Posted on 09/07/2012 10:57:35 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
When the Romney-Ryan ticket announced a major ad campaign in eight states last night, the media noted that Wisconsin and Michigan were not among them and then jumped to the conclusion that these states are no longer in play. Wrong. Romney spokeswoman Andrea Saul told Right Turn that the campaign is “definitely not” abandoning these states. She told me: “Stay tuned.”
The Romney-Ryan camp, I was told, has expensive ground games in these states, as well as in Pennsylvania. Saul provided the stats:
Michigan
* 21 offices across the state
* More than 1 million voter contacts
* Sixth most voter contacts in the country
* Knocked on more than 100,000 doors
Pennsylvania
* 23 offices across Pennsylvania
* More voter contacts last week than any other week this cycle
* More than 1.5 million voter contacts
* Fourth most voter contacts in the country
* Knocked on more than 200,000 doors (continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
PA is easily within striking distance. It ain’t over ‘til it’s over.
I think Romney has a chance in all 3 of those states. I think Wisconsin most likely, and Michigan probably least likely, but none of them (IMHO) are write-offs (i.e. not like California, Vermont, etc.).
If nothing else, Romney can use his money advantage to force Obama to spend money and other resources defending territory that might otherwise be “safe ground.”
It is interesting.
Obama spent millions to destroy Romney over the past couple months.
It didn’t make a dent in the polls.
Romney raised $300 million over the last 3 months and couldn’t spend the money until now.
I think Romney will pull ahead now that he can spend his war chest.
Its close in PA
The Railroad unions and the UMW rank-and-file are against Zero because of his war on coal. The UMW for obvious reasons, and the IBET because the three railroads here, (NW, CSX, AVR), all depend on King Coal for most of their revenue.
The mine workers really should endorse Romney, if they do maybe their union could last for another decade or two.
If I ran a union I’d be d*mned to hell before I endorsed a guy who promised to “bankrupt” my industry.
Unions are more about political ideology these days than common sense. Good chance the union leaders will rather seek good graces of leftists or is already owned by them.
Those endorsements could get personal, too.
Remember back in 1960 Hoffa and the Teamsters endorsed Nixon because Jimmy Hoffa hated Bobby....
I have been thinking for a while that Romney has a chance in New Jersey And Connecticut. Would love to see some Rassmussen polls from there
What???? You expect me to believe the MSM was not truthful when they said Romney/Ryan were surrendering WI, MI and PA to 0bama?????
Shut the front door!
So is CT darn it... aren’t there enough contributions from people in our state to warrant the fight? It makes me mad, come get us too, we are ready to be red state but completely ignored. Can’t win without a fight darn it!!!
Good luck with Michigan. We have a spineless governor who early on handed the goonions an issue they can/will run on in ‘12 and ‘14 when he instituted taxes on pension income. All of the NOT Taxed Enough Already Party non-conservative Snyder sycophants celebrated the move in the true spirit of getevenwithemism. Maobama handed big labor two car companies who’s original home is Michigan, the home of those noble “workers” of the UAW which also controls a huge portion of State of Michigan “workers”, but it is an industrial goonion fighting for the little guy don’t you know. Snyder has avoided taking on any of the State public employee “workers” exorbitant wages and pension benefits in any meaningful way. And, we have Pete Hoaxtra taking on she’s hardly li’l Debbie Stabemall who will probably clean his moderate clock. So yeah, I understand if the Romney camp is reluctant to engage here in any meaningful financial manner.
I’m in NJ and I don’t know anyone voting for Obama.
Oh, and I forgot to mention. There are no yard signs for Obama, and I don’t see any car stickers either. There are some flaming liberals that we know who believe there will be a landslide for Romney.
Is this a bellwether? Maybe, just maybe.
I very rarely use Facebook but had to to find someone and when logging onto it I saw an ad thing for “I won’t vote for Obama in 2012” and there was my brother’s name. I clicked to his page and low and behold, the only political like was for Allen West. I was absolutely floored.
You see, my brother is a shop steward (I think) at the GE jet engine factory in Ohio. One of our biggest disagreements is over unions and we haven’t spoken to each other in years. He fell ill and was even more ill (figuratively) because he could not go to the big union meeting that was held in DC within the last year.
