Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Krugman's bad predictions
Fox News ^ | April 12, 2012 | John Lott

Posted on 04/13/2012 6:09:36 AM PDT by richardb72

Few prominent economists have a worse record predicting the impact of Obama’s economic policies than Paul Krugman. Writing for the New York Times and touting his close “genuine contact” with the “smart” economists and others in the Obama administration and the Democratic congressional leadership, Krugman has been, and remains, Obama’s most important champion. Not only has he been defending Obama’s Keynesian-type deficit-spending, but he has been advocating still more of these same failed policies.

The economy just can’t gain ground. Thirty-four months since the "recovery" started in June 2009 and the actual number of jobs have increased by just 0.4%. Hardly making up for the 5.5 percent drop in jobs from the peak. Given Krugman’s continued prominence in supporting Obama during the coming election, the best way of evaluating the advice is going to give voters is to see how accurate his claims have been up to this point.

It is important to realize just how terrible Krugman’s record has been. He predicted on CNBC: “I am still guessing that we will peak out at around 9 percent [unemployment] and that would be late this year.” He assured listeners that double-digit unemployment was “not the most likely event” and “Actually, we are already seeing some positive effects [from the Stimulus].” . . .

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economy; johnlott; mediabias; nytimes; obama; paulkrugman; stimulus; unemployment
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-33 last
To: richardb72

News Bulletin!

NASA has just announced that space aliens are planning to attack and we need a massive buildup to counter the space alien threat!

‘Economist’ Paul Krugman and president obama overjoyed at the news.


21 posted on 04/13/2012 7:25:32 AM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Dick Obama is more inexperienced now than he was before he was elected.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: richardb72
The reason(s) why Jughead can continue to get everything wrong in support of the Obama regime is because he is never held up and made responsible for his failed record and policies. Remember, liberal failure is never a failure per se, it is the unrealistic intent that is held up, not the realistic failed results!

Jughead the old media has lost what credibility they had over the Treyvon lies and race baiting!

Never again!

22 posted on 04/13/2012 7:31:41 AM PDT by paratrooper82 (We are kicking Ass in Afghanistan, soon we will be home to kick some more Asses in Congress!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hawthorn

“The Economics Prize has been handed out almost always on the basis of solid scientific work (Arthur Lewis was the only glaring exception I can remember)”

Although Arthur Lewis was a Social Democrat, he did very solid work in economic development for which he was rightly awarded the Nobel Prize (IMO).


23 posted on 04/13/2012 12:13:14 PM PDT by riverdawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: riverdawg

>> Although Arthur Lewis was a Social Democrat, he did very solid work in economic development for which he was rightly awarded the Nobel Prize (IMO). <<

I must respectfully disagree. I was truly appalled when the Nobel Committee split the 1979 economics prize between Ted Schultz and Sir Arthur, and my opinion has never since wavered. The two men’s basic outlooks on economic development were virtually 180° out of phase with one another, and I viewed it as an insult to Schultz that the Committee paired him with Lewis.

To make a long story short, by 1979 Schultz’s analytical framework on the productivity of peasant agriculture had been verified time and again by empirical work, while Sir Arthur’s belief in a “zero marginal product” in agriculture had already failed the empirical test and was being rejected by one competent development economist after another. Today, Lewis’ theory is all but forgotten, while Schultz’s contributions live on — not only his work on the economics of agriculture, but even more importantly on the economics of human capital.

If I wanted to be kind to Lewis, I guess I’d say that he was perhaps the first economist in the post-WW2 era to articulate a logically coherent, systematic and “holistic” theory of economic development for third-world countries. Hurrah! But the trouble is, his beautiful theory simply didn’t measure up to facts on the ground, and it led to bad policies in many countries.

Schultz, on the other hand, changed the way most development economists view peasant agriculture and pioneered the kind of thinking that supported the Green Revolution. And more or less at the same time, he and his acolytes (both colleagues and students) at the University of Chicago created a new discipline, the economics of human capital.


24 posted on 04/13/2012 2:10:11 PM PDT by Hawthorn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: richardb72
We are coming perilously close to Carter's stagflation at the end of the seventies, an economic dead end which required Paul Volker's major surgery to remedy.

Obama is flirting with disaster, politically, unless he is willing to bend his stiff-necked ideology to the demands of reality. However there is no strong reason to believe he will do so.

25 posted on 04/13/2012 5:22:25 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever
You summary of Krugman's claim to fame is a good illustration of the definition of an expert: Someone who knows more and more about less and less. Stephen "paint the roofs and highways white" Chu is another classic.
26 posted on 04/13/2012 5:25:05 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Reily
Could start with Milton Friedman?
27 posted on 04/13/2012 5:26:37 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Reily
Could start with Milton Friedman?
28 posted on 04/13/2012 5:26:37 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Hawthorn
You could add Le Duc Tho, who at least had the integrity to refuse it, since he was about to unleash genocidal hell on South Vietnam. And didn't Menchu win it for literature, with her phoney baloney diary?
29 posted on 04/13/2012 5:31:17 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: hinckley buzzard

>> didn’t Menchu win it for literature, with her phoney baloney diary? <<

You’ve got it. The Committee’s original decision to award her the prize was bad enough in the first place — although I suppose it was understandable if you look at such matters with a leftwing perspective.

But what was most deeply disgraceful, and not understandable even if you can imagine yourself as a full-blown Democratic Socialist, was the Committee’s failure to revoke the prize once Rigoberta’s “literary” fraud had been fully exposed.

But then we’re talking about Norway, a quaint and charming country with plenty of delightful people — and where Democratic Socialist ideology still is able to survive and even to thrive thanks to the nation’s virtually unlimited supplies of offshore petroleum and natural gas.

(Moreover, at least a few things about Norway are worth emulating. For example, it’s among only three countries in the whole world where you can walk into a restaurant and LEGALLY eat whale-meat steak. Needless to say, this situation drives the neighboring Swedish and Danish enviros crazy, and it’s one of several factors that keeps Norway out of the EU.)


30 posted on 04/14/2012 7:09:43 AM PDT by Hawthorn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

Thanks DJ MacWoW for posting this:

More politically incorrect Halloween costumes | Posted on 10/28/2011 5:01:04 PM PDT by Keltik | 12 posted on 10/28/2011 5:47:30 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW

31 posted on 04/15/2012 8:00:12 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]


32 posted on 04/15/2012 8:00:21 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks richardb72.


33 posted on 04/15/2012 8:00:58 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-33 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson