Posted on 11/06/2012 11:17:54 AM PST by mojito
Middle Cheese checks in:
"Just a brief report from the Big Cheeses at Team Romney about Ohio early/absentee voting: Obama is under-performing in Kerry-Obama counties, and Republicans are outperforming in McCain 08 counties. As of yesterday, in swing Hamilton County, there are 1,000 fewer Democrat and 800 more GOP early/absentee votes than at this point in 08. Ohio Republicans will turn out. But the key to a Romney victory in OH will be independent voters, who favor Romney by double-digits over Obama in 21 of the last 24 public opinion polls."
True. I live in ultra red Warren County, Ohio. There were *HUNDREDS* of people in line when the polls opened this morning. It has NEVER been like that!
Just north of you in Montgomery, one of the “red” precincts, and it was the busiest I’ve ever seen: winding lines like Disney. 1/2 hour. Never waited more than 10 minutes. Heard from former chairman that ALL red precincts in Dayton were extremely busy; D precincts “moderate.”
Nice trend, but not nearly enough. 1800 vote swing is only about 1.8%. Obama won by 4.6 margin in 2008. Independents may make the difference. A double digit lead in independents will add about 2.5%
My neighbor texted me 30 minutes ago to let me know he just got back from voting. Says 60% of our precinct has already voted.
In Champaign County here. At 6:30am the place was packed. But the machine was broken. They said the count would be done by hand. Yeah, right.
Hopefully the "moderate" D precincts were GOP voters. :)
Are we seeing ChikFilA writ large?
Nobody knows if those people are voting R or D. We can speculate based on counties' overall voting histories but that's about it.
wow. Reminds me of 04.
Here in Chicago it took me about 15 minutes to vote although I did have to ride my bike a couple of blocks because my polling place was changed (after 22 yrs.)
There are almost NO signs for the O/B ticket in my neighborhood and there were none on the run-up to the polling place. A few lesser candidates’ literature but no big ones, and no glad-handers standing around outside to hand out the RAT ticket instructions and flyer.
Extremely low-key election here.
You are correct that we don’t KNOW how those people are voting, but after the past four years, what are the chances any significant number of Rs are voting for Obama?
Well, I hope it is zero for Zero.
But, I still maintain knowing only the overall number of absentee/early votes cast but not how those people voted is nothing to hang one's hat on when it comes to election predictions. But it doesn't seem to stop some/many people.
Should I be excited about some 1,800 vote swing in early voting for Hamilton County = Cincinnati where over 420,000 ballot cast in 2008?
In Manhattan, New York City:
I did not see a single Obama sign, button or bumber sticker on my way to work. That includes neighborhoods of Chelsea, Midtown, Upper East Side.
The only signs I saw were for Carolyn Maloney’s (D) opponent Chris Wight (R).
I sure HOPE so!
Good news. Let’s hope it turns out to be really good news
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