Posted on 03/20/2008 3:18:16 PM PDT by Constitutionalist Conservative
Although the worlds climate is on a warming trend, there is zero evidence that the rise in carbon dioxide levels has anthropogenic origins. For daring to say this I have been treated as if I have committed intellectual blasphemy.
In magazine articles and essays I have described in fairly considerable detail, with input from the scientist Martin Hertzberg, that you can account for the current warming by a number of well-known factors having to do with the elliptical course of the Earth in its relationship to the sun, the axis of the Earth in the current period, and possibly the influence of solar flares. There have been similar warming cycles in the past, such as the Medieval Warming Period, when the warming levels were considerably higher than they are now.
Yet from left to right, the warming that is occurring today is taken as man-made, and many have made this opinion the central plank of their political campaigns. For reasons I find very hard to fathom, the environmental left movement has bought very heavily into the fantasy about anthropogenic global warming and the fantasy that humans can prevent or turn back the warming cycle.
This turn to climate catastrophism is tied into the decline of the left, and the decline of the lefts optimistic vision of altering the economic nature of things through a political program. The left has bought into environmental catastrophism because it thinks that if it can persuade the world that there is indeed a catastrophe, then somehow the emergency response will lead to positive developments in terms of social and environmental justice.
This is a fantasy. In truth, environmental catastrophism will, in fact, play into the hands of the sinister-as-always corporate interests. The nuclear industry is benefiting immeasurably from the current catastrophism. Last year, for example, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission sped up its licensing process, and there is an imminent wave of new nuclear plant building. Many in the nuclear industry see an opportunity to recover from the adverse publicity of Chernobyl in the story about carbon dioxide causing climate change.
More generally, climate catastrophism is leading to a re-emphasis of the power of the advanced industrial world, through its various trade mechanisms, to penalize Third World countries. For example, India has just produced an extremely cheap car, the Tata Nano, which will enable its poorer citizens to get about without having to load their entire family onto a bicycle. Greens have already attacked the car, and it wont take long for the World Trade Organization and the advanced powers to start punishing India with a lot of missionary-style nonsense about its carbon emissions and so on.
World Trade Organization photo: flickr
The politics of climate change also have potential impacts on farmers. Third World farmers who dont use seed strains or agricultural procedures sanctioned by the international ag corporations, major multilateral institutions, and banks controlled by the Western powers, will be sabotaged by attacks on their excessive carbon footprint.
Here in the West, the so-called war on global warming is reminiscent of medieval madness. You can now buy indulgences to offset your carbon guilt. If you fly, you give an extra 10 quid to British Airways; B.A. hands it on to some non-profit carbon-offsetting company, which sticks the money in its pocket and goes off for lunch.
But what is truly sinister about environmental catastrophism is that it diverts attention from hundreds and hundreds of serious environmental concerns that can be dealt with starting, perhaps, with the nitrous oxide emissions from power plants. Here in California, if you drive upstate you can see the pollution from Los Angeles all up the Central Valley, a lot of it caused, ironically, by the sulfuric acid droplets from catalytic converters! The problem is that 20 or 30 years ago, the politicians didnt want to take on the power companies, so they fixed their sights on penalizing motorists, who are less able to fight back.
Emissions from power plants could be dealt with now. You dont need to have a world program called Kyoto to fix something like that. The Kyoto Accord must be one of the most reactionary political manifestos in the history of the world; it represents a horrible privileging of the advanced industrial powers over developing nations.
The marriage of environmental catastrophism and corporate interests is best captured in the figure of Al Gore. As a politician, he came to public light as a shill for two immense power schemes in the state of Tennessee: the Tennessee Valley Authority and the Oak Ridge Nuclear Laboratory. Gore is not, as he claims, a non-partisan green; he is influenced very much by his background. His arguments, many of which are based on grotesque science and shrill predictions, seem to me to be part of a political and corporate outlook.
In todays political climate, it has become fairly dangerous for a young scientist or professor to step up and say: This is all nonsense. It is increasingly difficult to challenge the global warming consensus, on either a scientific or a political level. Academies can be incredibly cowardly institutions, and if one of their employees were to question the discussion of climate change he or she would be pulled to one side and told: Youre threatening our funding and reputation do you really want to do that? I dont think that we should underestimate the impact that kind of informal pressure can have on peoples willingness to think thoroughly and speak openly.
One way critics are silenced is by accusing them of ignoring peer-reviewed science. Yet oftentimes, peer reviews are nonsense. As anyone who has ever put his nose inside a university will know, peer review is usually a mode of excluding the unexpected, the unpredictable, and the unrespectable, and forming a mutually back-scratching circle. Through the process of peer review, of certain papers nodded through by experts and others given a red cross, the controllers of the major scientific journals can include what they like and exclude what they dont like. Peer review is frequently a way of controlling debate, even curtailing it.
