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Richard McKenzie: We're in a 'policy bubble,' which, too, will burst
Orange County Register ^ | Saturday, February 14, 2009 | Richard McKenzie, UC Irvine economics professor

Posted on 02/14/2009 9:40:54 AM PST by DogByte6RER

Richard McKenzie: We're in a 'policy bubble,' which, too, will burst

UC Irvine economics professor

By RICHARD B. McKENZIE

In the late 1990s, stock markets went through the "dot.com" bubble. Investors bought with "irrational exuberance" the new-era story that that the world economy had changed so much that high-flying price-earnings ratios for Internet stocks could be justified by the untold profits that virtually any firm establishing a low-cost "storefront" in cyberspace could earn into the distant future. The bubble burst in March 2000 when investors finally realized that the low cost of entry would ensure that profits of the vast majority of dot.com firms would be readily competed away.

Through the first five years of this century, a housing price bubble emerged, founded on the new-era story that housing would become ever scarcer and that all Americans, no matter their incomes and credit scores, deserved homeownership. Besides, the housing price bubble itself fortified the belief that the creditunworthy could and would handle mortgages with little to zero down payments and low "teaser" (subprime) interest rates, with the government subsidizing many mortgages in a variety of ways. The mortgage meltdown ensued when unworthy homeowners' monthly payments suddenly jumped upward, and they began walking away from their mortgages in droves.

In these two bubbles, few disputed the too-good-to-be-true storyline, much less dared to sound the alarm that the underlying logic was flawed – until after the bubbles had burst.

(Excerpt) Read more at ocregister.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bailout; bhostimulus; bush; bushbailout; fanniemae; obamastimulus; obamunism; pork; porkulus; porky; socialism; stimulus; subprime
Spot on commentary/analysis.
1 posted on 02/14/2009 9:40:55 AM PST by DogByte6RER
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To: DogByte6RER
Except Obama wants to create his very own FDR bubble...
2 posted on 02/14/2009 9:58:41 AM PST by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam anthe Nazis raisd we want to kill them)
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To: DogByte6RER

Ok. So let’s hope this guy is right. Then what will be the MSM+Obama spin when we see all the corruption and waste and fraud?

“Need more regulation”

“Need more taxes on the rich”

The libs are not going to just stand still and let the blame for this fall on their shoulders.


3 posted on 02/14/2009 10:05:20 AM PST by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: DogByte6RER

This should be required reading for everyone. Well, everyone but President Obama and the other dedicated Marxists who will never abandon their Marxism no matter what reality may be.


4 posted on 02/14/2009 10:06:14 AM PST by olrtex (()
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To: DogByte6RER
Myself I hope real estate prices fall even further. I don't care if speculators take a bath. I want to see affordable housing, that is housing priced as housing, not housing priced as if it came with an ATM machine.
5 posted on 02/14/2009 10:12:14 AM PST by Mark was here (The earth is bipolar.)
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To: DogByte6RER
Reminding us again of the hazards of mucking around with problems poorly understood. There is only a narrow band of actions that could help, but a wide range of mistakes that could cost us dearly. Given the fact of congressional and executive economic incompetence I'd say the chance of goobermint making things worse is overwhelming.
6 posted on 02/14/2009 10:16:16 AM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: DogByte6RER

I have seen a lot of Democrats crowing about how they are gonna be in power for decades and that the Republicans are destroyed permanently. The response to any debate is “shaddup, we won”.

I remember when Gingrich won and Republicans were crowing about the “revolution”, how it would last for 40 years, and how the Democrats were goners.

The mid-terms this time are going to be a big surprise to them I am guessing.


7 posted on 02/14/2009 10:24:10 AM PST by Arkinsaw
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To: Arkinsaw

Im thikning the same.


8 posted on 02/14/2009 10:35:03 AM PST by Smogger (It's the WOT Stupid)
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To: DogByte6RER

How ironic! At the bottom of the Web page I see an ad for “Free Government Money” with a photo of Obama...


9 posted on 02/14/2009 10:46:25 AM PST by LibFreeOrDie (Obama promised a gold mine, but he will give us the shaft.)
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To: Mark was here
Agree. What city/county/state does not have an affordable housing program? At the same time, the porkulus bill works to prop up prices. We are mad.
10 posted on 02/14/2009 12:22:52 PM PST by Jacquerie (More Central Planning is not the solution to the failure of Central Planning.)
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To: DogByte6RER

later


11 posted on 02/14/2009 12:31:47 PM PST by I_be_tc
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To: 2banana

Except Obama wants to create his very own FDR bubble...

so many scarry things, this is just one of them.
FDR after the worse 4 years in american economic history won a reelection with an even bigger democratic majorities.
So even after the policies fail, pubbies do not regain power to end this nightmare.


12 posted on 02/14/2009 2:52:05 PM PST by genghis
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To: Arkinsaw

“The mid-terms this time are going to be a big surprise to them I am guessing.”

They might be surprised that they have won even more seats in congress or surprised they have lost both houses.

It would be nice if they lost both houses, only conservatives held the majority of seats and the law applied to everyone equally.

IMHO


13 posted on 02/14/2009 6:30:49 PM PST by ripley
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