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Florida Turnout (Pasco County as of 2 pm)
Supervisor of Elections ^

Posted on 11/06/2012 12:31:34 PM PST by TigerClaws

re: Pasco County, FL as of 2:00pm 

76963 / 177458 = 43 R's 62079 / 177458 = 34 D's 38416/ 177458 = 21 I's

(McCain won Pasco 51-48 in 2008)

(McCain won Pasco 51-48 in 2008)

(Excerpt) Read more at pascovotes.com ...


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1 posted on 11/06/2012 12:31:38 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws
One of those is mine :-D

It was busy...

2 posted on 11/06/2012 12:34:25 PM PST by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge)
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To: piasa

Three of those are mine.


3 posted on 11/06/2012 12:39:40 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (Jeff Chandler's tagline: 3% more characters than in 2008!)
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To: TigerClaws

Looks like at least 55-44 for Romney, +4 over McCain. FL in 2008 was 51-48, so if this pattern were to be held for the entire state it would be 52-27 Romney. Nice.


4 posted on 11/06/2012 12:40:06 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: piasa

On my way to Land O’Lakes Rec Center to record my vote!! Here is a link to the pictures I took at the Romney Rally that was a major part of all this Mittmentum a week ago last Saturday! Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Victory!

http://www.ourtownfla.com/index.php?news&action=view_news&news_id=654


5 posted on 11/06/2012 12:40:35 PM PST by ynotjjr (Romney/Ryan 2012 It's called the Constitution. Learn it, live it, love it!)
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To: CatOwner

52-27 => 52-47


6 posted on 11/06/2012 12:41:42 PM PST by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

Actually more like +10 Romney vs McCain. We need to stretch these margins to +12 to get the senate


7 posted on 11/06/2012 12:42:17 PM PST by johncocktoasten (Practicing asymetrical thread warfare against anti-Palin Trolls)
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To: CatOwner

I liked it better the way you had it.


8 posted on 11/06/2012 12:43:44 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: CatOwner

I like 52-27 better.


9 posted on 11/06/2012 12:45:05 PM PST by Enterprise ("Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." Voltaire)
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To: TigerClaws

In Pasco I know only one person voting for Obama, but she is a naturalized former European. She’s not typical in any way.

The comments I have heard about O would make your ears burn. This is a redneck county, people DONT like him here. And face it, he doesn’t care. We are all bitter clingers here, he never expected us to vote for him in the first place and has no trouble insulting us, so that’s that.

I will say , for those who feel the Romney totals should be higher, that quite a few folks I know voted Johnson (many had trouble with the Mormon thing). However, on the down parts of the ballot, most voted Republican the rest of the way, so that is good news.


10 posted on 11/06/2012 12:50:10 PM PST by I still care (I miss my friends, bagels, and the NYC skyline - but not the taxes. I love the South.)
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To: TigerClaws

Plenty of votes for Romney from my family in Hernando here ;)


11 posted on 11/06/2012 12:55:10 PM PST by HailReagan78
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To: johncocktoasten

See my post 10.


12 posted on 11/06/2012 12:59:18 PM PST by I still care (I miss my friends, bagels, and the NYC skyline - but not the taxes. I love the South.)
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To: I still care

A naturalized former European voting for O? All the naturalized former Europeans I know are solidly anti-Obama. (Either grew up under Communism and recognized him instinctively for what he is, or grew up under crony capitalism and where at best ambivalent if hopeful he’d turn out to be the centrist he pretended to be in ‘08 and are bitterly disappointed.)


13 posted on 11/06/2012 1:06:33 PM PST by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Ha! I got tired after standing so long for one vote so will have to run back after supper to put in votes for the dog, the cats, the chickens, and the Democrat neighbor who is so gorged on the cake I baked she won’t be showing up today.


14 posted on 11/06/2012 1:09:32 PM PST by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge)
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To: TigerClaws; All

To piggy back on the earlier thread regarding Pasco County. As we know, this county has released data of how many people from each registered party have voted. As of 3:18 today, the published results are as follows:

Pasco County Supervisor of Elections Page

Total Republicans- 79,268 (43.27% of total vote)
Total Democrats- 64,005 (34.94% of total vote)
Total Indys/Other- 39,915 (21.79% of total vote)

Here’s why this is important. The website also tells how their registered voters are aligned by party:

Total Republicans- 120,860 (38.85% of Pasco County)
Total Democrats- 108,154 (34.76% of Pasco County)
Total Indys/Other- 82,087 (26.39% of Pasco County)

Why are these results so key? Because Republicans are coming to the polls in hugely disproportionate numbers. Despite making up just 38.85% of the total registered voters, they are already accounting for 43.27% of the vote total. Those 5 percentage points may not look like much, but trust me- they are enormously significant. Meanwhile, Democrats make up 34.94% of the total registered voters. Yet, they are accounting for just 34.76% of the vote total. In other words, there is no motivation or drive to exceed their basic party line numbers. This also means a lot of crossover votes for Romney.

