Fox News Poll: 2010 Election Remains Close, 2012 Vote Splits Evenly

FOX News ^ | May 12, 2010 | Dana Blanton

[Panzerlied]

If the Congressional election were held today, 42 percent of voters would back the Republican candidate in their district, while 40 percent would support the Democrat, according to the latest Fox News poll.

printemailshare recommend (1) If the Congressional election were held today, 42 percent of voters would back the Republican candidate in their district, while 40 percent would support the Democrat, according to the latest Fox News poll.

Most Republicans (86 percent) back their party's candidate and most Democrats (80 percent) back theirs, and independents are divided. By 37-31 percent independent voters are somewhat more likely to back the Republican candidate, while 20 percent are undecided.

A similar split is seen when the question is about voting in the 2012 presidential election: 41 percent would back Barack Obama, and 41 percent the Republican Party's candidate.

[Panzerlied]

Polling was conducted by telephone May 4-5, 2010, in the evenings. The total sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.

[marstegreg]

41 percent would back Barack Obama, and 41 percent the Republican Party’s candidate.

This speaks volumes to me. Obama vs ANY Republican are equal? That’s good news for Obama? Obama is equal with a ficticious candidate. This is some serious trouble he will never admit he is in.

[throwback]

Will Dims turn out, though? The socialist agenda is humming along sweetly, why bother? Dims have a hard time getting off their _ss. It’s why they’re partial to the welfare state.

[Pollster1]

Note that this is registered voters, and conservatives are still leading the socialists. When you look at the intensity among patriots and the apathy among Obama-voters, this is likely to be quite an underestimate of the most probable outcome (assuming the GOP leadership finally misses a chance to mess up).

[Pravious]

I can’t express how much it disheartens me to see half the U.S. population with brain functions somewhat less than the zombies in “Dawn Of the Dead.”

[Michael Barnes]

/s

[Clink]

Any election that is close will be stolen by the Dems.

[HamiltonJay]

registered voters not likely voters.. HUGE difference

[chimera]

It is discouraging. I have often thought that the only way to redemption for a country that would elect a person like Barack Obama to its highest elective office would be a complete collapse and re-build.

My private fear may be realized in that we may have peaked too early for the 2010 election. It's still five months away and that is a lifetime in politics. Plenty of time for Oslimemold to patch things up and buy off voters and demonize his opponents. It's what he does. The media is going to go b*lls-to-the-wall to elect 'Rats, to shield Odouchebag from all possible embarrassment. And in the end, when the sh*t hits the fan, the 'Rats always "come home".

[MNJohnnie]

Only problem is Democrat voters are routinely oversampled in Register Voter polls. In these polls Democrat almost always have a 5-9% advantage. For them to be 2 points behind represents a significant shift in voters opinions of the two parties.

[Fu-fu2]

There will be alot of these polls over the summer. It helps keep Fox ratings up if conservatives think the elections are close....

[pgkdan]

Fox News polls are always out of step with everyone else. They use the worst polling outfits available and a poll of registered voters is useless when trying to get a sense of what actual likely voters will do. Especially in an off year election.

[Sooth2222]

Fox News polls are always out of step with everyone else. They use the worst polling outfits available and a poll of registered voters is useless when trying to get a sense of what actual likely voters will do. Especially in an off year election.

Oddly enough, Fox and the WSJ use the most Dem-biased polling outfits. Look at Rasmussin. Zero and the 'rats are in very deep doo-doo whether they realize it or not. (My hope is that they go into November in a state of complete denial.)

[throwback]

Sometimes I think “peaked too soon” is a concern, but I always try to remember that I’m underestimating Obama. He REALLY DOES think he has the gift. This presumption leads him to put his foot in his mouth over and over again. It also leads him to not work at looking ahead and preventing disasters. He keeps getting blind sided by a host of things; terrorists, oil spills, economic collapses. There is a strong possiblity that unfavorable events are going to continue to come up that will continue to show Obama unprepared and unqualified.

[Red Steel]

A more accurate pollster than Fox:

"Generic Congressional Ballot

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 38%

Monday, May 10, 2010

Republican candidates now hold a six-point lead over Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot, matching the narrowest gap between the two parties this year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate, while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. Support for Republicans held steady from last week, while support for Democrats rose slightly. "

-end snip-

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

[jazminerose]

That’s really the question. I’m sure John Fund can breakdown the percentage of fraudulent Dimn votes we can expect but November will be a turn out election.

The same immature dregs who were rounded up in droves for the annointing of BHO won’t be bothered to haul their arses out of bed for a mid term. We can see that from BHO’s failure to energize dims for VA, NJ, & MA. He’s doing more harm than good to dims now. Fortunately, his ego will never allow him to hear that.

[italianquaker]

Your right. The repubs always run 5 to 7 pct behind in these what party will you vote for polls?

[MNJohnnie]

Yes because over all Demo party membership is higher then Repubs. So the fact that parts of the NE and Midwest have 70-80% Democrat voter Registration skews these “registered voter” polls left.

That Democrats will be winning 150 or so safe districts with 70% or more of the vote skews these polls to indicate more strength for the Democrats then they have over the country as a whole.

[LoneStarGI]

Don’t let these polls concern you. Look at the question. IF, if you voted who would you vote for? Of course the numbers are going to be close when dealing with a hypothetical question. The real statistic you should look at is which group is more ‘enthusiastic’. A 50/50 split is not dangerous if only 25% of one side turns out and 75% of the other side turns out.

[marstegreg]

Thanks for the information! I guess it’s even more bleek for him than I thought. It couldn’t happen to a nicer guy.