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The Greenback Effect (Warren Buffett Warning!)
NY Times ^ | 8/19/2009 | Warren Buffett

Posted on 08/19/2009 6:41:18 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA

To understand this threat, we need to look at where we stand historically. If we leave aside the war-impacted years of 1942 to 1946, the largest annual deficit the United States has incurred since 1920 was 6 percent of gross domestic product. This fiscal year, though, the deficit will rise to about 13 percent of G.D.P., more than twice the non-wartime record. In dollars, that equates to a staggering $1.8 trillion. Fiscally, we are in uncharted territory.

Because of this gigantic deficit, our country’s “net debt” (that is, the amount held publicly) is mushrooming. During this fiscal year, it will increase more than one percentage point per month, climbing to about 56 percent of G.D.P. from 41 percent. Admittedly, other countries, like Japan and Italy, have far higher ratios and no one can know the precise level of net debt to G.D.P. at which the United States will lose its reputation for financial integrity. But a few more years like this one and we will find out.

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Slowing them down will require extraordinary political will. With government expenditures now running 185 percent of receipts, truly major changes in both taxes and outlays will be required. A revived economy can’t come close to bridging that sort of gap.

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Our immediate problem is to get our country back on its feet and flourishing — “whatever it takes” still makes sense. Once recovery is gained, however, Congress must end the rise in the debt-to-G.D.P. ratio and keep our growth in obligations in line with our growth in resources.

Unchecked carbon emissions will likely cause icebergs to melt. Unchecked greenback emissions will certainly cause the purchasing power of currency to melt. The dollar’s destiny lies with Congress.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: billionaires; hedgefunds; warrenbuffett
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1 posted on 08/19/2009 6:41:19 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA
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To: Red in Blue PA

That is definately the problem and if the debt is not paid down and Obama and Congress don’t stop spending; we will be in one mother of a depression. As long as they over spending and printing money to cover it; we will go down.

Also, pay all your debts as much as you can. You will thank yourself for it.


2 posted on 08/19/2009 6:44:56 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: freekitty

It’s pretty bad when your advisors call your plans disastrous.


3 posted on 08/19/2009 6:47:36 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA (If guns cause crime, then all of mine are defective!)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Isn’t Buffett an Obama advisor like Paul Volker? Why’s he telling us?


4 posted on 08/19/2009 6:47:39 PM PDT by Mr. Peabody
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To: Mr. Peabody

Indeed he is an advisor. The legs of the table are being removed one by one.


5 posted on 08/19/2009 6:49:24 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA (If guns cause crime, then all of mine are defective!)
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To: Red in Blue PA
Photobucket
6 posted on 08/19/2009 6:53:35 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

When is shooting yourself in the foot an act of suicide?

When your foot is in your mouth.....


7 posted on 08/19/2009 7:00:13 PM PDT by LaMudBug
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To: Red in Blue PA
...no one can know the precise level of net debt to G.D.P. at which the United States will lose its reputation for financial integrity. But a few more years like this one and we will find out.

More likely only a few more months. The myth that we can have government spend/borrow our way out of a recession has become painfully clear to all of the Americans out of work. Obama and Congress continue to pretend that fattening government bureaucracy is the solution to stimulating the economy.

8 posted on 08/19/2009 7:01:09 PM PDT by eggman (Obama's Spread the Wealth will work just as well as Spread the Liabilities (sub-prime mortgages))
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To: Mr. Peabody
Isn’t Buffett an Obama advisor like Paul Volker? Why’s he telling us?

Buffett is first and foremost what Founder John Adams derisively called a "money-getter." That is, the acquisition of wealth is his reason for living. He is Scrooge McDuck personified.

If he is now telling you what to expect, you can rest assured that he is well prepared to profit from your response. Follow the money and draw your own conclusions.

9 posted on 08/19/2009 7:11:11 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Red in Blue PA
Why is Warren saying anything now?He told everyone years ago to dump the dollar and buy euros and I didn't listen to old Warren and purchased gold instead and made much more.
Warren has dementia or a math problem in my book.
10 posted on 08/19/2009 7:21:51 PM PDT by taxtruth (WE CAN'T AFFORD UNCLE SAMMY ANYMORE!)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Warren who?


11 posted on 08/19/2009 7:32:24 PM PDT by DilJective (High time for men of the mind to go on strike.)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Buffett sends one across his meassiahs bow.


12 posted on 08/19/2009 7:33:17 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (CommieCare: Need a Stent, Take a Red Pill. Next!)
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To: DilJective

When it comes to the Buffetts, I prefer Jimmy.


13 posted on 08/19/2009 7:36:16 PM PDT by RonInNaples
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To: DilJective
Warren who?

Van Winkle, if he's just now realizing that the spending is a problem.
14 posted on 08/19/2009 7:57:32 PM PDT by Trod Upon (Obama: Making the Carter malaise look good. Misery Index in 3...2...1)
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To: freekitty

I have no debt. The burning question on my mind is what to do with my cash assets — leave them as-is (in CD’s), convert to gold, a little of both? Gold is ~$940/oz so it’s not an easy decision. Silver doesn’t look like it’s at it’s peak, though.


15 posted on 08/19/2009 8:00:19 PM PDT by Windcatcher (Obama is a COMMUNIST and the MSM is his armband-wearing propaganda machine.)
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To: freekitty

I believe we are ALREADY in one mother of a depression.


16 posted on 08/19/2009 8:08:17 PM PDT by RipSawyer (Change has come to America and all hope is gone.)
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To: hinckley buzzard

What galls me is that the old prick practically campaigned for Obummer. And now gives a mealy-mouthed criticism of him. Just a tad late there, Mr. Buffet!

When you campaigned for him you had to know in your heart that he had never managed so much as a hotdog vending pushcart! By WHAT assinine credentials did you in your wildest hallucinations imagine that he could manage the most difficult job on earth?!!!


17 posted on 08/19/2009 8:16:49 PM PDT by Tucker39 (I Tim. 1:15b " .....Christ Jesus came into the world to save sinners, of whom I am chief.")
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To: DilJective

Warren Buffet.


18 posted on 08/19/2009 8:25:09 PM PDT by cydcharisse
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To: Windcatcher

I’m in the same situation ... I have some in gold, the rest in cash assets, but that doesn’t seem wise long term, as it seems to me that we may be in for some series inflation at some point, but hey, who knows, this thing is hard to figure out. What this evil out of control gubmint is doing puts us in uncharted territory.


19 posted on 08/19/2009 8:33:50 PM PDT by webschooner (First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win -- Mahatma Gandhi)
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To: Red in Blue PA

I don’t find Buffett particularly credible on anything anymore.


20 posted on 08/19/2009 9:28:58 PM PDT by sageb1 (This is the Final Crusade, There are only two sides. Pick one.)
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