Since I started writing essays challenging the global warming consensus and seeking to put forward critical alternative arguments, I have felt like the object of a witch-hunt. One individual who was once on the board of the Sierra Club has suggested I should be criminally prosecuted. A series of articles on climate change issues I wrote for The Nation elicited a level of hysterical outrage and affront that I found astounding and I have a fairly thick skin, having been in the business of making unpopular arguments for many years.
There was a shocking intensity to their self-righteous fury, as if I had transgressed a moral as well as an intellectual boundary and committed blasphemy. I sometimes think to myself, Boy, Im glad I didnt live in the 1450s, because I would be out in the main square with a pile of wood around my ankles.
This experience has given me an understanding of what it must have been like in darker periods to be accused of being a blasphemer, of the summary and unpleasant consequences that can bring. There is an element of witch-hunting in climate catastrophism. That is clear in the use of the word denier to label those who question claims about anthropogenic climate change. Climate change denier is, of course, meant to evoke the figure of the Holocaust denier.
In my forthcoming book, A Short History of Fear, I explore the link between fear-mongering and climate catastrophism. For example, alarmism about a population explosion is being revisited through the climate issue. Population alarmism goes back as far as Malthus, of course; and in the environmental movement there has always been a very sinister strain of Malthusianism. This is particularly the case in the U.S. where there has never been as great a socialist challenge as there was in Europe. I suspect, however, that even in Europe, what remains of socialism has itself turned into a degraded Malthusian outlook. It seems clear to me that climate catastrophism represents a new form of the politics of fear.
I think people have had enough of peer-reviewed science and experts telling them what they can and cannot think about climate change. Climate catastrophism, the impact it is having on peoples lives and on debate, can only really be challenged through rigorous open discussion and through a battle of ideas, as the conference I spoke at in London last year described it. I hope my book is a salvo in that battle.
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
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Good Lord. Why don’t Alexander Cockburn and Paul Craig Roberts get a room?
Amazing coming from an arch leftist like Cockburn!
Bingo!
Actually since 1998 the trend has been a downward temperature trend.
Alexander Cockburn is a rabid leftist, so it’s kind of weird to see him writing this.
Wow. First an article from EcoWolrd.com, and now this. Are flying pigs on the horizon?
—bflr—
From EcoWorld.com
35 Inconvenient Truths: THE ERRORS IN AL GORE'S MOVIE - by Christopher Monckton
Cockburn would consider the latter as synonymous with redistribution of wealth, which is, in the end, what the whole thing is about. While such agreements as Kyoto serve to move money from one place to another, in the end they are a recompense to undeveloped countries for remaining undeveloped. That isn't "social justice" according to most interpretations of that leftwing cant, and precisely what "environmental justice" is remains a little murky, at least to me. But under the intellectual terms of the left this is a condescension that is the next thing to colonialism if not that shibboleth itself. "Live in mud huts because it's Good For The Earth, and we'll pay you money so we can continue to use our espresso machines without guilt. But for Pete's sake don't presume to the possession of espresso machines yourselves!" That's not exactly the stuff of "Workers Of The World, Unite!"
The real difficulty is that the left is so certain that the destruction of capitalist society is the precursor to a socialist utopia that it proceeds thinking that the latter must follow the former inevitably. It never does, especially if the means to that destruction make the rebuilding of any society impossible.
Cockburn is a leftie who loves him some conspiracy theories. But when he is going after the nutbags on the Left it’s especially enjoyable.
I don't agree with Cockburn's characterization of corporations, but it does explain why both sides have jumped on the global warming band-wagon. Businesses and carbon traders see potential profits while leftists and one-worlders see social change. Either way, U.S. citizens get screwed.
So true. Good post--all of it.
“The Kyoto Accord must be one of the most reactionary political manifestos in the history of the world; it represents a horrible privileging of the advanced industrial powers over developing nations.”
Great article but the author goes well astray here. Kyoto was designed to set the stage for a massive transfer of wealth from the “advanced industrial powers” to the ‘third world through the cap-and-trade system. Under this system the first world would send money to the third world to buy the ‘indulgences’. IOW, your utility bill or gasoline bill would become a tax paid to the third world.
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The 8th-grade daughter of a family friend recently received a school science quiz which included four slanted multiple choice questions on global warming. She wrote in the margin “I don’t believe in global warming” and declined to answer the questions. It didn’t do much for her grade, but her conscience was clear.
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