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Keyword: turnout

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  • Wisconsin turnout highest in presidential primary since 1972

    04/06/2016 9:10:45 PM PDT · by afraidfortherepublic · 64 replies
    Milwaukee Journal Sentinel ^ | 4-6-16 | Craig Gilbert
    It was predicted to be huge and historic. But it was bigger than that. Wisconsin's turnout rate in Tuesday's presidential primary exceeded the state’s own bullish forecast, topped any Wisconsin primary since 1972, and easily bested that of any state that has voted this year except for New Hampshire. Nearly 2.1 million Wisconsinites voted, based on unofficial returns. Essentially, half the people that could vote did vote: roughly 47% of the state’s voting-age population and an estimated 49% of all eligible voting-age citizens. "That’s unusual," said turnout expert Michael McDonald, for a contest "this late in the presidential election calendar."
  • Long Hot Summer (Vanity)

    03/17/2016 7:32:08 PM PDT · by John 3_19-21 · 1 replies
    John 3_19-21
    Looking at the numbers from last Tuesday's GOP and Democrat Primaries I noticed something I had not seen talked about much. Voter turnout favored the Republicans in all but one contest: Illinois. Is just a coincidence that Illinois was the same state that saw the organized, professional, agitators come out in mass? As Donald Trumps populist message continues to build momentum, I believe the Democrats will see the Chicago model as the only chance they have to compete.
  • Both parties expect smaller crowds in Colorado caucuses

    03/01/2016 7:42:15 AM PST · by snarkpup · 28 replies
    ... But Colorado plays a relatively minor role in nomination contests in either party.
  • Watch the Voter Turnout in the Democrat Primary Election, South Carolina today

    02/27/2016 4:28:35 AM PST · by JLAGRAYFOX · 15 replies
    The outcome of who the victor will be in today's "Demcrat" POTUS Primary election in South Carolina today is important....but, no where as important as Democrat voter tunout. A quick but, early review of Democrat voter turnout is the very few, first, Caucus & Primary elections of this season show very tepid and lack of interest in voter participation, among rank & file Democrat voters. I suspect the voter turnout today will be far below expectations, even among African-Americans....who have diminishd in their admiration and trust of the Clintons. Oh....Ms. Clinton will do fine today....only she will accomplish her victory...
  • The Big 2016 Story Out of the Nevada GOP Caucus? Turnout.

    While Donald Trump won a sweeping victory in Nevada on Tuesday night - his third victory in a row - the biggest story out of the Silver State may actually be the record-breaking turnout Republicans saw at the evening's caucus gatherings. The Nevada Republican Party reported Wednesday morning that more than 75,000 voters participated in the contest. While that might not seem like a stunning number in a state with a population of somewhere around three million, that turnout absolutely demolished the participation record from 2012, when only about 33,000 Republican voters showed up to caucus. In fact, Donald Trump...
  • GOP shatters its (New Hampshire voter) turnout record; Democrats lag behind

    02/10/2016 6:41:17 AM PST · by Zakeet · 32 replies
    Washington Times ^ | February 10, 2016 | Stephen Dinan
    Republicans set a new turnout record Tuesday in New Hampshire's primary, attracting more than a quarter of a million voters to the polls and offering evidence that most of the energy in the 2016 presidential race continues to be on the GOP side. Democrats saw a strong turnout, but their two-person race couldn't recapture the magic of the 2008 battle between Hillary Clinton and then-candidate Barack Obama - a race that presaged Mr. Obama's eventual cruise to victory in November. Instead, this year it is Republicans who set a record. More than 263,000 votes had been recorded as of Wednesday...
  • Despite its Best Efforts, the GOP was the Biggest Winner in Iowa Last Night [Turnout Unprecedented]

    02/02/2016 7:22:21 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 15 replies
    National Review ^ | 02/02/2016 | Jeremy Carl
    Despite its best attempts to fail, the biggest winner of the Iowa Caucus last night was the GOP itself, which generated an unprecedented level of energy and engagement among voters in a critical swing state. That energy was generated thanks to a group of leading candidates who actually appealed to the GOP's grassroots voter base. Turnout was more than 186,000, more than 50 percent higher than any Iowa GOP Caucus in history, and 46 percent of those were first time caucus attendees. This despite the threat of an imminent snow storm. And this turnout boom can't be all chalked up...
  • The Best Pollster In Iowa Just Released Its Final Survey - How Accurate Has It Been?

