Skip to comments.ObamaCare gives incumbent Dems the jitters
Posted on 10/26/2013 12:25:04 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
The Affordable Care Act is casting a shadow over Democrats chances in Senate battleground states, putting pressure on vulnerable Senate Democrats to distance themselves from the laws clumsy rollout.
Five vulnerable Democratic incumbents who this week called for extending the laws enrollment period and delaying penalties for not signing up on time come from states where voters hold unfavorable views of the law.
Some Democratic strategists, however, argue the issue is not as potent as Republicans think and predict it could boomerang on conservatives who have pushed for a full repeal of the law without offering detailed proposals to replace it.
Republican-sponsored and independent polls in Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, New Hampshire and North Carolina show the law is significantly more unpopular than popular.
Internal NRSC polling in New Hampshire from late September showed 40 percent of respondents approve of the law compared to 54 percent who disapprove. Within those categories, 47 percent strongly disapprove and only 27 percent strongly approve.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) asked Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius in a letter dated Oct. 22 to extend the open enrollment period beyond the current end date of March. 31, 2014. Shaheen shared her concerns about the law with White House officials in April. She warned then that many small businesses in her home state do not know how to comply with the law.
A Democratic strategist pointed to a New England College poll conducted Oct. 7 - 9 that showed 58 percent of 1063 registered voters in New Hampshire support the Affordable Care Act.
Internal polling conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee in May showed that only 32 percent of respondents in Alaska support the law while 59 percent oppose it. Sen. Mark Begich (D-Alaska), who faces a tough re-election, signed Shaheens letter to Sebelius and has sponsored legislation to delay ObamaCares employer mandate for two years.
Sens. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Mary Landrieu (D-La.) and Kay Hagan (D-N.C.), who are on the Republicans 2014 target list, also signed the letter.
An OnMessage survey conducted in mid October for Rep. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) showed that only 33 percent of likely voters in Arkansas favor ObamaCare while 62 percent oppose it.
Its theoretically possible for the administration to iron out the kinks of this program and opposition could fade but that seems highly unlikely, the pollster, Wes Anderson, wrote in a memo to Cottons campaign. Its far more likely that the issue will remain a serious hurdle for Sen. Pryor all the way through Election Day.
A poll by Magellan Strategies, a GOP-affiliated firm, found that 60 percent of voters are less likely to support Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) because of her support for ObamaCare. The survey manipulated the answer, however, but noting in its question that the law increased insurance premiums by 88 percent for people who buy their own health insurance.
An Elon University Poll from September found that half of respondents believe ObamaCare will make the healthcare situation worse in North Carolina and only 27 percent of independents think it will make it better.
Already one Democrat, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) who is not up for re-election next year has said he will co-sponsor legislation with Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.) to delay the mandate for a year.
Senate Democratic aides say Republicans have exaggerated the split in their caucus. They argue that extending the enrollment period is a minor change that would not undermine the structure of ObamaCare.
Democrats are not divided on ACA, some just want to be proactive about making clear they think there are issues that need to be tweaked, said a senior Democratic aide. No one thinks its perfect, but no one wants to repeal it or do anything major that could harm its long-term prospects for success.
The aide said Senate Democratic leaders, however, do not plan to support efforts to delay penalties beyond what the administration has already announced.
Democrats are trying to turn the issue to their advantage by drawing a bright line between their proposals to improve it and Tea Party-fueled calls to repeal the law entirely, including popular provisions such as the one allowing children to remain on their parents health insurance until age 26.
Only 30 percent of the public supports the Republican position calling for a full and total repeal of the law and a continuation of the same types of partisan fights that shut down the government, said Matt Canter, spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
NRSC spokesman Brad Dayspring said public opinion in battleground states is what counts most.
When you go into each of these key 2014 states people are overwhelmingly opposed to ObamaCare, he said. They know full well just how unpopular ObamaCare is in these states. Thats why the DSCC was encouraging their candidates to back away from the law and start supporting extending the enrollment period.
I’m calling four senate races for Republicans early
Just 2 more.
They should have read the bill BEFORE they passed it. Unfortunately, you can’t fix stupid.
Go GET THEM Tea Party Candidates!
They should have read the bill BEFORE they passed it. Unfortunately, you cant fix stupid.
