Obama still poised to win 303 electoral votes on Tuesday...(LOL, More Yahoo pretzel logic?)

As the last full day of the 2012 presidential campaign gets under way, the Signal's prediction remains the same as it was nearly nine months ago: President Barack Obama will win reelection with 303 electoral votes, winning Ohio and Virginia but losing Florida to Gov. Mitt Romney. There is only about a 15 percent chance that we'll actually be correct, based on our prediction model, given the many combinations of close states that could go either way. Obama has a 24.8 percent likelihood of winning Florida, while Romney has a 40.8 percent chance of snagging Virginia and a 19.9 percent chance of securing Ohio. Romney needs to sweep all three states to secure the election. This may make it seem like all hope is lost for Romney — the odds of him defending Florida and taking Ohio and Virginia are about 6 percent if you simply multiply the probabilities. While the Signal is predicting an Obama victory, we're not calling it with 94 percent certainty. That is because state elections are not entirely independent events. The polls could be systematically biased toward Obama based on faulty assumptions about voter turnout, or the final polls could fail to capture a late surge in support for the Republican candidate.

Wonder what bill clinton’s polling guy would say? Well lookie here.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955297/posts

Schoen: On Election Eve, ‘Movement’ Towards Romney

NewsMax ^ | 11-5

Posted on Monday, November 05, 2012 3:45:11 PM by Arthurio

With less than 24 hours left before Election Day, “the movement has been in the direction of Mitt Romney” over President Barack Obama, Democratic pollster Doug Schoen tells Newsmax TV in an exclusive interview.
“What I see is a presidential race that is within half a percent, according to the Real Clear Politics averages,” Schoen, the former pollster for President Bill Clinton, tells Newsmax. “But the important point that most commentators haven’t noted is that the last two days, maybe even the last day, the movement has been in the direction of Mitt Romney.
Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com: http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/schoen-obama-romney-election/2012/11/05/id/462864#ixzz2BO31sq7L Follow us: @newsmax_media on Twitter | newsmax on Facebook Important: Do You Support Pres. Obama’s Re-Election? Vote Here Now!

I’m not 100% sure, but I believe the woman that took over Yahoo..leaving Google..is a H U G E Obot, but not just a supporter, a bundler. I have read that, but others would have to verify.

I think that could explain what I see as a noticeable further tilt of Yahoo

I agree, and posted as much two weeks ago. It's not a coincidence.

I know there will be a lot of democrats who won’t vote. Their early voting numbers are down. I live in California so my presidential vote won’t really count, but I will cross the Delaware butt ass naked in a blizzard to vote against Obama. I don’t know any republicans who don’t feel the same. I can’t guarantee we will win tomorrow, but anyone who thinks Obama has this thing won is a complete and total fool.

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.