    01/31/2016 12:04:23 AM PST · by Cincinatus' Wife · 149 replies
    FiveThirtyEight ^ | January 30, 2016 | Harry Enten
    The final Des Moines Register poll was just released, showing Donald Trump leading the Republican field in Iowa with 28 percent, Ted Cruz with 23 percent and Marco Rubio with 15 percent. Hillary Clinton was ahead of Bernie Sanders, 45 percent to 42 percent, on the Democratic side. The political world - us included - was eagerly awaiting this survey, as Ann Selzer, who has conducted the Register's polls since the 1988 caucuses, has a very good track record. But just how predictive of the final results have Selzer's polls been? History suggests they're a good indicator of what will...
  • Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters

    01/05/2016 3:46:32 PM PST · by Isara · 36 replies
    Roll Call ^ | Jan. 5, 2016 | Nathan L. Gonzales
    Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is poised to absorb Donald Trump's supporters when the billionaire exits the race for the GOP presidential nomination, according to one of the campaign's most common narratives. But how many Trump supporters are open to supporting another candidate?The quickest analysis of the Republican race divides candidates into distinct establishment and anti-establishment lanes, including lumping Trump, Cruz and Ben Carson supporters together as a monolithic force that is interchangeable between the candidates.Unsurprisingly, the situation is more complicated.Both Trump and Cruz have found success in the Republican race by railing against the GOP establishment and there is a...
  • The Republican Party of Virginia Trying to Reduce Voter Turnout

    12/27/2015 1:02:54 PM PST · by sheikdetailfeather · 104 replies
    The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 12-27-2015 | sundance
    A series of tweets from candidate Donald Trump toward the Republican Party of Virginia have many wondering what’s going on. It would appear Mr. Trump, and/or the Trump Campaign, has become aware of the RPV intentions to force Virginia voters to swear an loyalty oath (statement of intent) prior to voting in the upcoming primary. We Provided The Leaked Documents In November Virginia is an interesting state when it comes to the Republican Party and conservative voters. Partly due to the vicinity to Washington DC, and party due to many of the professionally republican living in the state, the hierarchy...
  • Democratic Turnout a '16 Risk Factor; Poll Finds.

    06/30/2015 6:09:34 AM PDT · by Din Maker · 19 replies
    Real Clear Politics ^ | June 29, 2015 | Alexis Simendinger
    Democratic voters are skeptics this summer. They doubt presidential contenders can deliver. Those doubts depress enthusiasm about next year’s White House contest and could impact turnout for the eventual Democratic nominee. “It’s because the old political system is uniquely corrupted” in their eyes, Greenberg said. “Voters define corruption as money in politics and Washington power brokers who are self-serving and disconnected from everyday Americans and their concerns. This is why Clinton’s wealth, the Clinton Foundation’s fundraising, her decades lived as a VIP, and her missing emails discourage some voters from accepting the leading Democratic candidate as trustworthy, even if they...
  • Thought Experiment: What the 2012 election could have looked like with 100 percent turnout

    03/20/2015 7:04:48 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 27 replies
    Washington Post ^ | 03/20/2015 | By Philip Bump
    At an event in Cleveland on Wednesday, President Obama endorsed a system of mandatory voting, a policy that would penalize eligible voters who don't make it to the polls on Election Day. The idea is not universally embraced, though it has significantly boosted turnout in Australia, where it's in place. It's very easy to see why Obama likes the idea. He spoke longingly of increased turnout during the 50th anniversary ceremony in Selma, Ala., earlier this month. There's value in getting more people involved in the democratic process that doesn't tie directly to the success of his party, but it's...
  • ‘Democracy Day’ Is No Solution to Low Turnout: Democrats complain about turnout only when they lose