Agree. The question the MSM won’t ask them , followed by why didn’t you support any of the House proposals, or Ted Cruz.
The last thing they want is for all this to be blowing up in their faces during the 2014 mid-term campaign. Let it be so.
If you put up warning signs at a railroad crossing to prevent a crash why would you configure something somewhere else to replace the crash?
Obamacare getting implemented is LIKE.. having a dead body in your living room...
Stuffs the smell right up democrats NOSES..
What are you going to DO WITH THAT THING!...
Can’t call the givernment to come and take it away...
The givernment is forcing YOU TO SMELL IT.. or be FINED..
Is this fine entertainment OR WHAT?..
It is going to. I wondered why the relatively safe Jeanne Shaheen in New Hapshire was sounding the alarm. Then I looked at that map of increasing insurance premiums, and realized exactly why. New Hampshire is in critical condition in terms of skyrocketing healthcare costs.
Think back to the 2010 wave. It reached Defcon 1 for Democrats as even the despicable Senator Boxer looked like she might be in real trouble. Unfortunately, she survived.
Shaheen is no Boxer, and New Hampshire is no California. If a 2010 re-hash occurs, Shaheen may well find herself out of a job.
Yeah. That's what I was thinking. Instead, why not bring back the Welfare to Work program so people can just go back to earning their own insurance?
We don't need to replace anything. It never should have passed anyway. Buying insurance isn't any of the governments business.
See tag line.
The sticker shock for Obamacare plans and thousands now getting cancellation notices from their insurance companies ought to be a wake up call. The GOP should be running ads with Obama’s sound bites about how we could keep our current plans, doctor and save $2,500 per year to expose his lies.
I so want Louisiana! Maybe?
Yes, I want those ‘Democrats’ to lose too ;)
I looked into the Louisiana election process yesterday.
Did you know they don’t have primaries???
They skip primaries and go straight to the general, and then have a general runoff election if nobody gets over 50.
What you might end up with is Landrieu’s race being the decider, her getting under 50%, and then control of the senate not decided until weeks later in a runoff with the closest contender. Something tells me we’d crush her in a one-off runoff election
Are we supposed to feel sorry for them? Really?
I did not know they don’t have primaries. Interesting! I think she is ripe for the picking. The Republican candidates are Bill Cassidy and Rob Maness.
About the 1:00 mark of the video he starts talking strategy: “the path to victory” - don’t take advice from the New York Times on how the Republican party can save itself - we need to unify - we need to come together - growth and freedom are principles and ideals that unify the Republican Party - the evangelical community with the liberty movement, with the business community - growth and freedom bring together Main Street and the Tea Party.
If we get back to our core principles that’s how you reassemble and keep strong Ronald Reagan’s 3 legged stool....... then he describes how it has been done (wrongly in recent losing elections) and how that didn’t work - got our clocks cleaned (except the grass roots campaign in 2010 and our stand against Obamacare and for growth and freedom won elections up and down the ticket)............you don’t win races by keeping your heads down......
Poppycock: run to the right in the primary and run to the middle in the general - if you do that you destroy every reason for voters to show up and vote for you...... Cruz continues in the vein of “why this fight is worth it” (worth a listen). We must focus on “opportunity” - the biggest lie is that the Republican Party is the party of the rich..........continues.....
Jitters??? It should be the “HEEB-BEE JEEBEES!”
I prefer Maness. He’s a standout guy, and Cassidy is too liberal for a red state like Louisiana.
Dems??? It should be RATs.
And here I had always believed the supermen of the Democrat liberal party (or “Partei” to give it a proper Germanic spin) could shape, control and direct any “blow-up” in the direction they wanted, any time and under any circumstances.
But strangely, they have not yet been able to actively and definitively attribute the “failure to launch” of the Obamacare sign-up website to the Republicans. Actually, there are two problems that are engaged closely - they are trying to sell a product that is of little or no benefit to most of the “customers” who will be forced to either sign up, or go with no insurance coverage at all, and almost nobody can get online to even review the options. Those few that do get through, find the promises are pretty ephemeral when it gets down to actual application.
The longer the Current Regime now squatting in the White Hut (or “Spite Hut”) tries to fix things, the longer it will be before any operative plan gets up and running for the enrollment of new members in the various aspects of the Obamacare scheme, or scam, or sham, or just downright shame.
