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Estimate: Iran Could Produce a Nuclear Weapon Within 36 Days
INN ^ | 11/28/2013, 8:38 AM | Tova Dvorin

Posted on 11/28/2013 12:41:35 AM PST by Olog-hai

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To: tacticalogic

If you want maximum yield, the fuel has to be forced together radially so that it implodes together into a critical mass at the same time.

The “gun” design works, but much of the fuel is scattered and wasted.


21 posted on 11/28/2013 8:24:34 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: tacticalogic; gandalftb
I don't think fission bombs "implode". You just have to slam two sub-critical masses together hard enough to create one critical mass.

Correct. The Hiroshima bomb was a uranium bomb; Nagasaki was a plutonium bomb. The former is a relatively simple device -- a 105 mm cannon fired a uranium "donut hole" into a uranium "donut" to achieve critical mass.

From an engineering standpoint, there's nothing complicated about it -- once you've got sufficient enriched U-235.

The plutonium bomb employed a hollow spherical shell and implosion to achieve critical mass.

22 posted on 11/28/2013 8:28:47 AM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: gandalftb
The “gun” design works, but much of the fuel is scattered and wasted.

I don't think the Iranians care. Successfully detonating even an inefficient nuke on Israli or US soil would rally the militant Islamic factions in the region around the mullahs and consolidate their power. They're seeking to fulfill a prophecy, and normal strategic considerations don't apply.

23 posted on 11/28/2013 8:32:24 AM PST by tacticalogic
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To: okie01

Well said. All critical mass fuels require efficiency to get the greatest yield to minimize the fuel required to minimize the weight to make the bomb the most portable.

It’s all about delivery, range and payload of the missile.


24 posted on 11/28/2013 8:33:51 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: tacticalogic

How would the Iranians deliver the bomb to the US or even Israel?

The Iranians are crazy by our standards, but not stupid.

They’ve seen what happened to both of their neighbors, Iraq and Afghanistan. Any idiot knows that attacking us or Israel gets the attacker exterminated. The prophecy bucket list goes poof! We need to keep our oars in the water.


25 posted on 11/28/2013 8:37:52 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: gandalftb

A bomb could be smuggled into a harbor, or even used as a mine if a US carrier group could be lured to it. The prophecy says they will be victorious. All they have to do is start the war, and Allah will take care of the rest.


26 posted on 11/28/2013 8:45:39 AM PST by tacticalogic
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To: tacticalogic

You’re right. I have posted many times about a lead shielded container with a large crude bomb inside, sailing for Tel Aviv.

Fortunately, uranium and plutonium fuel constantly degrades and emits very detectable particles that we can now monitor. That wasn’t the case 5 years ago.


27 posted on 11/28/2013 8:49:59 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: gandalftb
Fortunately, uranium and plutonium fuel constantly degrades and emits very detectable particles that we can now monitor. That wasn’t the case 5 years ago.

That might be comforting if I had any faith in this admistration's ability or will to actually do that.

28 posted on 11/28/2013 8:53:11 AM PST by tacticalogic
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To: Olog-hai

I didn’t say they were lying. I am just skeptical of any estimate like this that is so accurate.


29 posted on 11/28/2013 8:59:47 AM PST by Boogieman
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To: gandalftb

“Bibi, we are not so stupid, we can think for ourselves and you are not going to drag us into another war. Resolve your own problems with the Palestinians in your back yard.”

You think Bibi wants us to resolve Israel problems? I think we have an interest in trying to prevent an escalation that would trigger Israel’s resolving their own backyard problems. We may be stupid for negotiating the this agreement. If war starts in the Middle East we are already involved. Your statement reminds me of what many if not the majority of Americans thought prior to 12/7/41.


30 posted on 11/28/2013 1:31:53 PM PST by Rock N Jones
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To: Olog-hai; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Olog-hai.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3096176/posts?page=9#9


31 posted on 11/28/2013 5:13:23 PM PST by SunkenCiv (http://www.freerepublic.com/~mestamachine/)
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To: tacticalogic; gandalftb
The prophecy says they will be victorious. All they have to do is start the war, and Allah will take care of the rest.

kill them all and let GOD sort it out btw israel had the chance to save thems selves 2000 years ago...

32 posted on 11/28/2013 5:23:51 PM PST by bigheadfred
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To: gandalftb

Yes, they’ve seen what happened in Afghanistan and Iraq and are laughing their heads off. They know the last helicopter’s already flown out of Baghdad and that it will be flying out of Kabul soon.

There are lots of delivery methods. Via a porous southern border would be the most ironic, along which our border agents have already recovered Iranian money and other items related to Iran. The Twelver regime isn’t being a slouch about developing ICBMs capable of reaching US soil either.


33 posted on 11/28/2013 5:46:46 PM PST by Olog-hai
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To: gandalftb
Got lost on the way to DU? or listen to too much Michael Savage Weiner?
34 posted on 11/28/2013 5:48:58 PM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Rock N Jones

“You think Bibi wants us to resolve Israel problems?”

It should be obvious that whenever Israel has a foreign affairs problem, they dictate to us what the US should do for them.

Of course Israel is our best Middle East ally, they are good friends. Don’t read into my comments that I want to minimize our relationship just because I call for free thinking and less overt hustling of American public opinion.

How can any negotiation that decreases Iranian nukes be stupid??

The attack on Pearl Harbor was obvious to most Near East observers. The problem was at our General Staff that refused to understand the politics at work. The American public simply never had the mass media opportunity to see the danger and were left oblivious.


35 posted on 11/29/2013 8:57:39 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: bigheadfred

“kill them all”

All one billion of them?

How about the ones born in the US and mixing with your friends and family and community?

Should we kill all their cattle and sheep and babies? Like Joshua did at Jericho?


36 posted on 11/29/2013 9:02:03 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: Rock N Jones
You think Bibi wants us to resolve Israel problems? I think we have an interest in trying to prevent an escalation that would trigger Israel’s resolving their own backyard problems. We may be stupid for negotiating the this agreement. If war starts in the Middle East we are already involved. Your statement reminds me of what many if not the majority of Americans thought prior to 12/7/41.

I don't think Iran is going to attack Israel and I don't think that Israel is going to attack Iran. I think that both of them are bluffing.

However, if Iran and Israel get together and decide that it would be best for them to nuke one another, then there's really nothing we can do to stop them. If they want to catapult themselves into a radioactive version of Biblical times, then what can we really do about it?

In the last analysis, the powers of the Middle East will determine the future of the Middle East.

37 posted on 11/29/2013 9:08:18 AM PST by Tau Food (Never give a sword to a man who can't dance.)
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To: Olog-hai

Who’s lost?

You posted this article with more Israeli loose talk. I posted the actual agreement. Look what happened to the comments after I did.

Same thing happened to the other three article posts with the same Israeli propaganda.

The truth shut down all the rah-rah nonsense when FR readers could see that they were being hustled.

Israel is hurting themselves every time they distort or outright lie about affairs that could get America dragged into another war.

Open your eyes, be an American first. Ask questions, dig deeper. I appreciate your posts and am an Israeli supporter.

Churchill and the Brit general staff and intel knew what the Japanese were up to and said nothing to warn us. That was wrong and cost us many lives in their attempt to drag us into WWII.


38 posted on 11/29/2013 9:10:04 AM PST by gandalftb (Go OK State Cowboys!!)
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To: DownInFlames

War by New Years?

bttt


39 posted on 11/29/2013 9:20:32 AM PST by txhurl
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To: gandalftb

You don’t belong here, I see.


40 posted on 11/29/2013 9:23:16 AM PST by Olog-hai
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