Posted on 05/31/2012 11:19:42 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Not just in Ohio, Rasmussen states, but also in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia. In case you haven’t been keeping score, those are four states that Barack Obama won in 2008, and which Mitt Romney must take away to have a shot at the Presidency in November. According to the latest from Rasmussen, Romney’s on his way. After just one month of focusing all his efforts on Obama, Romney now has leads in all four swing states:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney with 46% of the vote to President Obama’s 45%. …
Romney has inched ahead of Obama in Ohio, taking the lead in the key battleground state after the president has led there for several months. This also marks a continuing shift in the critical Core Four states – Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia – with the Republican now leading in all four for the first time in Rasmussen Reports polling this year.
Only the Ohio numbers are fresh, actually, but they are critical. “Inched” is probably a good description for Ohio; Romney leads only by two, 46/44. The low level of support for Obama as an incumbent with Romney only now winning the GOP nomination is probably the bigger story. Rasmussen has a D/R/I sample in this survey of 34/31/35, which is much better for Democrats than the 36/37/28 that turned out in the 2010 midterms. If anything, this poll might undersample Republicans. Romney leads Obama among independents by a wide margin, 47/35, a disastrous outcome for Obama in Ohio. The gender gap actually tilts slightly in Romney’s favor, with a 51/39 lead among men and a 41/48 deficit among women. Romney wins majorities among the two older age demos, while losing younger voters by 21 points, 32/53. Obama loses or ties in all income demographics except the under-$20K demo, winning that 57/31.
Some of the questions on this survey produce rather amusing results. For instance, 55% of respondents say they’re choosing between the lesser of two evils rather than out of enthusiasm for Romney or Obama, with the majority of Democrats enthused and two-thirds of Republicans and independents resigned to their vote.
Two-thirds say that the process has not produced the best possible candidates, with that judgment more or less consistent across partisan lines. Among more traditional measures, Romney leads on the economy by nine points, and that will undoubtedly worsen if the jobs numbers slide tomorrow and the next couple of months, as it looks like they might. His favorability is low at 48/50, but Obama’s job approval is worse at 46/54. Among independents, it’s an absolutely horrid 35/65, with 45% of independents strongly disapproving of Obama’s performance.
Losing a grip on Ohio in and of itself isn’t a campaign-ender for Obama. The problem will be whether that trend spills over into Pennsylvania and Virginia, as well as Wisconsin. If Obama loses those states as well as Florida and Virginia, the election will be over before the Central Time Zone states close their polls on Election Day.
He can't afford to allow the election to take place.
Newt was amazing this morning on Morning Joe. With Van Jones sitting right there, he trashed Obama and lionized Romney. He was smart, funny and devastating.
The fact that Obama cannot get above 50 percent in ANY of these polls means for now, he’s done
I hope there’s video - I’d love to see that!
Lots of Jobs and most of our electrical Power are based on Coal.
However the Democrats made huge inroads with the fallout from Gov. Taft. He really screwed the GOP hard in Ohio and we are still feeling the effects.
Kasich is doing a very good job in Ohio but it is still gonna take years to undo the damage of the Taft Admin.!
I’m sure its up on their web site.
0bama needs to start yellin louder and continya usin Biden.
Oh......it hurts to be right just about all the time!!! Yep, the “Solid South” for Romney. Bank on it. Ohio in Romney’s pocket. There’s more to come, folks. Watch that re-call in Wisconsin!!! If Scott Walker squeaks out a victory, Obama is trouble. If Scott Walker wipes Barrett off the face of the earth, politcally, Obama is toast in Wisconsin. My crystal ball tells me Obama will be lucky to win eight to tweleve states in November. The Democrats will lose both the House and Senate. I have told Democrats to dump Obama, but......ain’t gonna happen. Now Dems go down with the worst POTUS in the history of the USA. And....ladies and gentelmen there are more dummies out there. Guess who!!! Not hard to figure out.
Obama has made a lot of appearances in Ohio, becuz he knows the place is important for him to win.
And even with that, he is struggling and falling back.
Economic news this week not good for dems, either.
Romney will win, FL, OH, NC and VA.. was a little worried about VA with the DC contingent, but feel confident. He’ll also take IN and WI. Very likely PA and MI as well.
Obama will not get above 42-43% of the popular vote at best. The rust belt is LOST ot the dems this election cycle and likely for the next 2 or more thanks the the unrepentant socialists that have taken the democratic party to ruin.
No luck in searching for video.
If anyone finds a link to Newt v Van-the-Commie, please link.
Thanks, y’all!
If so, please make sure to remove any sharp objects, his belt, shoe laces or any type of substance which could be ingested which would cause his assuming room temp, from his environs.
Hey "D" why not have a nice big glass of Kool Aid and accept a "fait accompli"? lol
The Mullahs will really begin to panic when Romney goes over 50% in the national polls consistently, and Obama is stuck in the low 40’s. That implies an EV win of 380-150 range...
Courtesy ping to Dio...
It’s considered poor form to mention a FReeper by name and not ping them, especially if you’re engaged in mocking them.
