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Lee poll: Rehberg leads Tester in U.S. Senate race
Missoulian ^ | 9/23/12 | MIKE DENNISON

Posted on 09/24/2012 4:01:00 PM PDT by Ron C.

HELENA – Republican challenger Denny Rehberg holds a slight edge over Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Tester in the state’s most expensive and hotly contested campaign this year, a poll by Lee Newspapers shows.

Rehberg, the state’s sole congressman, is favored by 48 percent of those polled earlier this week, while Tester had the support of 45 percent. Only 6 percent were undecided and 1 percent said they would vote for Libertarian Dan Cox of Hamilton.

“Usually, if an incumbent is trailing, that’s a problem,” said pollster Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which conducted the poll for Lee Newspapers in Montana. “(But) this is just too close to call.”

Mason-Dixon polled 625 Montana registered voters who said they are likely to vote in the Nov. 6 general election. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points – so Rehberg’s lead is within the margin

(Excerpt) Read more at missoulian.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Missouri; US: Montana
KEYWORDS: dennyrehberg; elections; jontester; missouri; montana; ussenate
Another quote from the article:

Among those polled, 36 percent said they are Republicans, 34 percent said they are Democrats and 30 percent consider themselves independent. However, Coker said the polling results indicate that independents in Montana tend to lean Republican.

Hence a slight over-poll of Republicans

1 posted on 09/24/2012 4:01:09 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: All

Read the rest - this is a chance to pick up another unforeseen Senate seat. Hope it happens!


2 posted on 09/24/2012 4:02:16 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: Ron C.

Rehberg had been slamming Tester for taking more money from lobbyists than anyone else in Congress this term... until Tester released a video of Rehberg praising Lobbying as a “noble profession” and that he seriously considered becoming one.....

ugh


3 posted on 09/24/2012 4:06:59 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Ron C.

Let’s all send Rehberg a small donation. If every freeper sent $5 or $10 it would add up big.


4 posted on 09/24/2012 4:13:32 PM PDT by Josa
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To: Ron C.

This race is not an unforeseen pickup. It is critical w Missouri now down the tubes.


5 posted on 09/24/2012 4:22:12 PM PDT by mwl8787
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To: Ron C.

Like in PA, MT voters have disappointed us many times.


6 posted on 09/24/2012 4:59:45 PM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: mwl8787

Missouri is not necessarily down the tubes.


7 posted on 09/24/2012 6:59:55 PM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: Ron C.

This is not “unforeseen”....this race favoring Rehberg has been brewing in his favor for quite some time.....only now have the outside nets taken notice.


8 posted on 09/24/2012 7:04:14 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Ron C.
Its within the 4% margin of error, I cant really tell who is leading it depends on turnout..

Montana is not a typical state, straight party voting is not that common. If folks think the Dims will retain control of the Senate they will vote for Tester, if they think the GOP will get control they will vote for Rehberg. Same for the House.

Romney is ahead but not by as much as I would expect, O was competitive last time around which was surprising and more libs have moved into the state since then. The Dims will probably keep control of the Governorship, Schweitzer would easily win if he was not term limited so I suspect his popularity will rub off.

Absentee voting starts soon and I think it could be a big factor in the Senate race, there are plenty of folks like me who wont vote for either liberal at the top of the ticket and it remains to be seen if they will bother to show up or vote absentee.

9 posted on 09/24/2012 11:00:55 PM PDT by montanajoe (Blame Flame Shame or Beg I won't vote for R/R)
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To: Ron C.

MT is just the kind of place where a Libertarian can divert a Senate race to a Democrat.


10 posted on 09/25/2012 4:43:46 AM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: Ron C.
Rehberg, the state’s sole congressman,

That's kind of wild. A state with more Senators than Congressmen and thus a Congressman who represents more people than the Senators do. He deserves a pay raise.

11 posted on 09/25/2012 5:55:16 AM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: mwl8787
It is critical w Missouri now down the tubes.

Missouri is not down the tubes if the NRSC and the GOPe PACs wake up and come to their senses.

12 posted on 09/25/2012 5:57:48 AM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: Ron C.
Hence a slight over-poll of Republicans

Actually, that spread is about right for Montana, IIRC.