When you realize that independents/others will probably break at least 60/40 for Republicans in this conservative county, Romney will will Pasco County by somewhere in the area of 10-12 points. This would exceed even Bush’s numbers in 2004 when he won Florida relatively handily.

I know, I know- it’s just one county in one battleground state. But I think it is a very telling early statistic and may be indicative of the way this plays out tonight.


15 posted on 11/06/2012 1:28:54 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

Pasco is the indicator of Florida. Jeb Bush said as Pasco goes, so goes Florida.


16 posted on 11/06/2012 1:40:26 PM PST by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: TigerClaws

Thanks.


17 posted on 11/06/2012 1:45:12 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: TigerClaws

You beat me to it! I was just doing EXACTLY the same analysis and coming up with EXACTLY the same conclusion. And note, these are the first real hard facts of this election.

Now let me add something to your analysis. If we assume that the extra Republican enthusiasm in this county plays out across the country, then R’s will outperform their registration by 5%. Since the D’s have a 3.5% advantage in registration, that would mean an overall R+1.5% electorate!! If that happens you can take any poll you have ever seen and add at least 3.5% and as much as 10% for Romney!

This matches very neatly with what the folks at Unskewed Polls predicted yesterday:

“The current electorate is made up of 36.9 percent registered Democrats, 33.3 percent registered Republicans and 29.8 percent independent voters. This is based on current and recent survey data from the various QStarNews polls and surveys.

Because of higher enthusiasm levels on the Republican side, the actual makeup of the voters that participate in the 2012 election is projected to be 36.4 percent Democrats, 36.1 Republicans and 27.5 percent independents. From this electorate, the popular vote is projected to be 51.4 percent for Romney and 47.9 percent for Obama.”

http://unskewedpolls.com/2012electorate_2.cfm

If Pasco county is representative. you can even add 1 or 2% to Romney’s totals!!


18 posted on 11/06/2012 1:52:56 PM PST by edwinland
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To: The_Reader_David

Dutch.


19 posted on 11/06/2012 2:23:12 PM PST by I still care (I miss my friends, bagels, and the NYC skyline - but not the taxes. I love the South.)
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To: TigerClaws
The First lady and I voted on Halloween. Took us an hour (1300-1400 hrs). When we left, the line was the same size.

Pasco Co. library on Collier Pkwy.

5.56mm

20 posted on 11/06/2012 2:33:08 PM PST by M Kehoe
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To: M Kehoe

We voted at about 1000, Hope Church on Little Road(County 1). In our 15 years here, busiest by far. Had to wait in line to get DL scanned, wait in line to get ballot receipt, wait in line to get ballot, wait in line to fill in ballot, wait in line to scan paper ballot. This precinct is about 70% R or R leaning Indies.

Mel


21 posted on 11/06/2012 3:12:02 PM PST by grwcfl537 (Sed libera nos a malo.)
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To: edwinland

WE ALL GOT SCREWED BY GOV’T-SPONSORED VOTER FRAUD TONIGHT. Obama’s been working on this for nearly 4 years. Went quite smoothly, didn’t it.


22 posted on 11/06/2012 10:51:32 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

Or, the electorate has changed. No doubt there was some voter fraud, but it likely didn’t change the outcome. Whining that the election was stolen when it likely wasn’t is unbecoming.

This election is tough because it’s difficult for Americans, especially conservatives, to recognize that sometimes “the people” are just wrong.

The majority will now get what they voted for, and unfortunately so will the rest of us.


23 posted on 11/07/2012 1:34:09 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: Sherman Logan
I disagree. Voter fraud, to include the destruction or 'not counting' of Romney votes was alive and well last night. Females (55%) proved they DO vote with their 'lady parts' regardless the black man's MISERABLE RECORD.

America will not survive four more of 0bama. Or Eric Holder, for that matter.

24 posted on 11/07/2012 8:58:12 AM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

I have no doubt at all that voter fraud happened. Although there is exactly zero evidence that it changed the result.

As I said before, IMHO it is unbecoming of conservatives to whine that the only reason we lost is that the other side cheated. They beat us.

Doesn’t mean we weren’t in the right, just that we lost. If conservatism stands for anything, it is facing facts and adapting to them, not ignoring them and hoping they will just go away.


25 posted on 11/07/2012 9:21:37 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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