>> was a little worried about VA with the DC contingent <<
You shouldn’t have been worried, at least not after McDonnell carried Fairfax County in the 2009 gubernatorial race. I’ve been of the opinion that VA was in the bag for the GOP ever since.
Boooo!
That’s true.
Polling is coming out of there now showing its not really a worry.
The only question is really how many states will Obama lose.
There is no doubt in my mind at this point, that WI, IN, IA, OH, NC, FL and VA are gone for Obama. PA I feel fairly comfortable will go red, and gut tells me MI will to.
Pelosi, Reid and Obama slammed the door on Blue Dog democrats, there is no such thing left.. and they by and large have realized it. The democratic brand is dead for at least 2 - 3 national elections.
I don’t know what the polls will show throughout the campaign, but I do feel very comfortable that Obama will end election night no higher than the low 40s. Basically there is no such thing as a UNDECIDED voter when an incumbent is running... an undecided voter in an incumbent high profile national race is someone who basically is going to vote against the incumbent and will break nearly 100% for the oponent.
I really think if this goes down like I think its going to, with Obama crushed in the polls and acting more and more desperate and petty with every passing day, you are looking at him ending below 40%, potentially WELL BELOW 40%. 60 seats minimal in the Senate (which I think is possible either way, remember, many dem Senators who voted for the health care law have NOT faced the voters since that vote yet) and many more seat pick ups in the house.
If it goes down liek that, January 2013, first day, better be the proposal and passage of the immediate repeal of the health care act. As well as an executive order suspending every executive order signed by Obama pending review. Firing of ever single CZAR.. immediate investigations into Fast and Furious, etc etc.
I know that won’t happen, but can dream.
I don't think he will win eight.
I sincerely hope I’m dead wrong and you, friend are dead right!!! Obama is a disgrace to America, to its people, to the entire world and the POTUS position. Americans that voted for ths incompetent, anti-American should be eternally ashamed of themselves!!!
I know that won’t happen, but can dream.
You never know. Sean Hannity yesterday said he heard a rumor that Mark Levin is on the potential VP list.
likely the supremes will put the first stake in obamacare. romeny has already said his first act would be to repeal it. as well likely frank dodd will be repealed. and all the czars will be fired and their offices shut down. the stuff that is most insidious are not just the executive orders but the thousands and thousands of obama radical appointments that have been placed in the federal bureaucracy. plus the zillions of new regulations apart from obamacare and dodd frank. that’s the stuff that will come out only slowly if at all.
WAH! Obama just needs to get his message out to people!
But the people were all disguised as empty seats at OSU!
Axelrod, Jarrette, Moochelle and Dean,
the folks have to know Obama is keen,
If they don't, it's cause everyone knows,
Obama's economy really blows!
Levin has some health issues, but as a domestic policy adviser. Oh sweet Machiavelli! I love that idea. How will Holder look in that orange jumpsuit at Leavenworth...
“The fact that Obama cannot get above 50 percent in ANY of these polls means for now, he’s done.”
While I appreciate the sentiment, it’s a long time before the election. It’s great Zero is polling so poorly but a lot can change.
More racist states.
Are you referring to the Freeper of that name? If so, you ought to ping them to your comment. Just standard courtesy.
Add Indiana (which Zero has zero chance of carrying this time, and with these 4 states, Romney wins.
Add New Hampshire for a little insurance. True, only 4 electoral votes but based on the 2010 mid-terms, NH is now solidly a red state.
Let me throw in my current state, Colorado, into the Romney bag. At this point, Obama is looking at a 2-4 pt loss in Colorado. Of course, there are always “events” that can change everything. Obama won by 7% in 2008 in CO, but the air has really gone out of the tires, MANY Obama voters have told me they will either vote Romney or not vote at all. I have yet to meet someone going the other way
I hope you’re right about that. The last time the Dems did not have a hard core lefty running in Virginia and Deeds may have been to the right of BM on guns. But that is encouraging and will spell a loss for Obama.
Glad to hear, I tend not to speculate on western states, particular CO since so many left coasters have relocated there and skewed that state from traditional voting trends.
Glad to hear our first hand account, it pretty much is in line with everything else that is going on.
Obviously yes, anything could change, there is always an outside “EVENT” possibility, but even that I have a hard time seeing something like that that’s going to swing folks Obama way. Lets face it terrorist attack won’t swing folks his way, this is the guy who wanted civilian trials and to shut down gitmo, etc etc. I really think this is a guy without an island and the closer it gets to NOV the worse its going to be for him.
Glad to hear, I tend not to speculate on western states, particular CO since so many left coasters have relocated there and skewed that state from traditional voting trends.
Glad to hear our first hand account, it pretty much is in line with everything else that is going on.
Obviously yes, anything could change, there is always an outside “EVENT” possibility, but even that I have a hard time seeing something like that that’s going to swing folks Obama way. Lets face it terrorist attack won’t swing folks his way, this is the guy who wanted civilian trials and to shut down gitmo, etc etc. I really think this is a guy without an island and the closer it gets to NOV the worse its going to be for him.
Agreed!
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