For over 30 years he has been a lockstep, pro strike union mobilizer and leader at his place of employment and has also been sent to major union deals as a rep. Surely I will see pigs flying in formation as I head out to west Florida today.
Last I saw, Romney was down 4-5 in CT, which Zero won by 20+ last time.
You mean Hoekstra who was ahead in the last poll saw? That Hoekstra?
Why, it was just the other day that all the FR Chicken Littles were proclaiming the truth in MSM reporting the sky is falling and R&R had thrown in the towel.
Maybe now some will see that MSM is more than happy to assist dems in propaganda.
Its been said before and well worth remembering that politics on this grand a scale is Chess not Checkers.
I voted for Clark Durant in the primary but Pete Hoekstra is a very acceptable compromise candidate for me.
Wisconsin will go with Romney-Ryan if we control voter fraud.
The Democrats killed 10,000 union jobs for a mine in Northern WI.
Gov Walker has proved that fiscal conservatism works and the public is behind him. The unions and the democrats took him on and lost big (and spent too much money)and Obama didn’t back them. There is a lot of resentment against Obama and the democrats.
Paul Ryan is well liked in Wisconsin and will help carry the state.
You must be talking about Richard Trumka, head of the AFL-CIO, previously the President of the UMW.
Judas Iscariot had higher principles.
-——Unions are more about political ideology -——
The primary purpose of a union is as a fund raising entity for the Democrat party. All other efforts are secondary
Unions are political organizations for political purposes
If Pennsylvania is within striking distance, I don’t see how we can lose. Michigan would be essentially in the bag... just so long as the Musloids in Dearbornistan don’t flock to the polls. Election day couldn’t come soon enough. I can’t wait to see Barry and Moosechelle on the bus back to Chicago.
Yup. That's exactly right. And another factor is that he's losing the rich white Philadelphia suburban voter (where I live). The economy's in the toilet and Romney is pro-abortion and pro-gay enough for the female limo libs to cast their vote for Romney or at the very least stay home. I predict Romney/Ryan in at least 3 of the 5 Philadelhphia area counties - obviously Obama will take Philadelhphia itself, and R/R will take Chester, but the other 3 counties are in play and my impression is they are leaning Romney.
One thing I noticed last election was just about every single car driven by an African American had an Obama bumper sticker, but especially the Mercedes and Lexuses. This time around, no bumper stickers and I have in my head those same cars and families in Chick-Fil-A during all the hubbub. I would not be surprised if wealthy AA families vote Romney this time, because while Romney's not the best in the gay rights area, the Dems are clearly pro-gay. Blacks going for Romney seems unimaginable to me, but it was so shocking to see the huge African American support for Chick-Fil-A that it really stuck with me.
I live in Connecticut and My sister was a Delegate at the Freak show in Charlotte,You can Forget Connecticut,there are about 2 Republicans here,the Liberal Guilt virus is in the water supply,I buy bottled water.
WI will be the last one they give up on, strong conservative momentum now.
1) Our new Voter ID law IS going to have an impact. No one with any sense assumes it will completely stop the fraud/theft, but barring wholesale (criminal) non-compliance at the polls, it should negate several tens of thousands of bogus ballots.
2) PA's nascent energy boom, having brought much good employment/wages to rural areas that previously offered few opportunities, and with more hiring to follow, is under threat of attack by the marxist watermelons in particular, and Ø's anti-business regime generally. Folks who've finally found some work that pays worth a damn, knowing the Dhimms will try to take it away from them, should be turning out in droves with their votes to see that that doesn't happen.
3) Gas prices are once again within spitting distance of $4/gal as a result of Ø's deliberate Luddite attack on our energy industries. Not only are peoples' wallets being raped when filling their vehicles, the winter heating season will soon be ushering in concomitantly absurd bills for heating oil and electrity. Coupled with grocery prices spiraling ever upward as a result of artificially usurious energy costs, folks bringing in less than $100k/yr are being slowly strangled, while those trying to make do with less are effectively being written off. Political maxim #1 = it's the ECONOMY !
