Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2012 Reuters Ipsos State Polling 11.03.2012 [Lots of "internals" for swing states]
Reuters/Ipsos/Scribd ^ | 11.3.12

Posted on 11/03/2012 7:47:42 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper

...sample of 1,177 American Registered Voters (RVs) and 947 Likely Voters (LVs), age 18 and over in Virginia was interviewed online. Data below has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points for RVs and 3.6 for LVs.

Ipsos Poll Conducted for Reuters

State-Level Election Tracking: 11.03.12

These are findings from Ipsos polling conducted for Thomson Reuters from Nov. 1-3, 2012. State-specific sample details are below. For all states, the data are weighted to each state’s current population voter data by gender, age, education, ethnicity, and a political values scale.Ipsos’ Likely Voter model (applied to Voting Intention questions only) uses a seven-item summated index, including questions on voter registration, past voting behavior, likelihood of voting in the upcoming election, and interest in following news about the campaign...

(Excerpt) Read more at scribd.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012
I am NOT trying to be an eeyore...there is a lot of good news out there...but I sure would like some of the smarter people on this board to weigh in on these several swing state polls, most of which do not look good for our team.
1 posted on 11/03/2012 7:47:42 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

I took part in this poll. Seemed like a push poll to me. It seemed to have a bias built in toward Obama.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 7:56:50 PM PDT by amishman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

I am not one to knee jerk reject a poll just because it goes against us. But dude, Reuters, really?


3 posted on 11/03/2012 7:57:27 PM PDT by FlipWilson
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

It’s understandable that ‘IPSOS’ is never quoted anywhere.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 7:58:57 PM PDT by Baynative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper; SoftwareEngineer; tatown; Perdogg

any thoughts?


5 posted on 11/03/2012 8:00:07 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling


6 posted on 11/03/2012 8:02:09 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling


7 posted on 11/03/2012 8:03:01 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Rush Limbaugh
I sure would like some of the smarter people on this board to weigh in on these several swing state polls

Is Kathryn asleep yet?

8 posted on 11/03/2012 8:07:38 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Obama under 50% in every poll, 48 in VA, 46 OH, 45 CO and 47 in FL. He’s in major trouble, even given the Reuters bias...Couple red flags...polls are reported as LV but internals as RV....all polls have Obama up 20+ with independents which is impossible as the polls are all mostly tied...and indys are totally out of phase with every poll we’ve seen...still, Obama is not going to win any of these states...Reuters trying to make Zero look good and he still cant break 50....he’s in serious serious trouble...


9 posted on 11/03/2012 8:14:25 PM PDT by usafa92 (Conservative in Jersey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Obama leading among independents 39-23 in Virginia? rofl.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 8:16:16 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

The sampling looks suspect, if I am reading this right. For example in Ohio, the poll’s voter sample breakdown is:

20% Strong Democrat
18% Moderate Democrat
8% Lean Democrat
(46% total democrat)
vs
9% Lean Republican
18% Moderate Republican
11% Strong Republican
(38% Republican)
+ 12% Independent

Am I reading that right? (It’s on p.4) Does that really reflect the current state of Ohio’s electorate? I think not.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 8:19:11 PM PDT by Columbo (Just one more thing....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Columbo

The inddependent splits looked ridiculous. I didn’t even get to those numbers. So they’re oversampling Democrats counting on a huge Democrat turn out?


12 posted on 11/03/2012 8:24:20 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: trappedincanuckistan

It seems so, and not only that, the giving so many more “strong Democrats” vs. “strong Republicans” is strange to say the least.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 8:29:14 PM PDT by Columbo (Just one more thing....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Baynative

I could be wrong but I believe IPSOS is originally a Canadian polling firm, and that they are basically a bunch of gay fags...open to correction for sure


14 posted on 11/03/2012 8:31:20 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (Michael Barone says its a landslide...believe it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Columbo

Typical of most polls I’ve seen lately. Assuming that Democrat turn out will be equal to or greater than 2008. Not gonna happen.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 8:32:19 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Columbo

46% Democrat to 38% Republican with 20% Strong Democrat to 11% Strong Republican! Is that supposed to be a realistic sample of any swing state let alone Ohio? Not even close.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 8:32:52 PM PDT by eggman (End the Obama occupation of the White House!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

The bulk of the state polls say Obama will win. A lot of people are basing their election predictions on those polls. Republicans are mostly saying they are BS, Democrats say they are accurate. We will know early Tuesday evening who was right. I think things are closer than the state polls indicate, but I’ve seen this disputing polls before and it’s usually not a good sign. The good news here is the national polls still mostly show things tied or even Romney ahead. We will see over the next couple of days if that holds true or if Hussein got a lasting bump from hurricane Sandy.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 9:00:51 PM PDT by Longbow1969
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader
Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling

After perusing my Canadian equivalent of Free Republic, it is good to get some small solace. Did not think of this polling agency that way.

The latest figures stated that 90% of Canadians thought that President Obama would win and 10% think Governor Romney will win. This was broken down to 84% would vote for President Obama and 14% vote for Governor Romney. Yeah, Ipsos/ Reid is Canadian based.

I am taking this rather hard, though not having a vote. I have read "Dreams From My Father" by Barack Obama- or as Jack Cashill avers, one William Ayres, a dangerous man. Within that book is more than enough to damage the Republic. As for the polls on Canadians, I know we have a majority Conservative government. Stephen Harper got a mandate after first having a minority government. Now we learn Canadians are all flaming liberals or whatever.

Blast these damn polls. Nothing surprises me anymore about their manipulations.

18 posted on 11/03/2012 9:01:41 PM PDT by Peter Libra
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: SoFloFreeper

Both polls cannot be correct. Either National polls are wrong or State polls are wrong.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 9:05:45 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TornadoAlley3

MSNBC is having a heyday with this. I’m hoping it puts them to sleep. I think all hell will break loose.


20 posted on 11/03/2012 10:19:37 PM PDT by des
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Columbo

+8 D and Obama can’t get 50%? That’s deep trouble. Independents % looks a bit low too.


21 posted on 11/03/2012 11:40:22 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Obama didn't fix it!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson