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Iowa: Romney 23%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 18% (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 12/15/2011 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 12/15/2011 5:54:32 AM PST by floridarunner01

For the fifth straight survey, the GOP field has a new frontrunner in Iowa.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; feminism; gingrich; homosexuality; iowa; iowacommies; newt; nothingnew; poll; rasmussen; romney; ronpaul
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1 posted on 12/15/2011 5:54:42 AM PST by floridarunner01
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To: floridarunner01

what?


2 posted on 12/15/2011 5:57:20 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: floridarunner01

It’s ridiculous that Paul has that following!


3 posted on 12/15/2011 5:57:55 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: floridarunner01

Whiskey, Tango, Foxtrot, Over?


4 posted on 12/15/2011 5:58:39 AM PST by SVTCobra03 (You can never have enough friends, horsepower or ammunition.)
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To: SVTCobra03

1/50


5 posted on 12/15/2011 6:00:21 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (Perry Christmas & Happy Newt Year!)
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To: Sacajaweau

He had it in 2008 and look where that got him. He’s getting ready to do a money bomb tomorrow as well.


6 posted on 12/15/2011 6:00:56 AM PST by af_vet_rr
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To: floridarunner01

Fox and Friends of Mitt have done their job!!!


7 posted on 12/15/2011 6:04:07 AM PST by sodpoodle ( Gingrich - flying solo - without congressional baggage!!!)
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To: floridarunner01

Gingrich didn’t lose his support, they just moved to the undecided column, and will return after considering the alternatives.

Romney is about where he has been all year, low 20’s


8 posted on 12/15/2011 6:04:19 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: floridarunner01

True to form, Romney holds steady at revolting 77% of the party.


9 posted on 12/15/2011 6:05:10 AM PST by Notwithstanding (1998 ACU ratings: Newt=100%, Paul=88%, Santorum=84% [the last year all were in Congress])
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Should put a smile on Karl Rove's face; Ann Coulter's; and Glenn Beck's! And all at RNC; of course.

OTOH. . .maybe Newt wants New Hampshire; more. (Historically, does not follow suit here; but one never knows; so would think most candidates simply, would want it all. )

Can only say; GO Newt!

10 posted on 12/15/2011 6:05:49 AM PST by cricket (/get the 'Occupier' out of our White House!/ and Newt 'in'. . .and it is NOT just the economy!)
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To: floridarunner01

Iowa picked GHW Bush over Reagan in 1980.. Dole over GHW Bush in 1988 and Huckabee in 2008.. kind of an irrelevant state in regards to picking the nominee


11 posted on 12/15/2011 6:05:58 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: floridarunner01

The fix is in...the media wants Romney so they are now tweaking numbers...they took out Bachman,Perry, and Cain. The only one left was Gingrich...I don’t know what they plan to do if Paul pulls in front...but I am sure they have a plan B.
Freegards
Lex


12 posted on 12/15/2011 6:06:04 AM PST by lexington minuteman 1775
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To: floridarunner01

I don’t put a lot of stock in these polls. Lots of people have dropped land lines. I think Iowa is wide open for all of the candidates.


13 posted on 12/15/2011 6:07:19 AM PST by jersey117 (.)
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To: floridarunner01; iowamark

Interesting to see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters” or if he has switched to just “likely voters” or “registered voters”

Also good to see the margin of error and if it’s a statistical tie.

Iowa, if it chooses Mitt Romney, has handed him the presidency, because Mitt will win or go 2nd in New Hampshire and the entire media world, Fox included, will proclaim Mitt the winner of the nomination...

and the sheeple will follow.


14 posted on 12/15/2011 6:07:19 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: Sacajaweau
Agree; can only say 'zany' and worse; from the 'horses mouth'. . .

If this keeps up; we will need a new Party ID. . .

15 posted on 12/15/2011 6:07:39 AM PST by cricket (/get the 'Occupier' out of our White House!/ and Newt 'in'. . .and it is NOT just the economy!)
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To: floridarunner01

Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways. I am an anybody but Mitt guy, and at this point, I’d be willing to throw my support behind Ron Paul if polls continue to show he has a chance (though I still hope Perry can get a 2nd chance).


16 posted on 12/15/2011 6:07:39 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: cricket

It’s not like the Democrats need to vote for Obama in their primary so shenanigans are definitely at play. Now we know who they fear as being the front runner.