And it has been said, “You can’t fix stupid”. They will just keep trying and trying to make this monstrosity work, and the more time, treasure, toil and tears they spend upon it, the more convoluted it shall become.
Have they never heard of one of the labors of Hercules, the cleaning out of the Augean Stables? That would not ever gain the approval of the EPA today.
Before Obmama-doesn't-care, 89% of Americans liked their health insurance policy. Rates were lower. If we could somehow get ourselves back to 2009, we would be improving things over today.
So, the "moderate" argument is that we are supposed to continue to suffer under this crap while we wait for a consensus solution. No way.
I don’t understand politics. All the Dems are stressing about Obamacare and how it will hurt their election chances, correct? But, it was the GOp who took the hit for teying to delay Obamacare for a year. What gives. Are voters insane? The two issues are one and the same!
Oh, the detailed plan is so simple it is 0 pages long...We're into NOTHING!
It applies to a lot of things:
Nothing's better than ObamaCare.
Nothing's better than the Department of Education.
Nothing's better than the Department of Labor.
Nothing's better than the Department of Hell and Human Sacrifice.
Nothing's better than HUD.
Nothing's better than the EPA.
Nothing's better than the TSA.
Nothing's better than the IRS.
Et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
North Carolina. Hagan is toast.
Can’t wait for reid’s response after mac daddy shi*s in his mouth so he knows what his puppet master wants him to say.
They got screwed by a hapless Barry. Hope they are happy a-hats.
Well, I’d be more worried about that race than others. For some reason, Kay Hagan has a high approvals, and NC is not being affected much by the premium fluctuations. She’s also a solid fundraiser.
However, unlike Pryor and others, she hasn’t made any blue-dog votes. She voted FOR gun control. She’s as liberal and North-eastern Democrats, and that could hurt her in a state that is trending red.
I really want her gone, just to see Senator Brannon in action.
If they can't take out the RAT from Alaska then it isn't going to happen. Certainly there has to be a decent Repub /Conservative to run against him? Hello Sarah!
Repeal and replace... with free-market capitalism. Free markets are always best. Anything else would be unconstitutional anyway.
Sarah won’t run.
In the race right now, you have Miller, Sullivan, and Treadwell.
Treadwell’s conservative credentials are questionable, and Miller will lose.
I’m backing Sullivan
You have to remember Alaska is not as red as people think it is.
Begich is a very experienced campaigner, political operator, and fundraiser. He’s not going to be easy to take down.
The easiness of each race, as I’d rank them, is as follows.
Montana - DRAW - Arkansas
The reason I say Landrieu is more vulnerable than Begich is because she was excoriated during the 2010 town halls. Begich wasn’t given much heat from what I can remember. Louisiana hates Obamacare, and will punish Mary in 2014.
Yes, “don’t listen to the NYTimes” ... Today’s FR has a post from NYTimes doing just that. But get this: it is an opinion piece from a GENETIC republican self-described, name of John Taft, descendent of Willam H.Taft former pres.
It is an appalling piece certain to be held close by those loyal RINO repubs of the elite party nincompoops. Even talks about McCarthy hearings— honest to God, and how Repubs had the “good sense” to remove McCarthy after Welch’s “have you no decency” .Compares Ted Cruz to McCarthy— well guess what, BOTH of these guys are/were right!
-—gives them the jitters? Well, shoot, as soon as they sign up for Odumbocare they’l be able to get a shot for that? They voted for it-—let em wear it-—and fix it by themselves. Begging for Republican help should get some real laughs.
I don’t see how postponing the thing for a year is going to make any difference. That means this mess we see now gets pushed into next October before the elections. Dems voted for it. I think they will have to simply live with it and let the chips fall.
Obama’s already yesterday’s man.
Everybody should make sure it does.
Nationalize these elections and crush this communist and his RINO collaborators!
Louisiana has bounced around with their ‘Jungle’ primary system. The last
change occurred in 2010 when Gov. Jindal signed a HB 292 into law.
Landrieu has a huge war chest already at her disposal based upon the last
FEC filing.... FEC S6LA00227; 30 Sep 13; Tot $4,234,022; Dsb $985,739
Some potential candidates for both Senate and House are listed here:
Nov. 4, 2014 would the election and Dec. 6, 2014 the runoff if needed.