    11/14/2014 7:22:46 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 10 replies
    National Review ^ | 11/13/2014 | Ian Tuttle
    If Bernie Sanders has his way, “Democracy Day” will be the crowning holiday of America’s dystopian future. Imagine: Everyone in slab-gray uni-gender tunics and biodegradable Crocs, all lined up in perfect uniformity to cast a legally mandated vote for the single party that remains. Democracy! Pharrell’s “Happy” will play over loudspeakers in the background. On loop. To the country’s credit, a future in which Americans submit en masse to the shame of Crocs is unlikely. But Vermont senator Bernie Sanders is proposing, in the wake of November’s midterm-election turnout numbers, a new federal holiday: Election Day, or, as he would...
  • Brazile: Blacks Poised to Bolt Democratic Party

    12/01/2002 5:26:50 PM PST · by kattracks · 72 replies · 562+ views
    NewsMax.com ^ | 12/01/02 | Carl Limbacher and NewsMax.com Staff
    Donna Brazile, who managed Vice President Al Gore's presidential campaign two years ago, sent a memo to Democratic lawmakers last month warning that they need to do more to reach out to African-Americans or risk losing their support in coming elections. "The Republicans are in the House," Brazile said in the controversial memo, quoted in Sunday editions of New York's Newsday. "They came in through the window and they want to play." The former Gore official, who now heads up the Democratic National Committee's Voting Rights Institute, urged party officials to "roll up their sleeves and box (the GOP)...
  • Turnout, a Scapegoat, Wasn’t Always the Difference This Time

    11/06/2014 11:32:40 AM PST · by afraidfortherepublic · 14 replies
    New York Times ^ | 11-6-14 | Nate Cohn
    Low Democratic voter turnout has been blamed for the decisive Republican victory in Tuesday’s midterm elections. It has quickly become the scapegoat, even though the Democrats invested millions of dollars in an expansive effort to persuade young and nonwhite voters who do not usually participate in midterm election to head to the polls. There is no question that turnout among core Democratic groups was lower in 2014 than it was in 2012 or even 2010. Many Democrats would have won if turnout had resembled a presidential election year. But Democrats also lost in states where turnout surpassed 2010, according to...
  • SITREP: Turnout (Vanity)

    11/04/2014 4:17:22 PM PST · by zeugma · 22 replies
    none | 11/4/14 | Me
    SITREP: Turnout. Tell us how turnout is where you are.
  • Election Day Forecast: Rain May Factor Into Turnout in Central US

    10/31/2014 7:47:01 PM PDT · by lightman · 17 replies
    Accuweather ^ | 31 October A.D. 2014 | Alex Sosnowsk
    Election Day Forecast: Rain May Factor Into Turnout in Central US Friday, October 31, 2014 18:21 ET By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather.com senior meteorologist. While rain could deter voter turnout on Election Day in part of the Central states and the Northwest, dry weather is in store in the East and the balance of the West. Gubernatorial elections will be held on Nov. 4, 2014, in 36 states, along with elections for many other state and local government offices. Unsettled Swath From Texas to Western New York Rain is forecast to fall on areas from Texas to the lower Great Lakes...
  • DRUDGE HEADLINE ONLY: "EARLY VOTING: REPUBLICANS HAVE 10% LEAD"

    10/31/2014 9:39:43 AM PDT · by GOPinCa · 142 replies
    Headline only from DrudgeReport: SOURCES: According to latest early voting data from AP, Republican have 10% lead in ballots cast...
  • Coakley struggling to solidify her base

    10/22/2014 9:54:32 PM PDT · by ObamahatesPACoal · 16 replies
    Attorney General Martha Coakley is locked in a dead heat for governor with Republican Charlie Baker because she’s struggling to win over the two demographic groups she needs most. Partisan Democrats and women voters formed the backbone of the recent Democratic victories in Massachusetts. But three weeks before Election Day, Coakley is still struggling to close the sale with the state’s Democratic base. Democrats have established a winning formula in recent contests: Roll up big margins with women voters, turn out the party faithful and capture just enough independent voters to allow Democrats’ built-in numerical advantage to overwhelm Republicans. This...
  • [Various headlines with no text] Lowest Voter Participation Rates in Countries that Haven’t Been Inv

