The most recent poll I saw (taken in May) had Ayotte ahead and a Dem leaning poll had them tied. I never said Ayotte was highly popular, but I also don’t believe Hassan is strong enough to defeat Ayotte regardless of the year at present. We also don’t know if NH will definitively vote Democrat in 2016 for President given the national climate. I think the GOP has an excellent shot to win the state with the right candidate (and not another phony squish like McCain or Willard).
You don’t like Ayotte, I’m not a big fan of hers either, but you cannot at this point declare her a definitive loser (and also because its a Presidential year).
We can agree to disagree. Ayotte’s numbers are terrible for a sitting senator. The 40% with independents is a killer. I do not like her, you’re right, but I’m basing my opinion of her losing on my experience of working with the GOP as a political operative here in New England over the past 25 years.
I stopped actively working for the GOP 6 or 7 years ago....though I did some consulting on the Scott Brown run for senate in NH. In any case: her numbers suck right now.
I see several Republicans on the list whom I hope will be replaced by conservatives.
I’m more worried about Frank Guinta’s race, anyhow.
I’m from Ohio. Portman will not be moved out. I doubt he’ll even be primaried.
It’s unfortunate. Ohio deserves a lot better.
He used to be my congressman. At that time he was really solid. Then he got in the administration....
>> Weird that Burr is in that list <<
I imagine it’s simply because a “top ten” list needs ten items. The makers of this list couldn’t come up with another “hot” race, so they probably just picked Burr’s name out of the nearest hat.
And then he decided to put appeasing his son’s mental illness ahead of God.
I hear Frank will not resign, but it’s doubtful he will run again. What’s sad is that Frank’s district, the first CD, used to be a GOP stronghold.....these days not so much.
Funny thing is: if Hassan runs for senate the GOP has a good chance of picking up the governorship. NH is a mess these days. Wild swings in voting on the local levels. I think upper Maine, in general, is now more conservative than most anywhere in NH.
The 2nd used to be more so. From 1914 until 1990 it never elected a Democrat (until Dick Swett). Hodes and Kuster never held it more than 2 terms (so far). Someone other than Charlie Bass should’ve run for it when they took it back in 2010 (only to lose it in ‘12).
For awhile, the Dems actually had a bit more luck in the 1st. The GOP held it without interruption from 1939 until 1965, until a Dem upset freshman Lou Wyman in the anti-Goldwater election. Wyman held it until that election that he won for Senate in 1974 (and had stolen from him). Dem Norman D’Amours won it in 1974 and held it for a decade until Bob Smith took it from him in 1984. Sadly, that weak RINO Jeb Bradley (now back in the legislature), much like with Bass in the 2nd, didn’t have a strong hold on it.
Hopefully someone will be able to hold the seat for the GOP (although last I heard, Guinta did NOT say he was retiring, only that he wouldn’t resign, and I don’t think he should). The concern is that lunatic Che Porter might come back (although even if she does, she’ll probably lose in 2018).
It’s amazing it has been 14 years (2002) since the GOP has won the Governorship now (not even VT has gone that long), and before that, not since 1994 when Steve Merrill won his final term.
Of course, the one positive to those wild swings is that at least the Dems don’t get deeply entrenched, but then neither do the Republicans.
As you know the NH governor has a 2 year term, and the last republican to win in 2002 was Benson who only had one term. The first time in almost 90 years someone running for governor for a second term was defeated.
Guinta has not said anything about running next year, but I suspect, even if he does run, he will lose in the primary. The nut Shea-Porter most likely will run, again. I don’t know if a republican can win the Second CD any longer. It’s really skewed left in recent years. We ran a great person over there. Young Hispanic women. Beautiful, smart, and she got trounced.
I agree with you completely.
I am not so sure Florida is a guaranteed win, but with Hillary on top, it might happen.
Kirk loses I think.
I was following the race in the 2nd last year. Garcia was a decent enough candidate, but she was likely underfunded and probably didn’t get enough exposure. I hope she runs again (if not for Congress, for the state legislature or Governor) in the near future. I wouldn’t write off the 2nd just yet.
Hope McCain & Grahams puppet Ayotte in NH goes down
Agree. Looks like no one has stepped up, to run against her :( Hope that changes.
Can’t stand what she has turned into.
The problem with Florida is that Rep. Patrick Murphy (for the Dems) is hoping to have clear sailing through the primary. If Alan Grayson gets in, it will get really ugly and whomever emerges will be damaged (personally, I’m hoping Grayson wins, because he is toxic in a statewide race).
I was a bit more hopeful if CFO Jeff Atwater had run on the GOP side, as he has won statewide, but he said he didn’t want to go to DC (and so will probably run for Governor instead in 2018). So far the Conservative preference is for Congressman Ron DeSantis, and he would make an excellent Senator. At present, I believe DeSantis can hold it for the GOP.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.