Concern troll present and accounted for sir!
So as I see it there are two takes on this. The data-based view is that Romney trailing, although close, in many of the states he needs. He is going to be campaigning in Florida and Virginia. Not sure how anyone can think PA is in play when he can’t even lock up the south. Even Rove’s map is still against him.
Then there’s the gut feel that some people here have. Looking at some hard and some circumstantial evidence that suggests Romney is a bit under the radar and will really explode on election day.
I believe the former and not the latter. We all should have learned a lesson from irrational exuberance in 2008.
I don’t recall any irrational exuberance in 2008 at all.
99.9% of this board knew Obama would win, just not by double digits like some of the MSM was trying to claim.
As I stated to you earlier, this election is NOTHING like 2008. Romney is not another McCain and people have seen 0bama in action (or is it in inaction) for nearly four years. They don’t like what they see in 0bama. He is no longer an unknown quantity full of hope and change.
You really don’t need to be so concerned.
What "irrational exuberance" in 2008?
From early October on, did anybody actually believe the bumbling McCain had a chance?
But, this year, there are three reasons for some very rational exuberance:
1. Just about every poll has Romney leading the independents by double-digits.
2. Just about every poll measures Republican enthusiasm as higher than the Democrats -- again, by double-digits.
3. Just about every poll has the Democrat party ID at or above 2008. Meaning they are understating Republican voters by...double-digits.
Do you really think D turnout will be +7-to-9 points higher than R turnout, like it was in 2008?