Posted on 08/18/2009 12:30:26 PM PDT by steve-b
Even as the president’s approval rating slips, Republicans looking to beat him in 2012 — one of their frontrunners, one-time governor of Alaska Sarah Palin, might be unelectable. A new Marist Poll gives President Obama a 56-33 lead over Palin among registered voters, with the president taking 20 percent of Republican voters and easily winning independents. But Palin’s favorable rating with registered Republicans is still a very strong 73-16.
In the South, Obama’s lead is a slimmer 49-38, and post-”Beerfest” Obama only leads by 10 points among white voters. But everywhere else, and among every other demographic group, he dominates Palin.
Marist asked about Palin’s resignation — she’s been a former governor for a month now — in a meta way, taking stock of whether voters thought “will help or hurt her running for president in 2012.” Sixty-one percent of all voters, and 50 percent of Republicans, say it will hurt her.
Gee, isn’t this poll a little... fishy?
Well guess we’ve lost the election. No point in voting now.
Obama’s kind of election.
If you believe this, I want you to know I have a special BOGO on bridges this week only!
Sarah will make her move when she is ready. The polls will not dictate.
More bogus polling that means zilch at this juncture.
published by either push polling liberals or Mitten Kittens.....
Not to give you and your allies a boner or anything, but maybe we can wheel out the formidable Bob Dole to run again.
Ummmmmmmmmm.......Is Sarah running against Obama now?
LOL
Yeah, kinda odd that they are having a poll about a PRIVATE CITIZEN. The way Obama is looking now, Bart Simpson can beat him by a landslide in 2012
Wonder why the obamedia ran this poll??
Pray for America
Warning: Steve-b postings are hazardous to your IQ.
They must have polled the visitors in the NBC gift shop - the one with all the obozo merchandise.
is she running NOW? Another idiotic “poll”. What did Marist poll use as methodology...shooting darts at a dartboard and whatever number comes up that’s Obeyme’s lead? Gimme a break..
Yawn. More feces from our resident Palin-hater.
while i would never vote for Obama, and would happily vote for Sarah, i too think her resignation hurt her chances... more than that, her running as JMc’s VP hurt her chances... i thought it was too soon for her to make her national debut... i wish she would have waited until the next cycle...
Why, show me a poll that does not have that 20 to 21% no support number.
Politics is like beer.
If one candidate is Budwiser, another is Alaskan Amber, and another is Guinnes, which would get the most votes as “best”?
Is there any doubt it would be the Bud?
But Bud is bland - and that is the point. A strong flavor is excellent to some but if you don’t like it, you REALLY do not like it. So bland wins. Same with Domino’s pizza.
As long as this government exists in it’s current form, our leaders will be examples of Bud lite, untl the huns storm the gates and we are forced to hit the reset button.
And bud lite leaders tend to be rather incompetent, which only hastens the day.
Geeze, you post as much downgrading drivel about Sarah as GGG does about Creationism.
Who thought this insanity up?
Good grief, we had a presidential election just nine months ago. The time for announcing candidacies and all for 2012 is still more than a year away and they’re already doing polls.
Yeah and her two words “Death Panel” changed the biggest bill you dims could come up with.
Scared little chickens
I would think it highly suspect if any candidate would be ahead of Obama this early in his Presidency. Almost 30 months until the primary selection process begins....... Ups and downs will occur and who knows which candidates will emerge as the strongest on the GOP side.
Too many people think what the mainstream media tells them they should think. Especially when they answer questions from pollsters.
Are you a troll from the DU?
Ok.
The fear of Sarah continues unabated in the MSM.
Yes, the POTUS And leader of the free world has a 23 point lead over a private citizen who occasionally posts on Facebook. How impressive. /s
Sorry, quitting your job as governor because it got too tough is a tough sell to any electorate if you want to be CIC.
Palin has the same cult following as BHO. I am not defending the left’s treatment of her, or the fact that the press took an interest in every little story, true or not, regarding her and ignored Hussein's past, but i do believe if the election was held today, Hussein would trounce Palin.
A few years from now may be a different story, however.
