Posted on 02/11/2010 7:32:32 AM PST by coaltrain
Plus, the electoral college usually helps the GOP candidate.
LOL
I looked it up, I couldn’t stand it. Wonder if it’s offered as a major anywhere.
i would like to see those numbers flip meaning any GOPer at 44% Obummer at 42% but this is probably a good sign
heck i may throw my hat in the ring if this trend continues ;)
Obama runs even with a generic Republican for President in 2012. Axelrod may believe this is fine with a billion dollars or so given to ACORN and a billion dollars or so given to the Americor con.
Presidential incumbents ALWAYS have an advantage. Since 1936, only two challengers have unseated incumbent Presidents who were standing for reelection - Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton.
Interestingly, both times there was a Independent candidate that did reasonably well; Ross Perot in 1992 who managed almost 20% of the popular vote and John Anderson in 1980 who garnered 6% of the popular vote. In each instance, those "successful" independent candidates were probably more reflective of the country's anger at the incumbent's party and their nominee.
I smell a cow patty. BO is not anywhere NEAR beating a Republican...this nation is going through a HUGE case of voters’ remorse.
Palin is not our answer. She’d be a good Sec of State, but not our answer to take back the WH.
“An incumbent polling below 50% is bad news.”
If this were Feb. 2012, I’d have a tingle running up my leg. Right now though, this poll is pretty much meaningless.
Bush would have crushed “generic Democrat” in a Feb. 2002 poll.
All I am trying to say is that we need to stay focused on the here and now. Three years is an eternity in politics.
Ed
I hope you are being sarcastic. Most independents think she is either incompetent or are waiting to see more. Sarahlians live in a bubble it seems.
I’m not a repub, but in my mind a generic repub is a rino and I won’t vote for it either. (Nor obama either)
Sorry about the “you”. It was addressed to the original author, but I should have thought about how it could be taken by you, the poster. BTW, cool handle
Beware Gallup and Zogby.
But the GOP can’t take anything for granted - espcially if they haven’t learned by their mistakes.
After NJ, Va and Mass, is anybody actually buying this? Im not.
Yea, I don’t believe this poll. If the election were held today I would expect bammy to loose by a good 12 points. The man is a constant buzz kill and moronic moralist. I can feel the viseral desire in America to dump this clown. Still waiting for Hillary to decide to spend more time with her family. Expect this announcement within the next 3 months.
We’re doomed ...see the tagline.
I haven't been paying attention to Hillary. Until she says something stupid or marxist and it's posted here. Do you think she'll run?
The poll’s margin of error mean that it’s a statistical tie between Obama and a generic republican.
The GOP poll’s MOE also means that Mitt and Sarah are essentially in a statistical tie.
If a candidate gets 44% in a poll with a MOE of plus or minus 3 percent, that means his actual number could be anywhere between 41% and 47%, inclusive.
- JP
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