17 posted on 12/15/2011 6:11:26 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (Perry Christmas & Happy Newt Year!)
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To: floridarunner01
Well according to Ann Coulter, Mitt Romney is the most conservative candidate in the Republican Primary...How she managed to make that claim and keep a straight face I'll never know, Team Romney must have sent her one heck of a big check...
18 posted on 12/15/2011 6:11:32 AM PST by apillar
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

I believe you are right. The fix is in. It will be Romney whether we like it or not.

But then we knew that. Last time it was McCain’s turn because he got all huffy when Bush beat him. He was basically on the rocks and “voila” all at once he rises to the top.

People must be getting paid.

The major pimp Romney push has been on FOX since the last debate to try and get us to accept Romney.

They know people don’t like him.


19 posted on 12/15/2011 6:12:46 AM PST by dforest
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

Plan b is that no one has voted yet, backmann and santorum are still there, vote for them, they are the two conservatives.


20 posted on 12/15/2011 6:15:56 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and his fellow supporters)
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To: floridarunner01

The debate tension kicks up another few notches.

It will be nice to see Paul under the microscope. Perhaps he will be asked about his newsletter’s description of Martin Luther King. Perhaps his newsletters will show him to be what he is: zany.


21 posted on 12/15/2011 6:16:36 AM PST by Notwithstanding (1998 ACU ratings: Newt=100%, Paul=88%, Santorum=84% [the last year all were in Congress])
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To: indylindy

Polls dont show Romney going up though. It shows Gingrich coming down but Romney cannot break past the low 20s no matter what anyone does.


22 posted on 12/15/2011 6:16:38 AM PST by floridarunner01
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To: Sacajaweau; All

Here’s the thing about Ron Paul in Iowa. His supporters WILL show up. That’s why he’s going to place in 1st or 2nd. It’s a shame but, that’s the way it is. His supporters, unlike the other people who respond to the polls, get off their a** and get the job done.


23 posted on 12/15/2011 6:18:30 AM PST by no dems (Why do you never see "Obama" bumper stickers on cars going to work in the morning?)
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To: sodpoodle

Does America really want Bishop Romney to be president?

Romney pretends that he was a pastor, but Mormons don’t have pastors, they have bishops. And Romney was a bishop, and among Mormons a bishop retains that title for life even after he relinquishes those duties.


24 posted on 12/15/2011 6:19:22 AM PST by Notwithstanding (1998 ACU ratings: Newt=100%, Paul=88%, Santorum=84% [the last year all were in Congress])
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To: floridarunner01

quote “Polls dont show Romney going up though. It shows Gingrich coming down but Romney cannot break past the low 20s no matter what anyone does.”

*ding ding ding* we have a winner!


25 posted on 12/15/2011 6:19:30 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

Your Post #11 makes a valid point.


26 posted on 12/15/2011 6:20:33 AM PST by no dems (Why do you never see "Obama" bumper stickers on cars going to work in the morning?)
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To: floridarunner01

Fox had Newt in the lead a few minutes ago.


27 posted on 12/15/2011 6:21:02 AM PST by hershey
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To: apillar

Ann Coulter has been showing for some time that she is more “Republican” than she is “Conservative”. She’s in love with the RINO, Chris Christie. I don’t even listen to her anymore.


28 posted on 12/15/2011 6:23:25 AM PST by no dems (Why do you never see "Obama" bumper stickers on cars going to work in the morning?)
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To: xzins
Interesting to see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters”

Of course he has.

Sheesh. One poll comes out with numbers some people don't like and they automatically blame the media for lying or the pollster for switching methods. Face it. Newt's numbers in Iowa have been collapsing for a week now.

He might still win it. Who knows? Rasmussen found that only 40% of the respondents were sure of their vote. For a bunch of people who claim not to give a damn about polls, everyone here sure gets upset over them.

29 posted on 12/15/2011 6:23:44 AM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: wolfman23601
Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways

Yep, it's 2008 all over again. With Conservatives currently splitting around 25% Newt, 10% Perry, 10% Bachmann, then there are the Paulbots that are a solid 15% or so. That means all Mitt has to do is hold onto around 25% of the party that are RINO's, add another 3%-5% for the democrat/independent crossover primary voters and he's McCain v2.0...

That's how a party that is 75% conservative nominated a "moderate" in 2008...

