Interesting to see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters” or if he has switched to just “likely voters” or “registered voters”
Also good to see the margin of error and if it’s a statistical tie.
Iowa, if it chooses Mitt Romney, has handed him the presidency, because Mitt will win or go 2nd in New Hampshire and the entire media world, Fox included, will proclaim Mitt the winner of the nomination...
and the sheeple will follow.
Of course he has.
Sheesh. One poll comes out with numbers some people don't like and they automatically blame the media for lying or the pollster for switching methods. Face it. Newt's numbers in Iowa have been collapsing for a week now.
He might still win it. Who knows? Rasmussen found that only 40% of the respondents were sure of their vote. For a bunch of people who claim not to give a damn about polls, everyone here sure gets upset over them.
Interesting to see if Rasmussen has stayed with “likely republican voters” or if he has switched to just “likely voters” or “registered voters”
Per the Rassmussen site:
The survey of 750 Likely Iowa Republican Caucus Participants was conducted on December 13, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports.
None of those. Rasmussen is now using the "Most Likely Agreeing With Scott" voters.
It is, sadly, very possible that Ron Paul will win the Iowa Caucus because of Dems re-registering as Republicans on caucus night to vote for him. However, there is no chance that he will get the nomination. Conservatives may split among several candidates, leaving Paul-Romney (or Romney-Paul) in first and second place.
If Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, does he become the inevitable nominee? I don’t think so. Both Bachmann and Santorum have bet everything on Iowa and will likely be forced out without a win there. I do not see Perry as a credible candidate, although others may disagree. Gingrich may well survive as the conservative alternative to Romney in SC and FL. Newt is almost certainly the only one who can stop Romney. Romney sees this also, which is why he and his people are gunning so hard against Newt.
No matter what, we can be sure IA will again make the wrong choice.