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Obama's White Support Is Too Low to Win
Real Clear Politics ^ | June 22, 2012 | David Paul Kuhn

Posted on 06/22/2012 7:40:50 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot

President Obama does not currently have enough white support to win re-election even if he retains his minority base from 2008. At the same time, electoral data indicates Mitt Romney has not yet attracted enough of these white voters to capitalize on Obama's weakness.

Pundits often note that Romney cannot win with his current level of Hispanic support. That's likely true. But so is the converse: Obama cannot win with his level of white support unless white swing voters withhold their votes from Romney as well.

Today, fewer whites back Obama than any Democratic candidate since Walter Mondale. Romney does not need to emulate Ronald Reagan to win. Should he match Reagan’s share of the white vote in 1984 -- presuming all else remains constant since 2008 -- Romney would rout Obama.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012election; election2012; kenyanbornmuzzie; mittromney; obama; polls; romney
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Rasmussen today:

"The president picks up support from just 35% of white voters overall. That’s eight points below the 43% of the white vote he won in 2008. Among white Democrats, 17% currently plan to vote for Romney."

Gallup June 12:

"Similarly, whites' support for Obama is six points lower than it was in October/November 2008 (38% vs. 44%), and blacks' is down four points (87% vs. 91%). At the same time, Hispanics' support, at 67%, is essentially unchanged."

1 posted on 06/22/2012 7:40:59 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Here comes the Racism card.


2 posted on 06/22/2012 7:43:42 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Solution: neither wins and the country does.


3 posted on 06/22/2012 7:48:09 AM PDT by bolobaby
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To: Palmetto Patriot
BOB 1
4 posted on 06/22/2012 7:49:30 AM PDT by baddog 219
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Over 40% of all voters in America believe in this man and his plan for America.
They are your neighbors, your co-workers, many of your local officials, the people you pay to teach your children and the people you pay to entertain you.

5 posted on 06/22/2012 7:51:23 AM PDT by Baynative (REMEMBER: Without America there is no free world!)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
Here comes the Racism card.

"...blacks'(support for Obama) is down four points (87% vs. 91%)."

Must be masquerading as White Racists.

6 posted on 06/22/2012 7:53:11 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (How much better off would we be if these bastards would just leave us alone?)
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To: bolobaby
LOL! Like that's going to happen.

But you've got to wonder who makes up this stuff, don't you?

If BO can't win without more white support and Romney can't win without more Hispanic support, then who does that leave? Virgil Goode?

7 posted on 06/22/2012 7:53:19 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

“Here comes the Racism card.”

And then when that doesn’t work...here comes the Hildebeast to save the Socialist/Democratic Party.

Bet on it.


8 posted on 06/22/2012 7:53:19 AM PDT by panaxanax (Voting 'Third Party' will ensure a Communist-Marxist-Socialist dominated Supreme Court!)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
Here comes the Racism card.

No...I believe this is the 'White Guilt' card...found right next to the 'Racism' card in the official deck...

9 posted on 06/22/2012 7:53:36 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Please note the democrat party would be nothing without minority votes. This is why the fortune of America was taken for minorities, and why the country is being changed demographically into a “minority” country by democrats.

This is political reality meanwhile the white population has meekly accepted this racial manipulation.


10 posted on 06/22/2012 7:53:51 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

I’d be beside myself with joy if they both lost.


11 posted on 06/22/2012 7:54:39 AM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: panaxanax

I really don’t see that happening unless ‘bammers has to resign a la Nixon over this gunrunning thing.


12 posted on 06/22/2012 7:54:50 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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To: Baynative

I hope we see your outstanding post everywhere over the next few months...


13 posted on 06/22/2012 7:55:26 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

Here comes the Racism card.

and if the white vote falls for it , Obama will be calling them super stupid


14 posted on 06/22/2012 7:56:12 AM PDT by molson209
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Seems to me the article’s claim that neither candidate can win has to be incorrect. If the election were held today one of them would win.


15 posted on 06/22/2012 7:56:22 AM PDT by Williams (No Obama)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
Here comes the Racism card.

In 2008, Obama got a higher percentage of the white vote than any Democrat presidential candidate had received since LBJ.

But clearly, any white that votes against Obama is a racist. It could not possibly be because he is a socialist Castro/Chavez wannabe.

16 posted on 06/22/2012 7:56:43 AM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
Whites helped elect the First Halfrican-American President purely on emotions!

Seems their guilt trip is over!

17 posted on 06/22/2012 7:57:18 AM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: Palmetto Patriot
The polls are useful. They let Obama know how many votes have to be manufactured to win.

I wonder who was the first candidate to win a Presidential election despite getting a smaller number of votes from white voters than his opponent. Maybe Truman in 1948. Probably true of Kennedy in 1960, Carter in 1976, Clinton in 1992 and 1996, and Obama.

18 posted on 06/22/2012 7:57:35 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Apart from losing the white vote, that Obama has so deservedly lost, the minority voters who sat out last time, not wanting to vote against the first black president, will not sit out this time, not if they want to save their country.


19 posted on 06/22/2012 7:57:41 AM PDT by pallis
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To: Palmetto Patriot
"Similarly, whites' support for Obama is six points lower than it was in October/November 2008 (38% vs. 44%), and blacks' is down four points (87% vs. 91%). At the same time, Hispanics' support, at 67%, is essentially unchanged."

If Obama's support among black voters is below 90%, he cannot win. And since that implies that voter turnout among blacks would be below 90%, the Democrats are facing a bloodbath in the down-ticket races nationwide.

20 posted on 06/22/2012 7:59:35 AM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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