    08/22/2014 4:25:26 PM PDT · by CharlesOConnell · 2 replies
    Sacra Pizza Man Blog ^ | 8/22/2014 | Sacra Pizza Man
    In school, I researched voter participation rates. I concluded that countries that haven’t been invaded in a long time, generations and centuries, have the lowest voter participation rates.
  • The fat lady is practicing her scales

    08/22/2014 5:39:55 AM PDT · by rktman · 32 replies
    wnd.com ^ | 8/22/2014 | Burt Prelutsky
    I don’t think there is any way to overestimate the importance of the mid-term elections. Although I wish I could view the world through nonpartisan eyes, Barack Obama and Harry Reid have conspired to make that impossible. I’m just hoping that a sufficient number of Americans come out of their collective coma before the fat lady has a chance to warble “Nearer My God to Thee” at this nation’s funeral. The trouble is that we have a president who seems to lie awake nights trying to come up with new ways to destroy America. For openers, he is terrified –...
  • Cruz sounds tepid on McConnell; Cornyn calls for party unity

    05/22/2014 3:00:13 PM PDT · by ObamahatesPACoal · 28 replies
    Dallas News ^ | Todd J. Gillman
    Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell had vowed to crush the tea party in this spring’s primaries. His decisive win on Tuesday over a tea party challenger in Kentucky’s GOP primary has fueled plenty of establishment-over-tea party stories. Let’s just say the war ain’t over. “After the primary is over, it’s really the responsibility of everyone who wants to see a change in Washington, D.C., come November to support our candidates,” said Texas Sen. John Cornyn, McConnell’s deputy GOP Senate leader, who survived a much more tepid tea party onslaught in his own primary in early March. Cornyn singled out Kentucky’s...
  • Rove not happy with Obamacare white flag

    04/28/2014 4:53:55 PM PDT · by ObamahatesPACoal · 13 replies
    WND ^ | Joseph Farah
    Caught on a flight from Washington to Texas Sunday, Karl Rove, the guru of the GOP political establishment, was not pleased with a statement by Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington, a member of the House Republican leadership team, which sounded like a surrender in the fight to overturn Obamacare. Asked if the comment by Republican leadership acquiescing to the continuation of the Affordable Care Act was helpful to GOP chances in November, Rove said, “It doesn’t. It absolutely doesn’t.” Rove had not had a chance to read the article in the Spokane Spokesman-Review that quoted McMorris Rodgers as saying...
  • Democrats face turnout problem, dissatisfaction in ranks leading to midterms

    03/19/2014 12:42:27 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 19 replies
    Washington Post ^ | 03/19/2014 | Dan Bolz
    If President Obama’s 2012 campaign was known for anything, it was its voter mobilization operation, said to be the most sophisticated ever assembled in a presidential campaign. Which makes David Plouffe’s comments over the weekend all the more telling for Democrats as they look nervously toward the November midterm elections. When Republican David Jolly defeated Democrat Alex Sink in Florida’s 13th Congressional District a week ago, Democratic leaders explained away the outcome by arguing that the district tilted heavily in favor of the GOP in midterm and especially special elections. Rep. Steve Israel (N.Y.), who chairs the Democratic Congressional Campaign...
  • Medical marijuana ballot called 'plan' to help Crist beat Scott

    01/27/2014 12:46:38 PM PST · by Tolerance Sucks Rocks · 23 replies
    http://tbo.com ^ | January 24, 2014 | By William March |
    TAMPA -- Some Florida Republicans fear, and some Democrats hope, that a November referendum on legalizing medical marijuana in Florida will drive young and liberal voters to the polls, helping Democratic candidates including gubernatorial challenger Charlie Crist. The initiative, still not certified for the November ballot, is generating charges of political motives from both sides. Some Republicans call it an expensive ploy by Crist's backers to help him win. "It is no coincidence that Charlie Crist's law partner and biggest supporter, John Morgan, is financing medical marijuana," said Gainesville-based GOP consultant Alex Patton. "It's a plan." Some Democrats, meanwhile, say...
  • California Democrats brace for low 2014 turnout

