"Why in hell can't I get them to buy socialism...?" "Why in hell can't I get them to buy socialism...?"America’s first Gay President, and perhaps the last.
I believe Goode is originally from NC. Perhaps he'll eat into some of the Romney vote in NC and perhaps the worse president in US history will squeak out a victory again in NC.
Same senario goes for VA.
“Election 2012: North Carolina President North Carolina: Romney 51%, Obama 43%”
To me, these numbers indicate a tight race. This is gonna be a close one.
Whoa, you say, Romney has an 8-point lead, how can that be close?
This is -North Carolina-, these days a “red state” (yes, I remember the Solid South of 50 years ago). The fact that Romney has only 51%, a bare majority, shows that his support is tepid, at best.
And, conversely, look at “Obama’s base” — right around 43%. There is a “committed core” of at least 40-45% who are not going to abandon “the one” for any reason. And again, these numbers should be viewed in the context that NC is a relatively “conservative” state.
Things could change between now and the conventions and the election, but I believe the numbers we’re seeing today probably aren’t that far off from how the final tally (i.e., the “popular vote”, nationwide) is going to rack up.
That is to say:
- Romney will will the national popular vote, but by a relatively small margin, say, 51-54%
- The numbers will be heavily skewed in both the blue states (big turnout for Obama) and the red states (similar turnout for Romney).
- The election will hinge on about 7 or 8 battlegrounds. I predict that Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, and little New Hampshire may become “the keys” (and Romney will need these four to win).
- The electoral college vote may be the closest in history.
Of course, I would like to see a blowout. But I don’t believe that’s gonna happen. We now live in a “divided nation”, and the two factions are growing apart, not closer....
