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Rasmussen Daily: MON 11/05: R:49 O:48 Obama -8%: ONE DAY TO GO!!
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/05/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/05/2012 6:39:32 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer

Monday, November 05, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.

Rasmussen Reports will conduct our final tracking poll tonight and release the results early Tuesday morning. Later today, we will issue our final swing state polls including Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire.

Since mid-September, after the convention bounces faded, the candidates have generally been within three points of each other on a daily basis. Heading into the first presidential debate, Obama had a slight edge. After that debate, Romney had the advantage. For a few days in late October, Romney reached the 50% level of support and opened a modest lead. But the candidates have been tied or within two points for each other for the past eight days. See daily tracking history

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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To: DaveInDallas
I can see Republicans voting 9% for Obama in 2008. Not every Republican is an informed voter and I could see some of them being taken in by the whole "hope and change" mantra that MSM shoved down our throats day and night. It also didn't help that McCain was our nominee.

This time around, even the densest of Republicans has to see that an Obama second term would be devastating. I see 97 or 98% of Republicans going for Romney this time around. The other 2 or 3% were either not Republicans to begin with or they need to be committed to the nearest mental institution.

61 posted on 11/05/2012 9:07:56 AM PST by SamAdams76
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To: goldstategop
Romney is not taking this election too seriously and that’s a great thing to see in a human being. He’s run a terrific campaign and that’s something that will stay with him for the rest of his life!

So true. I thought this was going to be the nastiest campaign in history but it really wasn't. Well at least from the Republican side. Romney ran the classiest, most positive campaign since Reagan in 1980 and nobody can take that away from him.

I also think he'll be okay if he loses. He's got a good life and a good family to go back to. But I don't think he needs to worry about that for barring massive election fraud, Romney is headed to victory tomorrow.

Regardless of how people here feel about Romney, we need somebody competent as president who will be positive and upbeat for the next four years. We know Obama and his crowd won't be that.

Once in office, Romney will either be a pleasant surprise for us conservatives or we will need to get busy finding somebody who can primary him out in 2016. Either way, nobody can argue that Romney will not be a huge improvement over who we have now.

62 posted on 11/05/2012 9:17:59 AM PST by SamAdams76
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To: dfwgator

” The Gov Christie bump is fading!

But the bump in his midsection continues to grow. “

I think the Muslim communist Obama impregnated gov Christie after their romantic walk on the beach(hence the growing midsection). this whale’s name will live in infamy!


63 posted on 11/05/2012 9:48:46 AM PST by Democrat_media (limit government to 5000 words of laws. how to limit gov Quantify limited government ...)
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To: Outraged At FLA
"Raise your hand if you know a Republican voting for Obama lol.."

Sadly, I do:


64 posted on 11/05/2012 9:55:40 AM PST by DoctorBulldog (Hey, Libtards, how's the Moral Imperative to close Gitmo working out for ya'?)
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To: DoctorBulldog

That guy’s not a Republican.....he’s a sandbagger.


65 posted on 11/05/2012 10:01:51 AM PST by liberalh8ter (If Barack has a memory like a steel trap, why can't he remember what the Constitution says?)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

A country where Obama has 50% approval, or anything close to it, is f***ed, no matter what happens tomorrow.


66 posted on 11/05/2012 10:02:41 AM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: Jim Noble

ping


67 posted on 11/05/2012 11:04:02 AM PST by MyDogAteMyBallot
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To: SamAdams76

“Either way, nobody can argue that Romney will not be a huge improvement over who we have now.”

I totally agree! Romney will definitely be an improvement over Obama. We all need to remember to get out and vote tomorrow!

I hope there’s no one out there still sore about Romney being the GOP nominee. Yes, he wasn’t the first choice for many of us (I would have preferred Sarah Palin or Rick Perry), but I am supercharged and very encouraged to see the massive crowds and enthusiasm for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan and am now firmly behind them!

Let’s keep this election in our prayers and stand firm together! We can and will win this!


68 posted on 11/05/2012 11:17:09 AM PST by wk4bush2004 (Thank You, Lord, that Mitt Romney is our President and Paul Ryan is our VP, in Jesus' Name, AMEN!)
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To: Jim Noble
Sadly, I have to agree.

I think Romney will win, and I actually think he's going to be more conservative on a number of issues than FReepers give him credit for. But, that all said, I don't believe this is much more than a holding action.

The problem is not Barack 0bama per se. The problem is with a country in which 53% of the electorate could be fooled to vote for him in 2008, and 46-47% of the electorate will still vote for him despite his abysmal and very left-wing record.

I think we need to stop believing our own propaganda: A country in which 47% of the electorate can vote for a man like this despite everything we now know is NOT a right-of-center country any more.

69 posted on 11/05/2012 11:18:57 AM PST by FredZarguna ("Post Hoc, ergo propter hoc," is no way to reason through life, son.)
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To: LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; ConservativeDude; ...

Despite RAS saying that he thinks the final turnout will be D/R/I of 39/37/24 (and I disagree) it turns out that for the full week ending SUN 11/04 he was using a D+4 sample!

No wonder his Republicans for Romney number was low

For those of you that have subscriptions:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/full_week_crosstabs/crosstabs_full_week_crosstabs_october_29_november_4_2012

Also, it is clear that for the full week, the Governor loses one point due to rounding. The “Leaning Romney” number is shown a 0, which is why the poll is R:49 O:48

However 1% of whites (74% of sample) lean Romney. But that got rounded down

BOTTOM LINE: Scott Rasmussen believes that in the general populace Republicans outnumber Democrats by 6% (as per his October release)

However, he believes that on Election Day, we will get a D+2 sample

ON TOP OF THAT, he polls with a D+4 sample!!


70 posted on 11/05/2012 11:45:46 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer; LS; nhwingut; Perdogg; Ravi

Did Battleground (Ed Goeas) give their final projection? I know last week they said R52/O47 but I didn’t think that was their ‘final’ projection. In a Weekly Standard article today by Fred Barnes, they quote Ed Goeas who said that the Battleground projection for Romney was 51 but I can’t find the official projection based on yesterday’s tied poll.


71 posted on 11/05/2012 7:50:00 PM PST by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: tatown

There were washed away by Sandy.


72 posted on 11/05/2012 7:51:36 PM PST by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

Huh?


73 posted on 11/05/2012 7:53:59 PM PST by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: tatown

I think the storm put them out for the season.


74 posted on 11/05/2012 8:01:19 PM PST by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

They published their poll (48/48) this past weekend but not their ‘projection’.


75 posted on 11/05/2012 8:05:52 PM PST by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: SamAdams76

Gallup doesn’t weight their polls by party affiliation. There were several articles to this effect a couple weeks ago. They did release a “turnout forecast” which showed R+1 (Compared to D+8 actual in 2008).

did anyone see brit hume on bret baier tonite? when talking about the gallup r+1 poll, he said “wow, if thats true, its over”.


76 posted on 11/05/2012 8:06:28 PM PST by willywill
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