[Mr. Silverback]

You are correct that we don’t KNOW how those people are voting, but after the past four years, what are the chances any significant number of Rs are voting for Obama?

[DaveInDallas]

what are the chances any significant number of Rs are voting for Obama?

CNN in 2008 said 9% of Republicans voted for Obama. Rasmussen weirdly says something like 12% of Republicans are going to vote for Obama in 2012. I expect that to happen as much as I expect to move to Uzbekistan.

[gdani]

You are correct that we don’t KNOW how those people are voting, but after the past four years, what are the chances any significant number of Rs are voting for Obama?

Well, I hope it is zero for Zero.

But, I still maintain knowing only the overall number of absentee/early votes cast but not how those people voted is nothing to hang one's hat on when it comes to election predictions. But it doesn't seem to stop some/many people.