Posted on 10/05/2010 10:42:25 AM PDT by GOP_Lady
The real historical parallel may be 1894 when Republicans took 100 seats.
As Election Day draws closer, every major public opinion poll shifts from interviewing registered voters to those whom it identifies as "likely" voters. Gallup, the oldest U.S. polling company, first developed the model it uses for identifying likely voters back in 1950 and its final election polls have proven highly accurate.
Yesterday, Gallup delivered its first 2010 "likely voter" poll and the results floored the political community. In the generic ballot question, which asks which party a voter would favor in a generic House contest, Gallup gave the GOP a 46% to 42% edge. But then Gallup applied two versions of its "likely voter" turnout model. In its "high turnout model," Republicans led Democrats by 53% to 40%. In its "low turnout model," the GOP edge was a stunning 56% to 38%. That kind of margin in favor of Republicans has never been seen in Gallup surveys.
What should worry Democrats most is that the "low turnout model" is typical of recent midterm elections. If the Gallup numbers hold up (and the firm cautions that "the race often tightens in the final month of the campaign"), some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
My favorite line from this article (thank you for posting it!):
“But regardless of where likely voters are right now, it’s a strange political year when Democrats start consoling themselves with Scott Rasmussen, whose polls they have long disparaged as being biased towards Republicans.”
Heh.
Not to worry... I will vote no matter what... AND I will drag my 87 year old mother out in 10 feet of snow to vote Republican, even if she is at death’s door!!
Won't mean a damn thing if we don't stomp the freakin' life out of the fascist laws being crammed down our throats.
some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.
some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.
Well worth re-reading, this lovely bit of poetry from Mr. Fund today.
They're just trying to instill a sense of complacency so you will consider staying away from the polls on election day.The effect will be the opposite of their intent. I don't believe there is a conspiratorial intent, mind you, but if you are correct, then... Historically, late deciding voters tend to break to whichever side has the momentum, and voters who believe their guys are going to get creamed don't tend to turn out as much, making it even worse (note the low turnout is much worse than the high turnout).
The Democratic party was to begin the thousand year reign of “Diversity”, but things are not going to plan.
VOTE LIKE YOUR CHILD’S LIFE DEPENDS ON IT! (BECAUSE IT DOES)
Catastrophic for the Democrats is what the NYT is saying.
Isn’t Bawney Fwank in some trouble in the polls?
Do not get overconfident folks. Dick Morris has made some good points about finding extra seats and funding those races. Seats that we are not expected to win.
remember that ALL of TV support O and Islam. The world is not going to change. The media and TV support the elites 100%.
“word more cataclysmic than “tsunami””
DEMOCRAT ARMEGGEDDON
or
ARMEGEDDON OF THE DEMOCRATS
We must not be satisfied with a “win”, we must push for a CRUSHING DEFEAT that will send a message that will resonate for generations!
DEMOCRATAGEDDON.
Our worthless Senator Bob Casey Jr. should hope for the best possible GOP outcome. Because if Washington and California both go our way, he gets promoted to being the dumbest member of the U.S. Senate.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_1894
Sound familiar?
If the conservative revolution turns the House, who/where would one start to bring pressure to de-fund the czars in the budget process?
some word more cataclysmic than “tsunami” would be needed for the Democratic losses.
Well worth re-reading, this lovely bit of poetry from Mr. Fund today.
I hope the voters don’t think their vote “won’t matter” because it will be such a blowout anyway, and stay home election night.
We need to stay fired up, regardless what the newspapers say.
“Broken glass voters” I like it, Mr. K.
How ‘bout “would be swallowed and spit out by a whale”(Hey, Pinocchio did it) voter, if BO’s demise was promised.. That would be me.
They say it’s an ill wind that blows no good, and maybe - just maybe - this Obama character will utterly ruin the Democratic party for many years to come.
That might even be worth all the utter crap through which he’s put America these past two years.
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