13 posted on 09/25/2012 6:46:32 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Uncle Chip

In seven states the at-large congressman has the same number of constitutents as the two U.S. senators — all the voters of the state. But Rehberg has more constituents than any other member of the House because MT is the largest of those seven states.


14 posted on 09/25/2012 7:17:19 AM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: Uncle Chip
Missouri is not down the tubes if the NRSC and the GOPe PACs wake up and come to their senses.

Akin is more likely to win without the support of the grand pooh-bahs than for them to come to their "senses."

15 posted on 09/25/2012 7:21:29 AM PDT by Theodore R. ( Who among us has not erred? Akin's the One!)
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To: Theodore R.

Missouri Senator Blunt on the radio yesterday said that the NRSC/GOPe expect that a full scale aire assault on Akin will begin today and if he weathers the assault and is still within a few points in a few weeks then the PACs will come back in to support him.


16 posted on 09/25/2012 7:29:30 AM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: MSF BU; mwl8787
Missouri is not necessarily down the tubes.

Why? Did Akin step down?

17 posted on 09/25/2012 9:09:32 AM PDT by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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To: Ron C.

More good news


18 posted on 09/25/2012 12:17:23 PM PDT by therightliveswithus
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To: Ron C.
The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points. That's a big percentage.
19 posted on 09/25/2012 3:34:19 PM PDT by mcleodglen
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To: GeronL
Rehberg had been slamming Tester for taking more money from lobbyists than anyone else in Congress this term... until Tester released a video of Rehberg praising Lobbying as a “noble profession” and that he seriously considered becoming one.....

If Rehberg would stick to attacking Tester on his miserable leftwing record... he wouldn't have such problems.

20 posted on 09/25/2012 5:04:16 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Hoodat

No, but he is within a point of the liberal.


21 posted on 09/25/2012 7:15:45 PM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: mwl8787

MO down the tubes? WTF are you talking about? Polls are dead-even. I’ve no doubt Aiken will win it.....Newt and Santorum have both been down campaigning for him.

Hank


22 posted on 09/25/2012 10:26:12 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
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To: Hoodat

Missouri is not necessarily down the tubes.


Why? Did Akin step down?

********************************************************
Sounds like you’re singing the following song:

“Gloom, despair, and agony on me
Deep, dark depression, excessive misery
If it weren’t for bad luck, I’d have no luck at all
Gloom, despair, and agony on me”

As for me, I’m among the non defeatists who are making contributions to help Akin in the absence of support from the despicable RNC and other GOPe.

I urge others to support him also and not allow yourself to be lulled into depression and pessimism.

http://www.akin.org/campaign/social-conservatives-are-fiscal-conservatives


23 posted on 09/27/2012 11:25:54 AM PDT by House Atreides
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To: Hoodat

Missouri is not necessarily down the tubes.


Why? Did Akin step down?

********************************************************
Sounds like you’re singing the following song:

“Gloom, despair, and agony on me
Deep, dark depression, excessive misery
If it weren’t for bad luck, I’d have no luck at all
Gloom, despair, and agony on me”

As for me, I’m among the non defeatists who are making contributions to help Akin in the absence of support from the despicable RNC and other GOPe.

I urge others to support him also and not allow yourself to be lulled into depression and pessimism.

http://www.akin.org/campaign/social-conservatives-are-fiscal-conservatives


24 posted on 09/27/2012 11:30:48 AM PDT by House Atreides
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Hoodat

Missouri is not necessarily down the tubes.


Why? Did Akin step down?

********************************************************
Sounds like you’re singing the following song:

“Gloom, despair, and agony on me
Deep, dark depression, excessive misery
If it weren’t for bad luck, I’d have no luck at all
Gloom, despair, and agony on me”

As for me, I’m among the non defeatists who are making contributions to help Akin in the absence of support from the despicable RNC and other GOPe.

I urge others to support him also and not allow yourself to be lulled into depression and pessimism.

http://www.akin.org/campaign/social-conservatives-are-fiscal-conservatives


25 posted on 09/27/2012 11:31:05 AM PDT by House Atreides
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