Posted on 11/03/2012 7:47:42 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
...sample of 1,177 American Registered Voters (RVs) and 947 Likely Voters (LVs), age 18 and over in Virginia was interviewed online. Data below has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points for RVs and 3.6 for LVs.
Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters
State-Level Election Tracking: 11.03.12
These are findings from Ipsos polling conducted for Thomson Reuters from Nov. 1-3, 2012. State-specific sample details are below. For all states, the data are weighted to each state’s current population voter data by gender, age, education, ethnicity, and a political values scale.Ipsos’ Likely Voter model (applied to Voting Intention questions only) uses a seven-item summated index, including questions on voter registration, past voting behavior, likelihood of voting in the upcoming election, and interest in following news about the campaign...
(Excerpt) Read more at scribd.com ...
I took part in this poll. Seemed like a push poll to me. It seemed to have a bias built in toward Obama.
I am not one to knee jerk reject a poll just because it goes against us. But dude, Reuters, really?
It’s understandable that ‘IPSOS’ is never quoted anywhere.
any thoughts?
Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling
Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling
Is Kathryn asleep yet?
Obama under 50% in every poll, 48 in VA, 46 OH, 45 CO and 47 in FL. He’s in major trouble, even given the Reuters bias...Couple red flags...polls are reported as LV but internals as RV....all polls have Obama up 20+ with independents which is impossible as the polls are all mostly tied...and indys are totally out of phase with every poll we’ve seen...still, Obama is not going to win any of these states...Reuters trying to make Zero look good and he still cant break 50....he’s in serious serious trouble...
Obama leading among independents 39-23 in Virginia? rofl.
The sampling looks suspect, if I am reading this right. For example in Ohio, the poll’s voter sample breakdown is:
20% Strong Democrat
18% Moderate Democrat
8% Lean Democrat
(46% total democrat)
vs
9% Lean Republican
18% Moderate Republican
11% Strong Republican
(38% Republican)
+ 12% Independent
Am I reading that right? (It’s on p.4) Does that really reflect the current state of Ohio’s electorate? I think not.
The inddependent splits looked ridiculous. I didn’t even get to those numbers. So they’re oversampling Democrats counting on a huge Democrat turn out?
It seems so, and not only that, the giving so many more “strong Democrats” vs. “strong Republicans” is strange to say the least.
I could be wrong but I believe IPSOS is originally a Canadian polling firm, and that they are basically a bunch of gay fags...open to correction for sure
Typical of most polls I’ve seen lately. Assuming that Democrat turn out will be equal to or greater than 2008. Not gonna happen.
46% Democrat to 38% Republican with 20% Strong Democrat to 11% Strong Republican! Is that supposed to be a realistic sample of any swing state let alone Ohio? Not even close.
The bulk of the state polls say Obama will win. A lot of people are basing their election predictions on those polls. Republicans are mostly saying they are BS, Democrats say they are accurate. We will know early Tuesday evening who was right. I think things are closer than the state polls indicate, but I’ve seen this disputing polls before and it’s usually not a good sign. The good news here is the national polls still mostly show things tied or even Romney ahead. We will see over the next couple of days if that holds true or if Hussein got a lasting bump from hurricane Sandy.
After perusing my Canadian equivalent of Free Republic, it is good to get some small solace. Did not think of this polling agency that way.
The latest figures stated that 90% of Canadians thought that President Obama would win and 10% think Governor Romney will win. This was broken down to 84% would vote for President Obama and 14% vote for Governor Romney. Yeah, Ipsos/ Reid is Canadian based.
I am taking this rather hard, though not having a vote. I have read "Dreams From My Father" by Barack Obama- or as Jack Cashill avers, one William Ayres, a dangerous man. Within that book is more than enough to damage the Republic. As for the polls on Canadians, I know we have a majority Conservative government. Stephen Harper got a mandate after first having a minority government. Now we learn Canadians are all flaming liberals or whatever.
Blast these damn polls. Nothing surprises me anymore about their manipulations.
Both polls cannot be correct. Either National polls are wrong or State polls are wrong.
MSNBC is having a heyday with this. I’m hoping it puts them to sleep. I think all hell will break loose.
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