    12/03/2013 8:49:59 AM PST · by NormsRevenge · 17 replies
    SFGate.com ^ | 12/3/13 | Joe Garafoli
    Just because California Democrats hold every statewide office and a supermajority in the Legislature doesn't mean they're not worried about 2014. Some Democratic insiders fret that, essentially, life may be too good for the party right now. Their lurking fear: Without a high-profile presidential election or a big-name Republican challenger lined up yet against Gov. Jerry Brown, Democratic voters won't be interested enough to cast ballots in November. If that happens, the GOP could pick off a few seats in the Legislature, wrecking the Democrats' two-thirds majority and damaging Brown's ability to move his agenda. Adding to Democratic insiders' anxiety...
  • GOP turnout: myths and reality

    11/23/2012 9:24:41 AM PST · by SeekAndFind · 72 replies
    Hotair ^ | 11/23/2012 | Ed Morrissey
    In the immediate aftermath of the election, Republicans slammed Mitt Romney for not being able to match the popular vote totals of John McCain, but many forgot that the full totals in the popular vote take a few weeks to finalize. This past week, Romney's totals surpassed McCain's in an election that had a smaller overall turnout, Kimberly Strassel reports for the Wall Street Journal --- and Romney did significantly better in swing states than the GOP did in 2008 as well (via Scott Johnson at Power Line): Mr. Romney beat Mr. McCain's numbers in every single battleground, save Ohio....
  • In 2016, GOP Needs a Candidate Voters Believe In

    11/18/2012 5:01:56 AM PST · by Kaslin · 111 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | November 18, 2012 | Byron York
    In the wake of Mitt Romney's loss, many Republicans say the GOP must make far-reaching changes to be competitive in future elections. White voters are a smaller and smaller part of the electorate, they point out, while Latinos and other minorities are growing as a percentage of the voting public. Unless the Republican Party reinvents itself to appeal to those voters, the argument goes, the GOP can get used to being out of power. There's something to that. The electorate is changing, and the Republican Party needs to keep up with the times. But the more fundamental answer to the...
  • The Obama 2012 Campaign: The Greatest, Ever

    11/09/2012 9:18:15 AM PST · by lasereye · 29 replies
    whitehousedossier ^ | NOVEMBER 8, 2012 | KEITH KOFFLER
    President Obama’s campaign organization is the greatest political machine in modern history. How it was possible to take a moribund economy, high unemployment, and no detectable foreign policy and turn it into a sweeping electoral victory over a credible opponent is one of the great political stories of our time. Plouffe, Messina, Axelrod. Political geniuses who wiped away forever the Clinton campaign axiom, “It’s the economy, stupid,” and replaced it with, “It’s the Community Organizing, Stupid.” A few years ago, I was talking to a Democratic member of Congress who is close to Obama. She who told me of seeing...
  • Turn Out Proves Mitt Really DID Scorch the Earth (FEB ARTICLE ON $$$)

    11/09/2012 7:04:01 AM PST · by C. Edmund Wright · 96 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 2-9-2012 | C. Edmund Wright
    .....No, the real story is that three states held votes and nobody came. Almost nobody, that is. Consider that the total turnout for Missouri, Colorado, and Minnesota combined was barely over half of the turnout of South Carolina alone and -- worse yet -- barely over half the turnout for the same three states in 2008. Thus, after South Carolina's record-setting primary turnout, the Republican Party has now seen a total of five events in a row where turnout was down compared to 2008. This includes the three events from this week along with Nevada and Florida. Yes, something has...
  • 3 million fewer GOP voters? Look at swing state turnout.

    11/08/2012 12:50:11 PM PST · by prplhze2000 · 11 replies
    jackson jambalaya ^ | November 8, 2012 | Kingfish
    The states examined are Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Virginia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado, and Michigan. The trend for Obama was across the board: fewer votes in all swing states. However, the Republicans were able to increase the votes for Romney in seven of the nine states.
  • Romney turnout 6.8% HIGHER in "Battleground" States than McCain (Vanity)

    11/07/2012 7:11:45 PM PST · by Strategerist · 48 replies
    November 7, 2012 | Strategerist
    Comparing 2008 vote totals to 2012 (with some numbers projected, as for example Colorado only has 90% of the votes in) overall in VA, NC, OH, NH, PA, FL, MI, MN, WI, CO, IA, NV (all states were also battleground states in 2008) Romney had 21,674,900 votes to 20,300,366 for McCain in those states, for a 6.8% advantage. In every individual battleground state Romney turnout was higher than McCain, from 20.4% higher in Nevada to 0.6% higher in PA. Ohio Romney turnout was 7.3% higher than McCain. In the non-battleground state of NY, Romney had 6.6% LESS turnout than McCain....
  • Millions LESS people voted in 2012 than 2008?!