0bama was campaigning against HER in 2008 - as soon as she entered the race, 0bama recognized who his real opponent, the real threat, was.
And the media treated her as the front runner as well.
Yep, we’re beat. Let’s go shopping!
87% of all statistics are made up on the spot (like this one)
Chortle!
Stopped right there.
Yet another laughably fraudulent push poll, trotted out on cue to give desperate 0bamabots some talking points to defend themselves with, at a time when 0bama’s poll numbers are tanking on all fronts.
Let's just have a look at Marist poll's performance from the 2008 elections shall we?
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection polls (as reported on pollster.com).
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN/Opinion Research (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX News/Opinion Dynamics (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Washington Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/NY Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)
http://race42008.com/2008/11/06/poll-accuracy-in-the-race-4-2008/
Marist was 6th from the bottom. ‘nough said.
blah blah blah ....death care panels anyone?
BS.
ROFL
that statement right there tells you this poll smells....
Given the likelihood of more lost jobs, investment losses and another 9-11 style attack which ObaMao is inviting with his Carteresque policies, it is only a matter of timing and degree before some of these women begin to abandon catty jealousy in favor of any alternative to ObaMao.
Rasmussen oustanding, Marist, not so much...
http://exposingtheleft.blogspot.com/2009/08/republicands-now-up-by-5-in-generic.html
Unlike some here, I do appreciate your posts steve-b. At the very least we know what the other side is thinking. We need as much intel as we can get.
We can debate the ins and outs of whose the better candidate, but we must always be cognizant of what the other side is thinking. Without a doubt, the MSM will start using this poll to attack Palin, yet again. We can expect Brooks and Frum to jump on this, like good little rinos that they are. But we have to know what they are thinking and how they will attack.
You cant possibly buy this. Some Republicans who like Palin would actually vote for Obama ??
| Registered Voters | ||||
| If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: | ||||
| Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate | Sarah Palin, the Republican candidate | Unsure | ||
| Row % | Row % | Row % | ||
| Registered Voters | 56% | 33% | 11% | |
| Party ID | Democrat | 92% | 4% | 4% |
| Republican | 20% | 73% | 7% | |
| Independent | 49% | 34% | 17% | |
| Region | Northeast | 67% | 24% | 9% |
| Midwest | 62% | 32% | 6% | |
| South | 49% | 38% | 13% | |
| West | 55% | 33% | 12% | |
| Household Income | Less than $50,000 | 57% | 30% | 12% |
| $50,000 or more | 58% | 34% | 8% | |
| Education | Not college graduate | 53% | 34% | 13% |
| College graduate | 62% | 30% | 7% | |
| Race | White | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| African American | 99% | 1% | 0% | |
| Latino | 62% | 27% | 11% | |
| Age | 18 to 29 | 69% | 27% | 4% |
| 30 to 44 | 58% | 30% | 12% | |
| 45 to 59 | 55% | 36% | 9% | |
| 60 or older | 51% | 36% | 13% | |
| Gender | Men | 54% | 36% | 10% |
| Women | 58% | 30% | 11% | |
| Marist Poll National Registered Voters "N=854 MOE +/- 3.5%" Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | ||||
| Republicans Including Republican Leaning Independents | ||||||||
| If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: | ||||||||
| Newt Gingrich | Mike Huckabee | Bobby Jindal | Sarah Palin | Tim Pawlenty | Mitt Romney | Unsure | ||
| Row % | Row % | Row % | Row % | Row % | Row % | Row % | ||
| Republicans Including Republican Leaning Independents | 10% | 19% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 21% | 24% | |
| Household Income | Less than $50,000 | 10% | 20% | 7% | 20% | 1% | 18% | 24% |
