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To: Numbers Guy; Gophack; PA Engineer; SunkenCiv; Clintonfatigued; Impy; InterceptPoint; ...
Near the bottom there's a question: Who did you vote for in 2008? The results are Obama 50%, McCain 40% (others presumably didn't vote or were too young to vote). In other words, given that Obama won by just under 7 points, this polling sample is skewed 3 points to the Dems based on something clearly verifiable (the actual results in 2008). Now that's not completely indicative, you likely have older voters who passed on who may have leaned McCain and firsttime voters may lean Democratic, but it is an interesting measure of the skew.

I was thinking of the same issue: who is voting this year who didn't vote in '08 and who voted in '08 who isn't voting this year? It has to be a bit more nuanced than merely the older voters in '08 having passed on the young first time voters replacing them. There are quite a number of not so young conservatives who foolishly sat out '08 out of frustration with RINO McCain and his passive campaign, but are now strong for Romney. You also have some not so old Democrats, especially so-called "minorities," who were enthusiastic for the Messiah in '08 but are sitting this one out in remorse or resentment at his performance as POTUS.

17 posted on 11/06/2012 7:26:49 AM PST by justiceseeker93
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To: justiceseeker93

Now come on, talking about older GOP leaning voters dying and younger Dem leaning voters being added to the voting population is just nonsense.

Why, you ask.

Because you are ignoring the fact that the whole voting population has aged 4 years thus becoming more GOP leaning. That cancels out the old vs young effect.


22 posted on 11/06/2012 7:42:48 AM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: justiceseeker93; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

The FDR Demwits are almost all gone now, a great many have passed since 2008. Of those who remain, many or most will have experienced the impact of Obamacare, and have seen what an a-hole he is on a consistent basis. Younger voters have four years more under their belts, and if they’re like most people (including me), they’ll have spent a few of those in the work force and lost some of that youthful stupid enthusiasm for redistribution and (especially) hiring quotas.

The wife of a friend is a diehard straight-ticket no-thinking-allowed Demwit, but she absolutely HATES quotas, because she feels she can do the job as well as anyone. I guess she doesn’t care who else loses out on a job because of the color bar, as long as it’s not her.

Thanks justiceseeker93.


28 posted on 11/06/2012 9:32:56 AM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: justiceseeker93

I voted for Romney last Thursday.
Today I’m praying.

http://domania.us/Oaccess/POLITIC/RomneyBannerPlane.gif


29 posted on 11/06/2012 12:37:59 PM PST by potlatch (~One Heart Less In My Life~)
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