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US dollar rallies as extent of worldwide recession becomes clearer
Telegraph ^ | 08/08/08 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Posted on 08/14/2008 12:13:40 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

US dollar rallies as extent of worldwide recession becomes clearer

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor

Last Updated: 10:13pm BST 08/08/2008

The psychology of global markets has shifted hugely over recent days as it becomes clear that Europe, Australasia and parts of Asia are sliding into recession.

The US dollar has launched its best rally in half a decade, reflecting a recognition that half the world is in even worse shape than the US. In fact, America is the only G7 country to eke out modest growth this summer.

The US dollar index - currencies watched closely by traders - smashed through resistance yesterday in the biggest one-day move since the long dollar slide began seven years ago.

advertisement"This was highly significant. Perceptions have changed," said Ian Stannard, currency strategist at BNP Paribas.

The greenback gained three cents to $1.5050 against the euro, with big moves against other currencies.

(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: commodities; currency; depression; despair; dollar; doom; dustbowl; globaleconomy; globalism; recession; trade
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1 posted on 08/14/2008 12:16:01 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; Uncle Ike; RSmithOpt; jiggyboy; 2banana; Travis McGee; OwenKellogg; 31R1O; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 08/14/2008 12:16:28 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
What?

Ambrose has been yelling day after day that the dollar was about to collapse and a depression was imminent...

3 posted on 08/14/2008 12:54:29 AM PDT by DB
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To: DB
Such a danger existed, and it was averted for now by Fed intervention.

On the other hand, the likely sequence of events then and now would be:

In the end, there would be no decoupling.

4 posted on 08/14/2008 2:03:14 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: DB

LOL. The US dollar is rallying, not because the US economy and financial structure is good, healthy and strong, but because it looks better in comparison to everyone else’s!

It’s not exactly the best news I’ve ever heard...


5 posted on 08/14/2008 2:04:12 AM PDT by Vanders9
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To: Vanders9

Rallying is not collapsing, regardless of the cause.


6 posted on 08/14/2008 2:06:58 AM PDT by DB
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To: TigerLikesRooster
In the end, there would be no decoupling.

Coupled with the credit crunch (less economic growth all around) and "Green" energy policy (fuel deprivation for the American economic engine) we may have a temporary respite, but face a dismal future unless we can overcome the former two major issues sooner than later.

Since prospects for a conservative policy that promote growth is unlikely in the near future, I'm not very hopeful.

America has the ability and resources to overcome this. I just don't believe firmly that there's a majority that has either the will or intellect to do so.

If 9% pelosi has her way, her and her minions will strangle our nation to death.

7 posted on 08/14/2008 2:17:57 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

We’ve been hearing this for two weeks, but it is not being reflected in the exchange rate here in China.

Today $1.00 USD buys 6.86093 RMB Yuan, 15% less than 20 months ago.

Interestly, however, in April this year, I was able to get more Hong Kong Dollars for a buck than I could 15 years ago. Very strange.


8 posted on 08/14/2008 2:19:25 AM PDT by John Leland 1789
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To: DB

Don’t worry the printing presses are still working...


9 posted on 08/14/2008 2:22:32 AM PDT by endthematrix (Congress, Get Off Your Gas, And Drill!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

The US$ rally was set into motion on August 4, by the movement of huge sums of money into short term US Treasury Bonds. The money for the bond purchases was funneled through Swiss and Eastern European institutions. We’re talking $50 Billion. It appears, though no smoking gun, that the funds that set off the US$ rally, was big Russian money. Russian money from connected insiders that knew in advance of the Russian invasion of Georgia. As it came to pass, the Russian invasion caused the Ruble to crash and Russian stock markets to do a swan dive.
All the Russian money pouring into the US$ set off a buying/short covering $ panic. Institutional/hedge fund black box trading algorithms are programmed to do the following when the dollar moves up: Sell Oil, Sell Gold and Commodities, Buy US equities.
The mass movement of Russian money into the $, combined with program trading is THE reason that gold and oil sold off on the news of the Russian invasion, a geopolitical event that normally would have had the opposite effect on oil and gold.


10 posted on 08/14/2008 2:57:30 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: Caipirabob

conservative policy that promote growth

liberal policy = demote growth


11 posted on 08/14/2008 2:59:56 AM PDT by Son House ( [ ]Obama=>LoseBothWars/Raise Taxes [X]McCain=>WinBothWars/CutPorkBarrelSpending)
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To: jsh3180
Thanks for shedding light on the movements behind the headlines.
12 posted on 08/14/2008 3:07:41 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Doom & Gloom Ed.
Wow AEP, where did the Swami let you down...I thought you said we are all going to die...friggin’ frauds all!


13 posted on 08/14/2008 3:20:22 AM PDT by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: TigerLikesRooster
I remember going to an ATM machine in France right after the conversion to the Euro.

For about 82 cents from my account, I would get one Euro.


14 posted on 08/14/2008 3:28:41 AM PDT by SkyPilot ("I wasn't in church during the time when the statements were made.")
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To: jsh3180; M. Espinola
*BINGO* !

Thanks for your elucidating post. Your views were presaged by a close friend of mine last evening. He also thinks the Russians are up to something more sinister than the mere taming of Georgia.

15 posted on 08/14/2008 3:29:12 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: ex-Texan
Whatever Putin is in his sleeve, I get the feeling that it would end up helping McCain and damaging Obama.

It is clear by now that Putin's goal is to destroy U.S..

16 posted on 08/14/2008 3:35:07 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (kim jong-il, chia head, ppogri, In Grim Reaper we trust)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

And they’ve learned from their own experience- you can destroy a nation without firing a shot. Reagan proved it.


17 posted on 08/14/2008 3:55:47 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (This election is like running in the Special Olympics. Even if McCain wins, we're still retarded.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster; M. Espinola; Travis McGee
I agree 100%.

He is following a play book written by Kruschev and refined by Gorbychev. I still remember Mr. K's appearance at the UN where he beat on the table with his shoe. He said simply, 'We will bury you.' A very sinister message delivered symbolically and verbally.

Putin is a masterful chess player. Condi Rice better review her classical Russkie literature. With an emphasis on the convoluted double cross, triple dealing and backstabbing.

The mainstream media are going frantic worrying about how Obama can win this election. Look for another visit by terrorists in the coming days. Just before the election as those corrupt little shiekhs (Arabic: شيخ‎) follow Moscow's biding. Oil is being used as a terror weapon. We need to wake up.

18 posted on 08/14/2008 4:12:07 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: jsh3180

The Georgian war formed part of an unscrupulous play on the stock market? Allowing rich Russians to get richer at the expense of their countrymen?

I find that very easy to believe.


19 posted on 08/14/2008 4:16:24 AM PDT by agere_contra ("We are all Georgians" - John McCain)
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To: agere_contra
Oh - and if the Russian cognoscenti were buying bonds and divesting the ruble on August the 4th, then it's pretty clear that they knew war was going to break out on the 8th.

No more of this "The Georgians started it" nonsense

20 posted on 08/14/2008 4:19:45 AM PDT by agere_contra ("We are all Georgians" - John McCain)
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