4) Though things have yet to reach quite the levels of anarchy currently present in Chicago, American citizens in PA's urban areas are doubtless feeling the fear and outrage caused by Ø's tacitly condoning the untouchable entitlement attitudes and general lawlessness of feral urban barbarians, overwhelmingly of the black variety. In the part of their minds that hold those things that are thought about as rarely as possible, most rational people know that there's very likely a big storm coming, and that there's no way the cops will be able to deal with it. They also know that, while things weren't rosy, the situation four years ago seemed much less dire. Average moms and dads don't like to be made to think those thoughts and feel those fears in a state that used to be a reasonably safe place to raise their kids. And in that same seldom-visited mind corner lurks the dark realization that, given the enormous disparity in numbers between city cops and bangers, if widespread urban violence/rioting breaks out following this election, it will almost necessarily have to be met with massive and deadly citizen resistance - which means THEM - if their families and property are to be protected.
Given all the above, and with a moderate PR drive by the R/R team to crystallize what's at stake, Pennsylvania should deliver 20 EVs to the saner side of the equation this year.
Finally.
Good summary, and except for the voter ID law, most apply to all states. R&R need to ignore the BS and “flukes” and focus like a laser on THE ECONOMY. Their strength, Obama’s biggest weakness.
Wisconsin is very winnable. Michigan and Pennsylvania not so much. Better to concentrate on Virginia.
Bump to Ms. Rubin for having the wherewithal to check this out and not just blindly accept the nobama lies.
Probably, but Obama pissed off the unions in a special way here. First with the Keystone pipeline and then the shale drilling. And all that anti-coal stuff throughout his presidency. And the disgust has bled over to the union construction guys in Philly and Pittsburgh.
The problem with your thinking, tomkat, is that you assume the people of PA understand the points you are making. They clearly may not.
Harry C. Alford, president and CEO of the National Black Chamber of Commerce, which represents nearly two million black businessmen in the United States, said the following:
"When Obama became president we were all happy about the symbolism - America's first black president. We really didn't care about his position and views on anything. We just wanted a black president no matter what. We should have been more careful, as his views on small business, especially black business, are counter to ours. His view of business is that it should be a few major corporations which are totally unionized and working with the government, which should also be massive and reaching every level of American society. Thus his first Executive Order was the reinstatement of Project Labor Agreements in government contracting. PLAs give labor unions an exclusive option in construction jobs - all participating firms must use union labor or, at least, pay union wages and abide by union rules. This activity, in effect, discriminates against blacks, Hispanics, and women per se, as trade unions deliberately under employ them. President George W. Bush eliminated PLAs from federal contracting and his main reason was 'unions discriminate against small business, women and minorities.' So here we were with the first black president who deliberately discriminates against small business, women and minorities. How ironic!"
Note: above quote from interview of Harry C. Alford with journalist Edward Klein
I’m in NJ and I don’t know anyone voting for Obama.
_____________________________________________________________
Then you apparently don’t hang out with Marxists, Welfare leeches, gays, lesbians, baby-killers, child molesters, people with the IQ of a chair and Union thugs.
Given the factors I listed, PA should be an uber important bellwether for the rest of the country as to whether there's reasonable hope for states teetering on the ideological precipice.
Regardless, if the urbanimals try bringing their 'entitled to your stuff' jive out here to the country, I pray there's enough collective backbone left to slaughter the barbarian bastards.
As to those who've found work in the oil/gas boom, they're being hyper-exposed daily to the veterans in the business re the reality that Ø & watermelons are mortal enemies of our nation's energy independence.
Having spent a little time therein, out west, in my youth, I know for a fact that guys in the oil patch ain't shy ;-)
But if, after all that, they'd still vote against the nation's and their own best interests, what kinda hope is there for us in the long run anyway . . . ?
LOLOLOL no I don’t!!!
They need to attack to the point where Obama and his superpacs must defend and spend money that they should be spending in VA and Ohio on what was once thought of as a safe state.
This is what we call “strategery”..
Good 4 U.
Wisconsin will go with Romney-Ryan if we control voter fraud.
The Democrats killed 10,000 union jobs for a mine in Northern WI.
Gov Walker has proved that fiscal conservatism works and the public is behind him. The unions and the democrats took him on and lost big (and spent too much money)and Obama didn’t back them. There is a lot of resentment against Obama and the democrats.
Paul Ryan is well liked in Wisconsin and will help carry the state.
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