Posted on 02/11/2008 6:58:26 PM PST by seanmerc
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national appeal and demonstrates Hillary's inability to win in states without large immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama, will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary has only 1131.By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100 delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas. (Although in Texas' open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama, including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don't bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But, given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
Gift for her? For their voting block that photo is a morale booster.
“Has Dick Morris EVER been correct about anything? Not two months ago, he was saying that Hillary had it in the bag and that there was no stopping her.”
Morris is correct about everything. He predicts all outcomes.
Heck no, then we couldn't vote in Republican primary on the "down ballot" races. The RINOs have to be periodically pruned, even in Texas.
So, what’s Morris going to do with his new anti-Hillary movie now? Or did he not raise enough funds (I got a call) to make/run it?
“Has Dick been right about anything in the last 10 years?”
*******************
Yes - he predicted Kerry would win in 2004.
Oh1 Nevermind
Not taking this one, Dick. Not yet. You know how Hillary works — wickedly. We haven’t seen anything yet!
Watch for Arkancide.
Now I have new hope for her chances.
I would never dismiss his political commetary. He is quite credible.
No, no, no...lots of Ed Rendell votes in Philly. The names/races attached to them are of no matter. Fast Eddie is a longtime ‘FOB’ (friend of Billary) so look for PA to go for Clinton. Besides, I think Eddie wants to go Washington...delivery all those PA delegates (and I think we have a bunch of super, duper ones too) could deliver him a Cabinet post, or maybe become a Supreme. My prediction (forget Morris) PA goes for Clinton.
So Hillary will win, eh? This guy is never right.
Couldn’t agree more. Morris also said that Hillary WOULD NOT win the Senate seat from New York too, and we all know how that turned out. Between Morris and Ted Kennedy.....Barak got two kisses of death.
Couldn’t agree more. Morris also said that Hillary WOULD NOT win the Senate seat from New York too, and we all know how that turned out. Between Morris and Ted Kennedy.....Barak got two kisses of death.
Am I nuts, or is Hillary suddenly looking beatable against McCain?
bump
If I were him I’d be aware of who maintains the plane he travels in. Lot of plane crashes when Bill was prez.
I hope Obama does win.
I hope you are wrong. What a nightmare. Obama will win the general and be the most liberal president in history...if we had the Senate and House it would not be as bad but with Democrats having the majority and picking up seats in November to boot...it will not be good for America to have Barack at this time. Hillary might lose the general but if she doesn’t, I believe that we will stay put in Iraq and she will be easier to be stopped by Republicans.
He hasn’t been right since he got TOEmane poisoning.
The Clinton’s are experiencing the ultimate kiss of death in Liberaldom
Surely you jest...Obama if he wins will just carry the mantal and worse.
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