| $50,000 or more | 11% | 17% | 5% | 18% | 0% | 29% | 19% | |
| Education | Not college graduate | 9% | 22% | 5% | 21% | 1% | 18% | 24% |
| College graduate | 13% | 13% | 6% | 16% | 1% | 28% | 23% | |
| Age | Under 45 | 5% | 24% | 5% | 19% | 0% | 19% | 28% |
| 45 or older | 14% | 16% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 22% | 22% | |
| Gender | Men | 12% | 16% | 6% | 18% | 1% | 29% | 18% |
| Women | 8% | 22% | 4% | 21% | 1% | 14% | 30% | |
| Marist Poll National Republicans Including Republican Leaning Independents "N=310 MOE +/- 5.5%" Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | ||||||||
| Registered Voters | |||||
| Do you think Sarah Palin's decision to resign as governor of Alaska before her term was up will help or hurt her running for president in 2012? | |||||
| Help | Hurt | Makes no difference | Unsure | ||
| Row % | Row % | Row % | Row % | ||
| Registered Voters | 15% | 61% | 11% | 13% | |
| Party ID | Democrat | 9% | 69% | 9% | 13% |
| Republican | 20% | 51% | 12% | 17% | |
| Independent | 17% | 61% | 12% | 10% | |
| Region | Northeast | 17% | 59% | 6% | 17% |
| Midwest | 13% | 64% | 12% | 11% | |
| South | 16% | 60% | 13% | 11% | |
| West | 14% | 58% | 12% | 16% | |
| Household Income | Less than $50,000 | 13% | 60% | 11% | 16% |
| $50,000 or more | 16% | 63% | 11% | 10% | |
| Education | Not college graduate | 14% | 58% | 13% | 15% |
| College graduate | 15% | 67% | 9% | 9% | |
| Race | White | 14% | 64% | 11% | 11% |
| African American | 15% | 58% | 5% | 22% | |
| Latino | 15% | 52% | 19% | 14% | |
| Age | 18 to 29 | 5% | 81% | 6% | 8% |
| 30 to 44 | 13% | 64% | 10% | 13% | |
| 45 to 59 | 21% | 55% | 13% | 11% | |
| 60 or older | 15% | 54% | 15% | 16% | |
| Gender | Men | 18% | 59% | 11% | 12% |
| Women | 13% | 62% | 12% | 14% | |
| Marist Poll National Registered Voters "N=854 MOE +/- 3.5%" Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | |||||
| Registered Voters | ||||
| Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Sarah Palin. If you are unsure how to rate her or have never heard of her, please say so. | ||||
| Favorable | Unfavorable | Unsure/Never heard of | ||
| Row % | Row % | Row % | ||
| Registered Voters | 37% | 43% | 20% | |
| Party ID | Democrat | 11% | 71% | 18% |
| Republican | 73% | 16% | 12% | |
| Independent | 36% | 37% | 26% | |
| Region | Northeast | 27% | 51% | 22% |
| Midwest | 34% | 47% | 20% | |
| South | 46% | 35% | 20% | |
| West | 33% | 47% | 20% | |
| Household Income | Less than $50,000 | 35% | 41% | 25% |
| $50,000 or more | 38% | 48% | 14% | |
| Education | Not college graduate | 39% | 36% | 26% |
| College graduate | 33% | 56% | 11% | |
| Race | White | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| African American | 11% | 47% | 42% | |
| Latino | 29% | 51% | 21% | |
| Age | 18 to 29 | 31% | 52% | 18% |
| 30 to 44 | 32% | 48% | 20% | |
| 45 to 59 | 40% | 38% | 22% | |
| 60 or older | 40% | 39% | 21% | |
| Gender | Men | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Women | 31% | 46% | 23% | |
| Marist Poll National Registered Voters "N=854 MOE +/- 3.5%" Totals may not add to 100 due to rounding. | ||||
of course the resignation hurt her. and she has to do a lot more than post on facebook. A lot more. Katy Abram is on Hannity even more than Palin.
I agree! In fact, why don't we save everyone a lot of money and trouble, and just not have an election at all? Obviously this poll proves beyond a doubt that The One is the one. Why go through the charade of those expensive conventions and primary elections and all that hoopla. And since Obama has a veto proof majority in both houses why don't we just send Congress home until Jan. of 2017. Just think of all the money we would be saving, not to mention being spared all the news about their ‘work’ and ‘deliberations’. Hey, I think you're on to something here! </sarc>
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