    11/07/2012 6:29:32 AM PST · by voveo · 53 replies
    The Associated Press ^ | Nov. &, 2012 | Nancy Benac
    Preliminary figures indicate fewer people participated this time. Associated Press figures showed that about 118 million people had voted in the White House race, but that number will rise as more votes are counted. In 2008, 131 million people voted, according to the Federal Election Commission.
  • Turnout shaping up to be lower than 2008 (and 2004)

    11/07/2012 6:01:47 AM PST · by RightGeek · 87 replies
    AP (Yahoo News) ^ | 11/7/12 | Josh Lederman
    A drop in voter turnout in Tuesday's election didn't keep President Barack Obama from winning a second term in the White House. Preliminary figures suggest fewer people voted this year than four years ago, when voters shattered turnout records as they elected Obama to his first term. In most states, the numbers are shaping up to be even lower than in 2004, said Curtis Gans, the director of American University's Center for the Study of the American Electorate. Still, the full picture may not be known for weeks, because much of the counting takes place after Election Day. "By and...
  • Vanity: Understanding the numbers.

    11/07/2012 2:31:08 AM PST · by Frapster · 14 replies
    Vanity | 11-7-12 | Self
    I spent a lot of time following the interpretations that many on here had been offering in regards to the polls. They made sense and that appeals to the Spock side of me. Yes, I'm a nerd. I'm looking for those who are interested in understanding why our interpretation of the polls failed to begin sharing their continued observations.
  • Middle Cheese: GOP Counties Turned Out for Early Voting (Ohio)

    11/06/2012 11:17:54 AM PST · by mojito · 18 replies
    NRO ^ | 11/6/2012 | Jim Geraghty
    Middle Cheese checks in: "Just a brief report from the Big Cheeses at Team Romney about Ohio early/absentee voting: Obama is under-performing in Kerry-Obama counties, and Republicans are outperforming in McCain 08 counties. As of yesterday, in swing Hamilton County, there are 1,000 fewer Democrat and 800 more GOP early/absentee votes than at this point in 08. Ohio Republicans will turn out. But the key to a Romney victory in OH will be independent voters, who favor Romney by double-digits over Obama in 21 of the last 24 public opinion polls."
  • Obama, Romney Tie in Dixville Notch, NH

    11/05/2012 11:07:31 PM PST · by AZLiberty · 31 replies
    WGME TV ^ | November 6, 2012 | N/A
    In a sign that the 2012 presidential election is likely to be a close race, President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney each received 5 votes in the town of Dixville Notch, NH. The votes are the first official votes tallied in the 2012 Presidential race. In 2008, President Obama defeated GOP nominee John McCain 16-5 in Dixville Notch, en route to a convincing electoral win.
  • If You Can't Withstand Media BS, Turn Off Everything Else...(Rush Slams Concern Trolls Alert)

    11/01/2012 11:20:19 AM PDT · by goldstategop · 28 replies
    Rush Limbaugh ^ | 11/01/2012 | Rush Limbaugh
    RUSH: Folks, I'm gonna give you some advice. For those of you who are faint of heart, for those of you who scare easily, for those of you who... Let’s say you live in St. Louis. In the St. Louis Post-Dispatch today there are two pictures. There's a picture of a compassionate and caring and very attached and very hurting Obama, hugging a New Jerseyan who's lost everything. Right next to it is a picture of Romney in front of a large gathering waving and doing campaign appearances. Of course, the juxtaposition is Romney doesn't care; Obama cares. If you...
  • Ground Game:Romney Campaign Targets Low-Propensity Early Voters,Banks on Strong Election Day Turnout

