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What's Causing the Wage Stagnation?
RCM ^ | 11/6/2014 | Robert Samuelson

Posted on 11/06/2014 7:57:13 AM PST by SeekAndFind

I recently wrote about sluggish and stagnant wages, which are said to weaken the economy's recovery. I argued that workers' fear of losing their jobs is an important - perhaps decisive - explanation. In a nutshell: Frightened of being fired and being unable to find a new job, workers are less inclined to quit and search for something better. Therefore, employers don't have to raise wages, or can raise them less, to retain their best workers. Wage gains have been running at about 2 percent annually, a bit above the rate of inflation.

There are many competing theories. The most obvious: For labor, it's still a buyer's market. There remain millions of unemployed Americans eager to fill openings; this includes both those officially counted as unemployed and those so discouraged that they have stopped looking for work. Businesses keep wage gains down because there's a surplus of applicants.

But one theory I should have mentioned involves what economists call "downward nominal wage rigidity." In plain language, workers don't like to see their wages cut, even in hard times. The prejudice against wage cuts is so strong that many firms voluntarily abstain from doing so. The reason is not altruism, but fear of adverse consequences. Workers would be demoralized; productivity would suffer; companies would be stigmatized as bad places to work.

In a paper, three economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco argued that the norm against wage cuts helps explain wage patterns in the Great Recession and the subsequent recovery. "As the economy falls into a recession," they wrote, "businesses would like to reduce wages" - but don't because that would violate the norm. Instead, the economists contended, companies compensate by holding down wage increases during the recovery.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearmarkets.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: business; salary; stagnation; unemployment; wages
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1 posted on 11/06/2014 7:57:13 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

What’s causing the wage stagnation?

Obama


2 posted on 11/06/2014 7:58:27 AM PST by joshua c (Please dont feed the liberals)
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To: SeekAndFind

Surplus of workers.


3 posted on 11/06/2014 8:00:33 AM PST by kabar
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To: SeekAndFind
Can't raise wages when profits aren't rising.

Higher profits equal higher wages.

4 posted on 11/06/2014 8:00:41 AM PST by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
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To: SeekAndFind

He hasn’t heard that we’ve lost a million jobs over the last few years? Something like that has a tendency to keep wages down.

Is he from Mars?


5 posted on 11/06/2014 8:02:52 AM PST by marron
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To: joshua c

Illegal immigration and DREAMERs certainly contribute.


6 posted on 11/06/2014 8:03:34 AM PST by tbw2
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To: SeekAndFind

Wide-spread incompetence? Not working for a commission?


7 posted on 11/06/2014 8:04:23 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: kabar
Surplus of workers.

But...butt......unemployment is only 5.9%

(do I really need a sarcasm tag?)

8 posted on 11/06/2014 8:05:42 AM PST by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
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To: SeekAndFind

Illegals.......................


9 posted on 11/06/2014 8:06:40 AM PST by Red Badger (If you compromise with evil, you just get more evil..........................)
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To: mountn man

Corporate profits aren’t rising?

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CP


10 posted on 11/06/2014 8:08:11 AM PST by nascarnation (Impeach, Convict, Deport)
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To: SeekAndFind

Uh...Global Warming?


11 posted on 11/06/2014 8:09:38 AM PST by PROCON (Ask Yourself This..Are You More Likely to be Infected or Beheaded Today Than You Were 6 Years Ago?)
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To: SeekAndFind
Are benefits calculated in these ‘stagnant’ wages? Going to bet those weren't calculated. Most employees have received substantial raises, just not to their pocket. Especially with the inane requirements that ObamaCare compliant policies not only include maternity coverage, but also are forbidden from charging different based on gender.

Especially hard hit are companies which have a substantially mature workforce. Those employees generally forgo any maternity coverage in their policies.

Add in local laws mandating sick leave, holidays and even mandatory vacation time, most employee costs are skyrocketing while wages have remained flat.

12 posted on 11/06/2014 8:10:36 AM PST by kingu (Everything starts with slashing the size and scope of the federal government.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Too few job openings because this administration and democrats have done everything possible to destroy businesses.


13 posted on 11/06/2014 8:12:01 AM PST by I want the USA back (Media: completely irresponsible. Complicit in the destruction of this country.)
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To: mountn man
The labor participation rate is the lowest since 1977.


14 posted on 11/06/2014 8:12:31 AM PST by kabar
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To: joshua c

Correct.


15 posted on 11/06/2014 8:15:21 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: tbw2
Legal immigration is the biggest cause of depressed wages and the loss of jobs for native born Ameicans. We have just had the two largest decades of legal immigration in American history. Over 27 million legal permanent immigrants entered this country during the period 1990-2010.


16 posted on 11/06/2014 8:15:56 AM PST by kabar
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To: SeekAndFind
1. Unrestricted immigration, both legal and illegal.

2. Lunatic "free" trade policies that undercut American businesses and that lead to the transfer of American technology overseas

You want to see wages rise? Create a labor shortage by restricting immigration at both the top and bottom and where businesses have an incentive to hire because they have a market that's not undercut by unfair foreign competition.

You know, the way we were from 1945 - 1965, when the average projected lifetime earnings of a high school graduate were higher than those of a college graduate.

17 posted on 11/06/2014 8:16:39 AM PST by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: kabar

We have a winner!


18 posted on 11/06/2014 8:17:10 AM PST by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: SeekAndFind

Obviously the only solution is to import millions of unskilled uneducated workers from the third world.


19 posted on 11/06/2014 8:18:55 AM PST by Organic Panic
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To: mountn man

Yes, a totally made up, fake, and inaccurate number, as you know.


20 posted on 11/06/2014 8:19:23 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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