30 posted on 12/15/2011 6:24:47 AM PST by apillar
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To: hershey

OMG - Fox is replaying Mitt’s sound bytes over and over.

Romney sounds erratic and desperate - but they don’t get it.


31 posted on 12/15/2011 6:25:15 AM PST by sodpoodle ( Gingrich - flying solo - without congressional baggage!!!)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
The fix is in...the media wants Romney so they are now tweaking numbers...they took out Bachman,Perry, and Cain.

Well yes and no.

Yes, the media (and the Republican elite) want Romney. No, Rasmussen is not going to mislead us with his polling. If we can't trust Rasmussen polling then we are in real trouble.

Now with PPP you might have a good argument. But not Rasmussen.

32 posted on 12/15/2011 6:25:31 AM PST by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

“The fix is in...the media wants Romney so they are now tweaking numbers...they took out Bachman,Perry, and Cain.”

Since they took out Cain, I have no interest in any of this mess.

By the way, where is Herman Cain? Did he drop off the planet? We are concerned for his safety.

Waiting for them to present someone for whom I can vote.


33 posted on 12/15/2011 6:26:00 AM PST by Tomato lover (Jesus is the way, the truth and the light)
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To: indylindy; All

The fix is in. It will be Romney whether we like it or not.
______________________________________________________________
There’s no “fix”. Our guys, the Conservatives, are dividing the Conservative vote. And then, you have Ron Paul taking a share of the, what-would-be some Conservative votes. So, Romney wins with a plurality. Simple; no fix. It’s a shame that Conservatives can’t come together on one candidate. At least the Evangelicals of Iowa finally united on Michele Bachmann. Little good it will do, but at least they coalesced around one candidate. So, you’re right; we will end up with Mitt Romney as the GOP nominee for President. JUST DAMN!!!


34 posted on 12/15/2011 6:27:45 AM PST by no dems (Why do you never see "Obama" bumper stickers on cars going to work in the morning?)
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To: af_vet_rr
He’s getting ready to do a money bomb tomorrow as well.

Million more for brutal anti-Newt ads, which help Romney, but not Paul himself, it seems.

35 posted on 12/15/2011 6:28:13 AM PST by montag813
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To: no dems

Mitt will end up as the GOP nominee and Obama will get another 4 years.


36 posted on 12/15/2011 6:29:36 AM PST by LuvFreeRepublic
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To: xzins

Interesting to see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters” or if he has switched to just “likely voters” or “registered voters”


Per the Rassmussen site:

The survey of 750 Likely Iowa Republican Caucus Participants was conducted on December 13, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports.


37 posted on 12/15/2011 6:30:25 AM PST by deport
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To: xzins
see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters” or if he has switched to just “likely voters” or “registered voters”...

None of those. Rasmussen is now using the "Most Likely Agreeing With Scott" voters.

38 posted on 12/15/2011 6:31:11 AM PST by C210N (Dems: "We must tax you so that we can buy our votes")
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To: Tomato lover

“the media wants Romney...they took out Bachman,Perry, and Cain.”
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
I’ll agree that the media took out Cain and they are doing their best to take out Newt. But, let’s be fair: Michele’s mouth and mean-spirited attacks against everyone in the GOP field took her out. The fact that Perry is as dumb as a coal bucket took him out.


39 posted on 12/15/2011 6:33:13 AM PST by no dems (Why do you never see "Obama" bumper stickers on cars going to work in the morning?)
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To: wolfman23601
The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways.

That's not enough this year, because the GOP has adopted proportional delegates. Romney can't end this fast like the vile McCain did in 2008. This thing could remain a 4-way race through May. Perry and Paul have plenty of cash to stay. Unprecedented.

40 posted on 12/15/2011 6:33:26 AM PST by montag813
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

“Iowa picked GHW Bush over Reagan in 1980.. Dole over GHW Bush in 1988 and Huckabee in 2008.. kind of an irrelevant state in regards to picking the nominee”

the difference this time though is that Romney was not expected to win Iowa. If he pulls off a win no matter how close (or even comes in second) it will give him an advantage in some of the earlier states with the good press that follows. Particularly NH. That being said the race is still fluid and looking at the numbers even Ron Paul could pull off the upset here - only poll that counts is election day.


41 posted on 12/15/2011 6:33:37 AM PST by DM1
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To: Notwithstanding
True to form, Romney holds steady at revolting 77% of the party.

