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Wild cards could swing presidential race - Outcome of 2012 election becoming tougher to predict
NBC, CNN, MSNBC: Click on Detroit - Channel 4 ^ | Februrary 20, 2012 | Julian Zelizer

Posted on 02/20/2012 7:15:25 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

PRINCETON,NewJersey(CNN) - The outcome of the election of 2012 is becoming even tougher to predict, since there are many political landmines facing both parties.

President BarackObama has enjoyed a resurgence in his political standing, with polls showing him ahead of the GOP rivals in hypothetical matchups for the general election. Recent statistics showing an improving economy have bolstered the president's position, while his budget proposal and increasingly populist rhetoric have generated some excitement within the base of the Democratic Party.

On the Republican side, MittRomney remains the front-runner, though barely, still enjoying the kind of edge in campaign contributions that is essential to victory.

Yet both candidates, and both parties, are confronting threats that could cause huge swings in the outcome of the election.

The Democratic challenges come from outside the party.

For Obama, the biggest threat is Europe...

[Big SNIP]

Romney, once seen as the most electable Republican, has seen his image transformed into a flip-flopping, liberal, vulture capitalist who might not even win in his own home state of Michigan.

The outcome of South Carolina and Minnesota contradicted the claim that he is the candidate who inevitably wins. He didn't. Santorum and Gingrich have effectively painted Romney as the "establishment Republican" despite the fact that they have been central to the party's leadership since the1990s.

Given the current delegate count, and possible victories by Gingrich in Ohio and Santorum in Michigan, Republicans could be looking at a messy convention where these battles and tensions play out just before the fall campaign. The Republicans could face the kind of raucous convention that Democrats suffered through in 1968 when internal divisions brought down the party and gave Richard Nixon a commanding edge in the general election.

The situation is so unstable that the notion of a new candidate such as...........

(Excerpt) Read more at clickondetroit.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: campaigns; gopprimary; msm; politics

1 posted on 02/20/2012 7:15:35 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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2 posted on 02/20/2012 7:19:32 AM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

the “wild card” in this case will be a joker.

Five dollar gas landing in King Barry’s lap after he has
single-handedly killed drilling in the Gulf and the Keystone Pipeline.

His next singing performance will have to be “Nowhere to Run To, Nowhere to Hide...”


3 posted on 02/20/2012 7:21:17 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
For Obama, the biggest threat is Europe...

Yeah, that Iranian nuclear thingy is just a side issue.......

4 posted on 02/20/2012 7:22:35 AM PST by Red Badger (If you are unemployed long enough, you are no longer unemployed.)
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To: Red Badger
Yeah, that Iranian nuclear thingy is just a side issue.......

They do mention that in the article as well as the SC decision on health care.

5 posted on 02/20/2012 7:24:37 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Gas prices and the Keystone Pipeline — U.S. energy independence — will be BIG.


6 posted on 02/20/2012 7:26:24 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The outcome of the election of 2012 is becoming even tougher to predict, since there are many......

....dead people that will be voting.

7 posted on 02/20/2012 7:30:42 AM PST by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: musicman

In 1968 Nixon did not have a commanding edge in the general election. It was a close election. However, the Dems nightmare in Chicago certainly did help Nixon win the White House.


8 posted on 02/20/2012 7:34:07 AM PST by Buckeye Battle Cry (Not Romney - Not ever!)
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To: Buckeye Battle Cry

Would looooove to see Palin throw her hat into the ring right about now...


9 posted on 02/20/2012 7:38:52 AM PST by snowrip (Liberal? You are a socialist idiot with no rational argument.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Any crisis will hurt obummer. He is incapable of making a decision and voting "present" on Iran or oil price issues will highlight this weakness.

Europe...not so much. We are just passengers on that train.

10 posted on 02/20/2012 7:39:57 AM PST by pfflier
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Five dollar gas landing in King Barry’s lap after he has single-handedly killed drilling in the Gulf and the Keystone Pipeline.

I expect gas will miraculously plummet in price sometime around September.

11 posted on 02/20/2012 7:40:28 AM PST by Drew68
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Texans know all about northeastern liberals like Willard.

Rick Santorum has a commanding lead in the Republican presidential race with 45%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 18%, Mitt Romney at 16% and Ron Paul at 14%.

-New University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll


12 posted on 02/20/2012 8:11:21 AM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: CainConservative

The Texas primary is tentatively scheduled for May 29.

Much will be happening during the next three months.

Delegates are going to be going to all the candidates.

At TT/UT poll is hardly something to hang your hopes on but understand why you do.


13 posted on 02/20/2012 8:20:06 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks Cincinatus’ Wife.


14 posted on 02/20/2012 8:26:03 AM PST by SunkenCiv (FReep this FReepathon!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

May 29 would be great!

But early June’s fine, too.


15 posted on 02/20/2012 8:31:44 AM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: snowrip

be still my beating heart. that would be a dream come true.


16 posted on 02/20/2012 8:52:54 AM PST by Jeff Vader
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Only thing that’s hard to predict is if ACORN can forge enough ballots.


17 posted on 02/20/2012 10:35:04 AM PST by Son House (The Economic Boom Heard Around The World => TEA Party 2012)
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