    10/30/2012 2:01:11 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 24 replies
    The Daily Beast ^ | October 25, 2012 | Rich Galen
    Romney’s political director says his team is more focused on getting people less inclined to vote to send in absentee ballots or go to the polls—and is successfully cutting the president’s lead among early voters.Rich Beeson, political director of the Romney campaign, is not moved by reports of a huge “ground game” advantage on the part of the Obama campaign. “The only metric anyone has seen is the number of offices and the number of staff on the ground,” Beeson said. “In Virginia, Obama has 80 offices, we have 26,” he said by way of example. “In Florida the Obama...
  • 8 reasons Hawaii doesn't vote

    10/22/2012 11:37:32 AM PDT · by Jyotishi · 27 replies
    CNN ^ | Sunday, October 21, 2012 | John D. Sutter
    Hawaii had the lowest voter turnout rate in the United States in 2008, with fewer than half of the eligible population casting ballots. When I traveled to the state to find out why, I thought most of the problem might be apathy. The surfer thing, you know? That is part of it, to be sure. But there are many reasons America's 50th state doesn't vote as much as the other 49, plenty of them specific to Hawaii. Here's a bite-sized look at eight. If you want to be part of the solution, help us change the list by convincing these...
  • Ohio Poll Analyst: Voter Turnout Modeling Predicts Big Ohio Trouble for Obama

    10/05/2012 11:38:24 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 45 replies
    Pajamas Media ^ | 10/05/2012 | Paula Bolyard
    "Simply stated, Cuyahoga County has lost enough Democrats and independents since 2008 that, when projected across the state of Ohio, Obama’s big 2008 gains are all gone. Given how drastically voter registration has changed in Cuyahoga County since 2008, it is likely that Romney can carry the state of Ohio, which is quite contrary to what popular media polls are saying.” That’s the analysis of Clinton Cooper at Election Insights [1], an Ohio firm that uses geographic information systems (GIS) and election data to illustrate the political landscape of the electorate.While most pundits and media outlets are focused on...
  • The Reality of 2011 Voter Turnout: The White Voter

    09/26/2012 9:02:06 PM PDT · by StandUpBucky · 8 replies
    Battleground Watch ^ | Backer | Keith
    The largest divergence among conservative and liberal polling critics this election is the debate over who will actually show up at the voting booth this November. Differences between the amounts of Democrats versus Republicans included in the poll are frequent. But embedded in each of these assumptions are questions on the racial make-up and how that varies from election to election. Democrats consistently talk about the “coalition of the ascendant” where the fastest growing segments of the population are minorities. As such they make up an ever-increasing segment of the voting population but also vote overwhelmingly in favor of Democrats....
  • Young Voters in the 2008 Election

    09/23/2012 8:25:21 AM PDT · by rightcoast · 2 replies
    Pew Research Center ^ | November 12, 2008 | Scott Keeter, et al
    In the last three general elections - 2004, 2006, and 2008 -- young voters have given the Democratic Party a majority of their votes, and for all three cycles they have been the party's most supportive age group. This year, 66% of those under age 30 voted for Barack Obama making the disparity between young voters and other age groups larger than in any presidential election since exit polling began in 1972. This pattern of votes, along with other evidence about the political leanings of young voters, suggests that a significant generational shift in political allegiance is occurring. This pattern...
  • THE POLLS: SOLID AS A ROCK (It all comes down to turnout in the end)

    09/17/2012 5:56:15 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 30 replies
    Powerline ^ | 09/17/2012 | John Hindraker
    There was a time when images of American embassies under siege and a United States ambassador being dragged through the streets by a baying mob would have represented serious trouble for the administration in power, especially when coupled with obvious dishonesty about the circumstances that led to the debacle and an apparent lack of foresight and prudence on the part of the State Department. If anything might be expected to move the polls, this should be it. Yet the effects of the last week’s events on polling in the presidential race have been: nothing.Most polls bounce around because the composition...
  • Final June 5 results show nearly 58% of voting-age adults turned out (WI)

    06/27/2012 1:14:12 PM PDT · by afraidfortherepublic · 8 replies
    JS ONLINE ^ | 6-27-12 | Craig Gilbert
    The results for the June 5 election have now been certified and posted by the Government Accountability Board, showing 57.8% of the state’s voting-age adults turned out in Wisconsin’s historic recall fight. That’s easily the highest turnout in more than 60 years for a non-presidential ballot: According to the final official results, Republican Gov. Scott Walker got 53.08% (a total of 1,335,585 votes) and Democrat Tom Barrett got 46.28% (a total of 1,164,480 votes). Total votes cast: 2,516,065. The June 5 turnout of nearly 58% of voting-age adults was far beyond that of any mid-term gubernatorial election in recent decades....
  • Abolish the Secret Ballot

    06/26/2012 3:45:45 AM PDT · by afraidfortherepublic · 47 replies
    The Atlantic ^ | July/August 2012 | Sara Issenburg
    For the United States’ first century, Americans elected their leaders in full view of their neighbors, gathering on courthouse steps to announce their votes orally or hand a distinctive preprinted ballot or unfolded marked paper to a clerk. Such a public process made elections ripe for bribes and threats, although the scene around American polling places never matched Australia’s, where a population of criminals and goldbugs made electoral intimidation something of a democratic pastime. To end such shenanigans, each of Australia’s colonies began shifting to a secret ballot during the 1850s, and in 1872 England followed suit. A decade and...
  • Voter apathy — not Florida’s new voting laws — may hurt turnout in 2012

    05/14/2012 2:10:40 AM PDT · by Cincinatus' Wife · 10 replies
    Miami Herald ^ | May 13, 2012 | Marc Caputo
    The congregation repeated every word of the Rev. Jesse Jackson as if he were administering an oath. “Revive easy access to voting,” Jackson said recently at the 93rd Street Community Baptist Church in Miami. “And stop voter suppression.” Yup. It’s campaign season. Cue the talk among liberals that conservatives are trying to rob Democrats of their votes. This year’s target: A Republican election law, House Bill 1355, which cracks down on voter registration drives and eliminates early voting on the Sunday before Election Day. A pain? Definitely. But voter suppression? Not really. Changing times This isn’t Bull Connor siccing German...
  • Pennsylvania Primary Results

    04/24/2012 7:42:19 PM PDT · by P.O.E. · 75 replies
    PA Dept. of State ^ | 4-24-12 | PA Dept. of State
    President of the United States Republican Primary Candidate Votes Percent GINGRICH, NEWT (REP) 62,556 10.6% ROMNEY, MITT (REP) 339,097 57.3% PAUL, RON (REP) 77,897 13.2% SANTORUM, RICK (REP) 112,061 18.9% Democratic Primary Candidate Votes Percent OBAMA, BARACK (DEM) 484,958 100.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- United States Senator Republican Primary Candidate Votes Percent CHRISTIAN, DAVID ALAN (REP) 54,691 9.8% SCARINGI, MARC A. (REP) 40,834 7.4% WELCH, STEVEN D. (REP) 114,296 20.6% SMITH, TOM (REP) 231,013 41.6% ROHRER, SAM (REP) 115,072 20.7% Democratic Primary Candidate Votes Percent VODVARKA, JOSEPH JOHN (DEM) 108,888 20.2% CASEY, JR, BOB (DEM) 429,419 79.8%
  • Low Voter Turnout Reported Around Easton (The Romney Effect...)

    04/24/2012 5:29:23 PM PDT · by jimbo123 · 22 replies
    Easton Patch ^ | 4/24/12 | Tom Coombe
    It was a quiet Election Day in Easton, with few people turning out to vote in Pennsylvania's primary. "Worst one I've ever seen," said poll worker Mae Whitman, at the seventh district in the city's West Ward. "We had to struggle to get eight or nine this morning."
  • Surprise! Republican turnout up in primaries

    03/25/2012 4:52:51 PM PDT · by entropy12 · 7 replies
    Hot Air ^ | MARCH 25, 2012 | ED MORRISSEY
    When I first read the headline from the Washington Post that turnout in the Republican primaries are actually up over 2008 and not depressed as the media has insisted for the last two months, I assumed that the comparison would be off, thanks to the longer, more drawn out process this year. After all, the primaries stopped being meaningful in February in 2008, while we’re heading into April with a fight still on our hands. However, the Post’s Aaron Blake accounts for that, and still concludes that in states which had meaningful primaries in both cycles, Republican turnout in 2012...