Posted on 02/05/2010 3:44:11 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Since my earlier blogpost on the results of the February 2 Illinois primary, I’ve had the chance to crunch some more numbers, with help from the websites of the election boards of Chicago, suburban Cook County and the other 101 counties of Illinois.
Here are the results in tabular form, with the number of votes cast for senator in the Republican and Democratic primaries. I’ve listed separately the results in Chicago, suburban Cook County, the Collar Counties and Downstate. The Collar Counties are DuPage, Kane (including the city of Aurora), Kendall, Lake and Will; returns from McHenry were unavailable and are therefore included in the Downstate total. Returns include 99% of precincts.
Area | Repub | Demo |total | % Repub
ILLINOIS | 737,244 | 885,787 | 1,623,031 | 45
Chicago | 32,001 | 326,961 | 358,962 | 9
Suburban Cook | 120,744 | 223,616 | 344,360 | 42
Collar Counties | 225,546 | 92,815 | 318,361 | 71
Downstate | 358,953 | 242,935 | 601,888 | 60
By way of comparison, here are the totals for the 2008 presidential race for the same geographic units.
ILLINOIS | 2,031,179 | 3,419,348 | 5,522,371 | 37
Chicago | 149,255 | 930,866 | 1,089,879 | 14
Suburban Cook | 338,481 | 698,158 | 1,047,587 | 32|
Collar Counties | 530,111 | 697,844 | 1,243,428 | 43
Downstate | 1,013,332 | 1,092,480 | 2,141,477 | 47
Note that the Collar Counties cast more votes than Chicago in the general election but less than Chicago in the primary. This probably reflects heavy Chicago turnout in the Cook County board president race, in which the Democratic primary determines who will run the county government. We’re unlikely to see such a Chicago-heavy turnout in the general election. The Collar Counties and Downstate are likely to be a larger percentage of the general electorate than they were of the primary electorate—which should add about 2% to the Republican statewide percentage.
Holding Barack Obama’s Senate seat is starting to look like a Massachusetts-type perfect storm for Democrats. Mark Kirk with his suburban base, somewhat moderate voting record and military and foreign policy expertise, seems like an ideal candidate for Republicans, whose last successful Republican Senate candidate in Illinois, Charles Percy, had a similar profile. And as Chicagoan Tom Bevan notes on realclearpolitics.com, Democrats would have preferred the clean-cut former Inspector General David Hoffman as a nominee rather than the Rezko- and mob-connected Alexi Giannoulias; Hoffman’s rise in the polls just before the primary and his newspaper endorsements were, however, not quite enough to put him over the top. And check out this pungent column by the Chicago Tribune’s John Kass and this blogpost by the Chicago Sun-Times’s Lynn Sweet.
And as my Examiner colleague David Freddoso reports, a general election poll conducted for the Kirk campaign on February 1 and 2 shows Kirk leading Giannoulias 47%-35%--a much better showing than in earlier public polls, and one which perhaps reflects Hoffman’s anti-Giannoulias ads. That might be dismissed as a partisan poll, but a Rasmussen post-primary poll showing Kirk leading Giannoulias 46%-40% suggests it's in the ballpark.
Finally, check out this Kass column on the Democrats’ current plight: their lieutenant governor nominee was arrested in 2005 for assaulting his live-in girlfriend who was identified as a prostitute; he says he thought she was a massage therapist. “That explains everything,” Kass deadpans.
can’t wait to see how the dead come to life in Kook County.
Great. I just hope we do not get defecting RINOS reaching across the aisle. All the Republicans have to do is hang tight vote no and the Crats will destroy themselves.
With Kirk, Obama still wins.
Don;t you mean CrOOK County?
Chicago | 32,001 | 326,961 | 358,962 | 9
and the winner is:
Chicago | 32,001 | 3,269,610 | 3,589,620 | .9
I would guess that should set the count to where they should be. You do the extension for the state.
And I just can’t wait for my PA senator Snarlin’ Arlin and the perennial democrat Murphy to get shown the door.
And they will....
“Night of the Living Dead”
“All the Republicans have to do is hang tight vote no and the Crats will destroy themselves.”
God, I hope they are not too dumb to see this.
Trust me they are. They are insulated in the hive they call Washington and surrounded by adoring media types. They have absolutly no idea what is happening out here in the real world.
I think a few of them do , but they get “sucked in” by what you described. Most of them never did care about us in the first place.
Ask for volunteers to investigate, expose, and prosecute the voter fraud.
As you know, Mark Kirk was one of 8 House Republicans to vote for Cap-and-Trade. When he came home for some Townhall meetings, he caught hell! But he had the courage to meet with his constituents not unlike Dirtbag Durbin who hid under his desk back in D.C. I was at one of those meetings and it was packed and heated. He got the message. I like to think we won’t have any further problems with Kirk.
As for the Democrats, they have some serious problems with their candidates. Besides the corruption with Alexi, it has now been discovered the Lt. Governor candidate has a history with anger management (like pulling knives on women). I tell you, there’s a tsunami headed for Illinois Democrats.
Sounds like Memphis, the dead and jailed inmates most of them convicted felons vote every election.
Somewhat moderate.
Whatta joke!
I do not vote for liberals even when they have an "R" after their names.
The dead and the “might as well be dead” have feelings tooooooooooo! : )
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