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To: paul544
We all should have learned a lesson from irrational exuberance in 2008.

What "irrational exuberance" in 2008?

From early October on, did anybody actually believe the bumbling McCain had a chance?

But, this year, there are three reasons for some very rational exuberance:

1. Just about every poll has Romney leading the independents by double-digits.

2. Just about every poll measures Republican enthusiasm as higher than the Democrats -- again, by double-digits.

3. Just about every poll has the Democrat party ID at or above 2008. Meaning they are understating Republican voters by...double-digits.

Do you really think D turnout will be +7-to-9 points higher than R turnout, like it was in 2008?

21 posted on 10/30/2012 5:49:39 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: okie01
Do you really think D turnout will be +7-to-9 points higher than R turnout, like it was in 2008?

The only way that is even possible is if young people and minorities vote at even higher rates than they did in 2008.

While it is possible, it is unlikely. This is no longer a "historic" election and many of those who wanted to be part of such an event will sit this one out.

Republicans on the other hand are energized like never before. The MSM seems to believe there just aren't enough of us left to decide elections anymore, I think they are going to be shocked to see just how big our numbers are and how much fight we still have left in our tanks.

22 posted on 10/30/2012 6:05:03 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: okie01

If this site wasn’t so god awful slow I’d go back and pull some threads from 2008. But anyway... I remember a great deal of people sayi g how wrong the polls were and how McCain was going to pull it out. But when Obama was renting a whole park in Chicago and McCain had half a ballroom in Arizona that’s when it set in for me that McCain knew it was over.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 6:09:55 PM PDT by paul544
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