Don't they know he's a Harvard trained lawyer? Don't they admire the way he handles the media questions with slick evasive answers that display obvious and massive deception? Don't they want a man that knows how to loot a business by laying off Americans, importing H1Bs, and loading it up with so much debt it goes bankrupt? Don't they want a man in magic underwear that has lost so many elections in the past that his number must be coming up this time? I don't understand it.

42 posted on 12/15/2011 6:34:01 AM PST by Reeses (TV gives men a window into what women want, and it isn't pretty.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I have no horse in the race, but all this means is that Ras does not personally like Newt.

All the pollsters manufacture opinion, and everybody but me it seems, believes them


43 posted on 12/15/2011 6:34:54 AM PST by Friendofgeorge (SARAH PALIN 2012 OR FLIPPIN BUST)
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To: floridarunner01
Romney=Obama light
Newt=Top notch Press Secretary or policy maker. Self destructs too many times.
Cain=Great ideas but seems to have a groin problem
Perry=Smile no substance

Paul=Great ideas except for Foreign policy but way too old and would hand the election to the big BO.

Come on there has to be someone in a country of 350Million +/- that can beat a sitting president who hates the country, believes the founders were wrong, is attempting to accomplish the Cloward & Piven strategy in as few years as possible, is such a racist he deserves the title of exalted leader of the Klan With a Tan.

44 posted on 12/15/2011 6:35:30 AM PST by Wurlitzer (Welcome to the new USSA (United Socialist States of Amerika))
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To: wolfman23601

“Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). “

that is the one thing i cannot stand about this site. you state reality and you get demonized for it. some people are WAY too over emotional and turn a blind eye and a deaf ear since they cannot accept reality.


45 posted on 12/15/2011 6:35:48 AM PST by DM1
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To: deport

This is obviously a skewed poll. Rasmussen has been known to get it completely wrong countless times.

For Gingrich to go from over 35%, to being down over 15 points in one day, there is something totally wrong with the poll.

Rasmussen also has his own agenda and he uses it in the early polling season, then tightens it up when his reputation is at stake. His polling method is also rather flawed compared to others.

I say, if this trend continues for another 2 weeks, from all the polls, then there is a problem for Newt.


46 posted on 12/15/2011 6:36:24 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: floridarunner01
Did you know that marketing research can determine whether you are a conservative or a liberal by your purchasing and TV viewing patterns?

They also can with great accuracy predict your political leanings by your zip code. Also, telephone number lists are generally sold by demographic, income, zip code, race, voting patterns, etc.

So when you see a public released political poll like all those mentioned this early in a major political race; in addition to number polled and likely voters - also ask yourself what information is provided to determine the lists used to select the zip code and demographics to interview for the “poll;” what is the assurance of quality of the interviewers; the time of day the calls occurred; who paid for the poll; do they have a known agenda; what were the total questions asked, etc? Without this information the polls are only saying whatever whomever is paying for them want them to say.

And yes, there are millions of rea$on$ to lie and make up multiple “polls” to manipulate people. If you think its not possible to do this kind of manipulation on a large scale, please see the push manipulation for AGW as just one of the better known examples.

Nevertheless, we all saw the outpouring of volunteers and individual cash donations for Palin and Cain. That is hard to fake. If The 2 alleged front runners are doing so well where are the similar individual efforts to support them?

The way the game is played is to set it up so the ones people like are always downplayed and the people have to chose to vote for a lesser evil to prevent a worse evil from winning.It’s very effective.

Yes, the polls do look close to accurate in the end. That’s because of the self fulfilling prophecy and the power of manipulation by the professionals. People are easy to herd when its marketed properly...


47 posted on 12/15/2011 6:36:40 AM PST by Mechanicos (Why does the DOE have a SWAT Team?)
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To: Wurlitzer

That pretty well sums it up. Rather depressing.


48 posted on 12/15/2011 6:38:13 AM PST by Rennes Templar (God isn't into pain.)
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To: DM1

Romney is a lock in NH. If he wins Iowa, game over.


49 posted on 12/15/2011 6:38:40 AM PST by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

Margin of error?

If Newt puts in a strong performance tonight at the debate, I think he will win Iowa, followed by SC & Florida.

He could be #2 or #3 in NH.


50 posted on 12/15/2011 6:39:01 AM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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