Gallup Delivers a Stunner

The Wall Street Journal ^ | 10-06-10 | JOHN FUND

[GOP_Lady]

The real historical parallel may be 1894 when Republicans took 100 seats.

As Election Day draws closer, every major public opinion poll shifts from interviewing registered voters to those whom it identifies as "likely" voters. Gallup, the oldest U.S. polling company, first developed the model it uses for identifying likely voters back in 1950 and its final election polls have proven highly accurate.

Yesterday, Gallup delivered its first 2010 "likely voter" poll and the results floored the political community. In the generic ballot question, which asks which party a voter would favor in a generic House contest, Gallup gave the GOP a 46% to 42% edge. But then Gallup applied two versions of its "likely voter" turnout model. In its "high turnout model," Republicans led Democrats by 53% to 40%. In its "low turnout model," the GOP edge was a stunning 56% to 38%. That kind of margin in favor of Republicans has never been seen in Gallup surveys.

What should worry Democrats most is that the "low turnout model" is typical of recent midterm elections. If the Gallup numbers hold up (and the firm cautions that "the race often tightens in the final month of the campaign"), some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.

[nmh]

Fear not!

I hear rustlings of a bail out for the print media.

Of course that wouldn't include Human Events or a view like theirs!

LOL!!!

Joseph Goebbels Quotes

“Think of the press as a great keyboard on which the government can play.”

“Intellectual activity is a danger to the building of character”

“The most brilliant propagandist technique will yield no success unless one fundamental principle is borne in mind constantly - it must confine itself to a few points and repeat them over and over”

Like "Hope" and "Change"?

http://thinkexist.com/quotation/-if_you_tell_a_lie_big_enough_and_keep_repeating/345877.html

[truthandlife]

Women’s natural inclination is toward being cared for but since divorce is so rampant in this country and men have abandoned women and children, women do tend to lean on the gov’t.

[afraidfortherepublic]

Too soon to take this to the bank, folks. We have to keep working and donating for our CONSERVATIVE GOP candidates. We need to keep working right up through Nov. 2.

[lentulusgracchus]

[Art.] ....some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.

How about "cataclysm"? lol

[lstanle]

'Only the Blue Dog Dems can stem the tide of the angry public. Problem is, there aren’t any since they converted to neutered Pelosi lapdogs instead. Woof!"

Our "bluedog" here in the Florida 2nd seems to be in a spot of trouble. His opponent, Steve Southerland, is touting a poll that has Allen Boyd, the Dem. 16 points behind.

[JSDude1]

Yes, but we need to go for 100 whether we win that many or not~!

[Tigercap]

Correct. Work first. Vote second. And THEN party like it its 1894.

[el_texicano]

“My personal guess is a gain of 132 seats.”

“You’re making me get all emotional and choked up!!!”

Personally, about two months ago I was estimating a seat turnover of 140. Senate and House. Ya’ll are probably closer to the right number.

But if we are right, and I think we are, the Dems may throw BHO out themselves. Hey, they know where the “bodies” are buried and they got the media with them.

[lentulusgracchus]

VOTE LIKE YOUR CHILD’S LIFE DEPENDS ON IT! (BECAUSE IT DOES)
At my age it's the grandchildren I worry about.

Worry about us, too -- we're the ones the Death Panels are waiting for, with their morally-uneducated, socialist-indoctrinated, technobarbarian "Gen Y" and "Gen Z" assisted-living/nursing workers. Mmmmmmm ...... mmmmmmm ..... mmmmmm ......

Shades of Soylent Green.

[pgkdan]

Agreed!

[GVnana]

They did it to themselves. (Schadenfreude, Schadenfreude!)

[silverleaf]

It ain’t over ‘til it’s over

the GOP never loses an opportunity to lose an opportunity, especially with field marshalls like Michael Steele, Mitch McConnell and John Boehner

Now, if we had Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint and Paul Ryan at the helm- look out

[silverleaf]

It ain’t over ‘til it’s over

the GOP never loses an opportunity to lose an opportunity, especially with field marshalls like Michael Steele, Mitch McConnell and John Boehner

[Logic n' Reason]

WOOOOF!!

[Agamemnon]

Women’s natural inclination is toward being cared for but since divorce is so rampant in this country and men have abandoned women and children, women do tend to lean on the gov’t.

You are making my point. Divorce is far too easy to obtain in our society. Men divorce women and women divorce men.

Marriage and family are the definition of "government of the first order." It is the bedrock of the meaning of "We the People" and from whom the legitimacy of the federal government proceeds at all -- that is, the "government of the second order."

When family is destroyed by divorce, the "government of the first order" cannot insist upon, demand, or enforce the legitimacy of the "governement of the second order." The "government of the second order" draws its increasing power and reach due to the power vacuum created by the abdication of responsibility for self-governance of the "government of the first order" to the "government of the second order."

Are you following the train of thought here?

For America to be Constitutionally governed requires a people willing to be self-governed, self-disciplined, and committed in both word and deed to support the "government of the first order": that is, the government of family and the government of marriage - as God himself and 5000 years of tradition defines it - not as some retiring faggot federal judge defined it.

Failure to do so will invariably result in tyranny by "government of the second order."

God intends for mankind to be free.

Is it any wonder then that the Scripture plainly says, God hates divorce (Malachi 2:16)?

FReegards!

[The Comedian]

Clif is calling "it" for Nov. 8, safely after the stunning and predictable election upset.

As far as my stuff goes, I'm betting on massive fraud attempts which basically don't work.

When Coup II is an obvious failure, 5 or so days after the election, I'm guessing Soetoro pulls the trigger on Operation False Flag which just happens to involve Iran and the Nation of Islam.

All conjecture at this point.

I've got "Nuclear Terror", "Economic holocaust", and "Quakes" that simply will not cool off or settle down.

Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

[Jess79]

Some women want to be cared for, but the larger problem stems from women’s natural inclination to be the care givers. Their desire to solve all society’s ills leads them into a state of feel-goodism that natually makes them turn to the government to solve those problems. I don’t want to paint with too broad a brush here, but I’m constantly amazed at how many of my sex have completely lost any critical thinking or analytical skills.

[JohnBovenmyer]

From that wiki, in 1894 the GOP gained 130, the Democrats lost 125, populists and independents each lost 2. The new House apparently gained one seat overall, to a total of 357. This was the biggest midterm swing in US history. To beat that proportionally gain the GOP would need to win 159 seats. I could live with that! Alas I doubt the GOP and the Tea Party can do it themselves. Obama et. al. need to work harder to anger more voters.

[colorado tanker]

Obama et. al. need to work harder to anger more voters.

Hey, Zero and Slow Joe are working as hard as they can at it!

[ohioWfan]

hehe.........