Posted on 11/06/2012 4:41:23 AM PST by beebuster2000
Here in Ohio, Westchester Area, huge lines and turnout to vote, much bigger than last couple elections for sure. Romney country in Ohio.
WLW radio is also reporting same in other areas.
Thanks for the report! I’m so hopeful today.
Do not rest until the polls close - no matter what you hear, good or bad - turn out, turn out, turn out! Get those “big numbers” in the Romney areas even higher until the polls close.
I remember in 2004 all the talk about “huge turnout” in Kerry areas and exit polls supposedly showing he was going to win easily, it was over, etc. Whether we hear something similar again, or better news - do not let up - turn out the vote!
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Get exited folks! Pardon the vanity tagline but:
"Shouldn't Vote" Video (with an FR clip)hits 1,000 views
Good to hear!
...number 4 in line this AM (6)....SURPRISINGLY ABOUT THE SAME SIZE TURNOUT AS 2008.
Good luck.
I’m really curious as to what the early vote + turnout totals are in Cuyahoga County at, say, 1 p.m. today as compared to 2008. That will say a lot about Ohio.
Good to hear—from my old stompin’ grounds, near Mason, Ohio!! Go OHIO!!!!! In the meantime, will be voting here in Indiana in just a few minutes. Our youngest son, age 21, will be voting for President for the very first time!!
Cincinnati station 55WKRC callers reporting EPIC turnout in Southwestern Ohio this morning and they all appear to be Romney types.
Romney needs to keep it down to about 100,000 in Cuyahoga to beat O in OH.
McCain couldn’t get it done. The old rule holds true - no Republican has been elected President without winning OH.
Its tough but its doable today.
One interesting observation is that the last “November 6th” Presidential win was in 1984 by none other that President Ronald Reagan.
Here’s a historical curiosity to observe this election cycle as we go out and vote.
Since election day was standardized in 1845 there have been 6 presidential elections held on November 6th and Republicans have won all six. That means TODAY, the 7th Presidential election held on this date, will either break or uphold a streak that began in 1860 with the election of Abraham Lincoln.
Starting in 1792, states had a range of dates on which to conduct presidential elections, but in 1845 Congress standardized the date so it would always be the Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Since then presidential elections have been held on dates ranging from November 2nd to November 8th with each date coming up about six times in a fairly regular pattern. The date November 6th has always been a good one for Republicans:
•1860 - Abraham Lincoln over Stephen Douglas
•1888 - Benjamin Harrison over incumbent Grover Cleveland
•1900 - William McKinley over William Jennings Bryan
•1928 - Herbert Hoover over Al Smith
•1956 - Dwight Eisenhower over Adlai Stevenson
•1984 - Ronald Reagan over Walter Mondale
I live in NE Ohio near Cleveland (but not Cuyahoga Cty). I voted at 6:30am. There were 25-30 people in line while we waited for the poll to open.
ALL were voting Romney.
numbers guy, obama will carry the co by way more than 100,000 but romney needs to hold down the 69% for obama coming out of there?
HOWEVER, this assumes some things that are silly:
a) all EVs are D. Even assuming Ras's ridiculous numbers of a 60/40 split, you're looking at now a number of 144,000 to beat.
Then figure that Romney gets ANYTHING from Is (1%) you're looking at 142,000.
Slightly higher "loyalty factor" of Rs over Ds and D flips? (92% vs. 89%) adds another 2% (138,000)
This should be an easy number to overcome and it's based on all the Ds BEST projections.
Just keeping it real. I live in suburb of Columbus. Wife and I went in and out pretty quickly. No line. Who knows what that means. I’ve seen lines around the building in previous elections and I’ve seen it even quieter than it was this morning.
I’m thinking early voting helped and I will say that the ballot is really short and quick this cycle.
Anecdotal, but appreciated information none the less... remember, most of the jug-eared communist’s supporters (i.e. wealth-draining parasites) don’t get up until the crack of 12:00 or 1:00PM. Much like their lazy, unaccomplished “messiah”...
This happened in 2008 as well, but unfortunately a good many of those in Republican leaning districts voted for Obama, we later learned.
I doubt they will repeat that mistake this time around.
That is a very good point, I had not thought of that for elections.
Now we know why they are always the very ones who CRY out and WHINE because they did not have enough time to vote or disenfranchised in some way. (but they do know what they are doing)
It was noted that they had Republican voting guides in hand.
Oh and they had jobs and weren’t wearing Patchouli.
Ah the voting guides. That takes all the fun out of speculating based on wardrobe, personal grooming practice, piercings, taking the bong pipe to the polling place, etc.
Oh well carry on then.
Urban Dictionary: patchouli
www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=patchouliHippie perfume ... smells like forest, pot and snuggling.
Obama men look like Rasputin and so do the women.
Bush beat Kerry in 2004 in Ohio with Kerry winning Cuyahoga by 448K to 222K. Obama won Cuyahoga in 2008 458K to 200K (note the lower vote total, which I assume is due to population decline, total 2-party vote in Ohio was pretty much the same in 2004 and 2008).
If Romney's within 100K in Cuyahoga, he wins Ohio going away. But that isn't going to happen. If he keeps it to 220K or under, that's a good sign because that parallels what happened in 2004, when Bush won the state.
But I think the key to all this isn't percentage, it's turnout. Obama's going to win Cuyahoga by something close to 2-1. It's how many people vote there that's the key, because that will have a huge influence on the margin. That's why I would be curious to see a comparison, by mid-day, of early votes plus turnout thus far in Cuyahoga as compared to 2008. I don't know if that sort of information is available, but it could be telling.
I am in Southern Montgomery County (Republican area even though Dayton is a Democratic hell hole) and it was the largest voting line I have ever seen. I bet it was an hour wait. In fact, it was so crowded that I left and will return to vote after lunchtime. I think this is a good sign!!
BTW -
I wish we could give Cleveland to Canada! F-in liberals!
My R source says the magic number is 6% to overcome ALL early votes (not just Ds). He bases this on the 40% number. Again, I think the "magic number" to beat is >140k today.
Then why aren't you on this thread. Just posted Cook Political Report's spreadsheet on Ohio Early Voting. Bad news for Bobo!
What's the realistic expectation for the voting day disparity in our favor?
Thanks for the link!
Pretty easy. We can beat this with Warren, Guega, and one other small county alone.
bttt
Thanks LS.
more info from co-workers at plant. big lines, some people couldnt even vote it was so crowded.
That, and it takes time to get the buses, free lunches and preprinted ballots organized and handed out.
Keep Calm, Finish Him (Øbama)
My first election after coming of age. Thanks for this.
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