I took part in this poll. Seemed like a push poll to me. It seemed to have a bias built in toward Obama.
I am not one to knee jerk reject a poll just because it goes against us. But dude, Reuters, really?
It’s understandable that ‘IPSOS’ is never quoted anywhere.
any thoughts?
Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling
Reuters/Ipsos = continuous blatant Democrat push polling
Is Kathryn asleep yet?
Obama under 50% in every poll, 48 in VA, 46 OH, 45 CO and 47 in FL. He’s in major trouble, even given the Reuters bias...Couple red flags...polls are reported as LV but internals as RV....all polls have Obama up 20+ with independents which is impossible as the polls are all mostly tied...and indys are totally out of phase with every poll we’ve seen...still, Obama is not going to win any of these states...Reuters trying to make Zero look good and he still cant break 50....he’s in serious serious trouble...
Obama leading among independents 39-23 in Virginia? rofl.
The sampling looks suspect, if I am reading this right. For example in Ohio, the poll’s voter sample breakdown is:
20% Strong Democrat
18% Moderate Democrat
8% Lean Democrat
(46% total democrat)
vs
9% Lean Republican
18% Moderate Republican
11% Strong Republican
(38% Republican)
+ 12% Independent
Am I reading that right? (It’s on p.4) Does that really reflect the current state of Ohio’s electorate? I think not.
The bulk of the state polls say Obama will win. A lot of people are basing their election predictions on those polls. Republicans are mostly saying they are BS, Democrats say they are accurate. We will know early Tuesday evening who was right. I think things are closer than the state polls indicate, but I’ve seen this disputing polls before and it’s usually not a good sign. The good news here is the national polls still mostly show things tied or even Romney ahead. We will see over the next couple of days if that holds true or if Hussein got a lasting bump from hurricane Sandy.
Both polls cannot be correct. Either National polls are wrong or State polls are wrong.