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I don’t believe states seceding will cure anything - almost all have cities full of the people causing the problems.
If states start dumping fed rules and stop supporting the problems (like OK is doing with their no drugs on welfare law) then the problem people will either start contributing or they will relocate to prisons or other states.
Once that happens then it may become state -v- state but I think that the welfare states will be weaker and fewer and less apt to fight other than within themselves. I also think that the welfare states will implode before real war breaks out. People in welfare states will be like 3rd world banana republics wanting what the non welfare states have and will slowly purge themselves.

Maybe the pot laws will help to relocate some? I feel we are at a tipping point. Legalize pot 100% and we’re doomed - no reason for the loonies to move, no ambition for kids to support themselves (or their inevitable offspring).
So allow the states to decriminalize pot, coke, even heroin or even meth - as long as the penalty for abuse is high; no free/government health care and or welfare if you fail a drug test in last 6 months. Also, if you commit a crime while high you automatically get a no parole sentence in a prison that consists of four walls, one door and 8 watch towers. Drop in enough food on Saturday to feed X number of prisoners for a week. That will add new meaning to “scared straight” and stop the I live better in prison BS.
Get high and kill someone or cause serious permanent injury you get death or life w/o parole.
If a clean citizen kills a doper committing a crime: Give them a new box of ammo and a Thank you note.
Bye-bye dopers, bye-bye welfare, bye-bye Cartels, bye-bye crowded ERs, hello polite, productive citizenry.